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Housing Trends Foreshadow Housing Shortage Ahead
Low mortgage rates shrink entry-level and mid-tier inventory levels in September 2019 SANTA CLARA, Calif., Oct. 8, 2019 -- Nearly two years after U.S. housing inventory hit its lowest levels in recorded history, the market is showing signs it may be headed for another shortage, according to realtor.com's September 2019 housing trend report released today. Data show increased demand from lower mortgage rates prompted a 10 percent year-over-year decrease in available homes under $200,000 and halted 18 months of inventory gains in the mid-market last month. National inventory of homes for sale continued to decline in September, posting a 2.5 percent decrease over this time last year, and a faster rate of decline compared to August's 1.8 percent decrease. Driven by strong demand and short supply, entry-level homes priced below $200,000 have been steadily decreasing since May of 2014, which continued in September with a yearly decline of 9.8 percent. After 18 months of solid inventory growth, mid-market homes priced between $200,000 and $750,000 -- which make up the largest segment of inventory -- flatlined in September with 0 percent growth and are poised for their first decline next month. "Buyers looking for their next home have faced the headwinds of tight inventory and a competitive market this year. While lower mortgage rates and the arrival of fall promised a reprieve, conditions continue to tighten as demand remains strong. September inventory trends, especially in the mid-market, may be the canary in the coal mine that we could be headed for even lower levels of inventory in early 2020," according to George Ratiu, senior economist for realtor.com®. Finding an affordable home has been a challenge for buyers in recent years, but mid-market inventory in particular has seen some relief in the last 18 months. This month's data shows that recovery has halted, which should translate into increased competition for move-up buyers, not just first-time buyers. "The mid-tier of housing represents nearly 60 percent of homes for sale on the market, making it a solid indicator of how tight inventory levels are in the U.S. After more than a year and a half of solid growth in this segment, we're seeing inventory levels stall out and flat-line. If, or better yet, when inventory in this segment begins to take a downturn, the vast majority of homebuyers are going to feel its effects as their options rapidly dwindle," said Ratiu. Homes listed over $750,000 continued to grow by 4.7 percent year-over-year. However, if strong homebuying demand, fueled by lower interest rates, continues to persist into the fall, the inventory of homes in this upper-tier price range could also see declines by February of the coming year. Price gains continued to moderate this month. The median U.S. home list price was $305,000 in September, 4.3 percent higher than this time a year ago. However, price growth is slower than last September, when the median list price grew by 7.3 percent. The pace of sales also remained at near record highs.The median age of properties on realtor.com® in September reached 65 days. The typical property spent one more day on the market compared to last September and two more than last month, in keeping with the seasonal trend of buying activity slowing in the fall. About realtor.com® Realtor.com®, The Home of Home Search, offers the most MLS-listed for-sale listings among national real estate portals, and access to information, tools and professional expertise that help people move confidently through every step of their home journey. Through its Opcity platform, realtor.com® uses data science and machine learning to connect consumers with a real estate professional based on their specific buying and selling needs. Realtor.com® pioneered the world of digital real estate 20 years ago, and today is a trusted resource for home buyers, sellers and dreamers by making all things home simple, efficient and enjoyable. Realtor.com® is operated by News Corp [Nasdaq: NWS, NWSA] [ASX: NWS, NWSLV] subsidiary Move, Inc. under a perpetual license from the National Association of REALTORS®. For more information, visit realtor.com.
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The Top U.S. Destinations For Movers Aren't Where You Think
Medium-sized metros offering relative affordability, strong employment and large boomer populations entice the most out-of-state buyers SANTA CLARA, Calif., Aug. 21, 2019 -- The typical home buyer only moves 15 miles from their current residence, but realtor.com's Top Moving Destinations analysis shows that metros that offer relative affordability, strong employment, and large boomer populations can entice people to pull the trigger on an out-of-state home purchase. Released today, the list is made up of mostly medium-sized markets, including: Charleston, S.C.; Boise, Idaho; Honolulu; Columbia, S.C.; Fort Myers, Fla.; Portland, Maine; Sarasota, Fla.; Greenville, S.C.; Tucson, Ariz.; and Las Vegas. Metros were ranked based on which area received the most out-of-state views on realtor.com® in the second quarter of 2019. Buyers Seek Bargains Without Going Too Far "Home prices have risen for seven consecutive years, far outpacing salary growth. Although interest rates are the lowest they have been in three years, cost has become a deal breaker for many buyers, especially in pricey West Coast metros," said realtor.com® Senior Economist, George Ratiu. "But instead of giving up on the American Dream, many buyers have decided to look for a home in medium-sized metros outside their state that offer price relief, and a similar lifestyle." Seven of the top 10 moving destinations attracted non-local buyers looking at homes with median prices 3 percent to 34 percent less expensive than their home markets, in Q2 2019. However, these destinations are not necessarily cheap; in fact, they are 16 percent higher than the national median of $315,000. But when compared to home prices in their current metro areas, they feel like a steal. For instance, Boise's median listing price of $372,500 looks more attractive compared to Los Angeles's $766,800 and Salt Lake City's $434,900. Movers are also looking to stay relatively close to home by seeking out markets that are just a quick plane ride away. Charleston, the No. 1 moving destination in America, is sought out by buyers in neighboring markets of Charlotte, N.C.; Atlanta; and New York. Boise, No. 2 on the list, is especially attractive to those in Los Angeles, Salt Lake City, and Sacramento, Calif. Booming Jobs and Low Taxes Drive Up Demand The promise of high paying jobs has always been a catalyst for buyer demand, but it's especially true for those considering relocation to a new state. According to realtor.com®'s analysis, the top 10 destinations have an average unemployment rate of 3.3 percent, which is 30 basis points lower than the national average, and 38 basis points below what out-of-state buyers encounter in their home metros. Sweetening the financial deal for out-of-state buyers are the tax incentives in these destinations. Eight of the top 10 are located in states that have lower overall tax burdens compared to the national average of 8.6, including Cape Coral-Fort Myers and North Port-Sarasota, Fla. with a 6.6 percent overall burden; Boise at 7.8 percent; and the three South Carolina metros- Charleston, Greenville and Columbia at 7.6 percent, according to WalletHub. Hot Spots Retirees and Vacationers The majority of the metros on the list are sunny locales that are popular with vacationers and retirees alike, as well as snowbirds escaping the Northern winters. In fact, the average population share of those aged 65-years and older was 19.5 percent among the top 10, compared to 16.2 nationally. The top retiree markets on this list were Sarasota, Fla.; Fort Myers, Fla.; and Tucson, Ariz. whose populations aged 65 years and older accounted for 32.3 percent, 28.7 percent, and 20.0 percent of the population, respectively. "The fact that the majority of the metros on the list are hot spots for retirees signals a shift in boomer preferences from the expensive cities where they built their careers to the more easy-going feel of vacation communities," added Ratiu. "Some of them may be initiating the purchase of their retirement home as a second home, while others may be purchasing it in their post-career stage of life." Additionally, 7.9 percent of homes sold in these markets are secondary homes, compared to the national average of just 2.7 percent. Fort Myers, Fla.; North Port, Fla.; and Tucson, Ariz. had the highest share of secondary home sales among the top 10 with 17.6 percent, 16.4 percent, and 9.2 percent, respectively. For more information, please visit: https://www.realtor.com/research/q2-2019-cross-market-demand-report/ About realtor.com® Realtor.com®, The Home of Home Search℠, offers the most MLS-listed for-sale listings among national real estate portals, and access to information, tools and professional expertise that help people move confidently through every step of their home journey. Through its Opcity platform, realtor.com® uses data science and machine learning to connect consumers with a real estate professional based on their specific buying and selling needs. Realtor.com® pioneered the world of digital real estate 20 years ago, and today is a trusted resource for home buyers, sellers and dreamers by making all things home simple, efficient and enjoyable. Realtor.com® is operated by News Corp [Nasdaq: NWS, NWSA] [ASX: NWS, NWSLV] subsidiary Move, Inc. under a perpetual license from the National Association of REALTORS®. For more information, visit realtor.com.
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Realtor.com Predicts Market Shift That Could Impact Buyers Well Into 2020
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Homes Becoming More Affordable Despite Rising Prices
National median listing price sets new record at $315,000; 74 of nation's 100 largest metros become more affordable than last year SANTA CLARA, Calif., June 6, 2019 -- Nearly three-quarters of the 100 largest U.S. metros -- including some of the priciest like San Jose, Calif., and San Francisco -- are more affordable than this time last year, despite a continued upward swing in median home prices, according to two new research reports released today by realtor.com. The trends are based on realtor.com's May 2019 monthly housing trend report and REALTORS and realtor.com Affordability Distribution Curve and Score Report, which showed increasing inventory, rising wages, and declining mortgage rates have offset slowing price increases in some local areas, making a larger share of homes affordable to buyers -- especially in the mid-to upper-tier price range. Realtor.com® May data shows the U.S. median listing price continued its upward hike, increasing 6 percent year-over-year to $315,000 -- a new record high. However, the 6 percent year-over-year increase in the median listing price was the slowest pace of growth since April 2015. National inventory grew by 3 percent, and homes typically spent 53 days on the market--one day less than last May. The most dramatic change in the U.S. housing market landscape is affordability, which realtor.com® defines as the share of for-sale homes a buyer is able to afford in their market at their income. Driven by inventory growth and lower mortgage rates, 74 out of the nation's 100 largest metros became more affordable in April 2019 compared to the previous year. This trend is a rapid acceleration from last month when only 44 metros were more affordable than the previous year. "Lower mortgage rates, higher wages and more homes for sale have helped counteract rising home prices, and ultimately, made it so that buyers are able to afford more than last year," said Danielle Hale, realtor.com®'s chief economist. "However, the boost in affordability has yet to translate into more home sales perhaps because--while the shift in trend is welcome, the current monthly savings are small and some buyers may be waiting for markets to tip further in their favor." Compared to national trends, the 10 markets with the greatest increases in affordability were San Jose, Calif.; Des Moines, Iowa; San Francisco; Lakeland, Fla.; Atlanta; Portland, Ore.; Cape Coral, Fla.; Austin, Texas; and Dallas. These markets are distinguished by rising incomes, decreasing listing prices, and a significant increase in available homes for sale. On average, incomes grew an estimated 6 percent year-over-year, compared to the 3.5 percent increase the top 100 largest metros saw. At the same time, median home listing prices fell an average of 2 percent, and inventory increased an average of 26 percent. This compared to 4.4 percent price and 6.5 percent inventory growth in the top 100 metros. Hale added, "Despite the encouraging trends, entry-level buyers will likely continue to struggle to find homes in their price range as the majority of the inventory gains continue to be in mid-to upper-tier homes in more expensive markets." In April, the number of homes priced above $750,000 -- more than double the national median -- increased 11 percent year-over-year, while the number homes priced below $200,000 decreased by 8 percent year-over-year. Similarly, increases in affordability are predominantly focused in pricier markets, especially along the West Coast. For example, San Jose, one of the nation's most expensive metros, saw the greatest boost in affordability, but it was principally driven by improvements for 80th and 90th percentile income earners. Meaning, San Jose became more affordable compared to this time last year, but the majority of affordability increases were only felt by the area's top income earners. For more information, please visit: https://www.realtor.com/research/may-2019-data Metros With Greatest Increases in Affordability About realtor.com® Realtor.com®, The Home of Home Search, offers the most MLS-listed for-sale listings among national real estate portals, and access to information, tools and professional expertise that help people move confidently through every step of their home journey. Through its Opcity platform, realtor.com® uses data science and machine learning to connect consumers with a real estate professional based on their specific buying and selling needs. Realtor.com®pioneered the world of digital real estate 20 years ago, and today is a trusted resource for home buyers, sellers and dreamers by making all things home simple, efficient and enjoyable. Realtor.com® is operated by News Corp [Nasdaq: NWS, NWSA] [ASX: NWS, NWSLV] subsidiary Move, Inc. under a perpetual license from the National Association of REALTORS®. For more information, visit realtor.com®.
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REALTORS and Social Media: Latest RPR Survey Reveals Trends
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Spring Home Buyers Eye Homes in Need of Renovation
Nearly 60 percent of 2019 home buyers are considering a home that needs renovations; 95 percent expect a little TLC will result in a positive return on their investment SANTA CLARA, Calif., April 15, 2019 -- Nearly 60 percent of all spring home shoppers are considering a home that needs renovating, as rising home prices and limited entry-level inventory continue to be a hurdle, according to realtor.com®'s spring home buyer survey announced today. Just over half of home buyers considering a home that needs some TLC are willing to spend more than $20,000 on the renovation, while the vast majority - 95 percent of them - are optimistic they will get a positive return on their renovation investment. Realtor.com® conducted the online survey through Toluna Research in March, consisting of 1,015 respondents planning to purchase a home in the next 12 months. "The combination of rising home prices and limited entry-level homes for sale is prompting many home shoppers to consider homes that need renovating," said Danielle Hale, realtor.com®'s chief economist. "Replete with inspiration at their fingertips - like Pinterest, Instagram, and various home renovation TV shows - some home shoppers are comfortable tackling home renovation jobs to find a home that balances their needs with their budget." According to the survey, roughly three out of five home shoppers under 55 years-old are considering a home this spring that needs renovating. Middle-aged shoppers, 35-54 years-old, were the most likely to consider a home that needs renovating, at 65 percent. Middle-aged shoppers are more likely to be current homeowners and their experience with maintaining and improving their existing home may give them the confidence to tackle renovations, especially when motivated by trying to find a home that fits their needs within their budget, Hale noted. Just 59 percent of younger home shoppers aged 18-34 years-old, who are less likely to be current owners, are considering a home in need of renovation. Less than a third of buyers older than 55 years-old would consider a home that needs renovations. Just over half of spring home shoppers considering homes in need of renovation - 51 percent - are willing to spend more than $20,000 on their home renovation. Twenty eight percent are willing to spend up to $10,000, and 22 percent are willing to spend between $10,001 and $20,000. According to realtor.com data, a major kitchen remodel will cost around $66,000, while a minor remodel will cost around $22,000. Similarly, an upscale bathroom remodel will cost you around $64,000, while a midrange bathroom remodel runs about $20,000. While home renovations can be costly, home shoppers are optimistic they will get a positive return on their investment. According to the survey, 95 percent of home shoppers considering a home that needs renovations expect a positive return of some sort on their investment. Nearly a quarter - 24 percent - expect a positive return of more than 50 percent. A kitchen upgrade was the No.1 home renovation chosen by nearly 30 percent of respondents considering homes that need to be renovated. This is not particularly surprising since both this year and last year an updated kitchen was first among the top three features sought by potential home shoppers. A kitchen upgrade was followed by a bathroom renovation at just over a quarter - 26 percent, and new wood flooring at 20 percent. Eighteen percent considered a hardwood flooring refinish, and the same share considered a complete overhaul kitchen renovation. Among spring home shoppers considering a home in need of renovation, nearly 60 percent said home renovation television has made them more optimistic regarding home renovations, according to realtor.com's survey. Whether it is seeing the project unfold in a tidy 30 minute segment, or just getting inspired by the before and after shots, home shoppers are turning to home renovations to make their dream home when finding one as-is turns out to be difficult. About realtor.com® Realtor.com®, The Home of Home Search, offers an extensive inventory of for-sale and rental listings, and access to information, tools and professional expertise that help people move confidently through every step of their home journey. It pioneered the world of digital real estate 20 years ago, and today is the trusted resource for home buyers, sellers and dreamers by making all things home simple, efficient and enjoyable. Realtor.com® is operated by News Corp [Nasdaq: NWS, NWSA] [ASX: NWS, NWSLV] subsidiary Move, Inc. under a perpetual license from the National Association of REALTORS®. For more information, visit realtor.com.
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Gen Xers' Adult Children Influence Their Buying Decisions, Younger Millennials Become Buying Force According to Realtor Report
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Millennials Now Taking on More Mortgages than Any Other Generation
Millennials now represent 42 percent of all new home loans, and are buying outside major metro areas, study shows SANTA CLARA, Calif., Feb. 20, 2019 -- Realtor.com®, the Home of Home Search, today released new survey data revealing members of the millennial generation have increased their home buying purchase power and now boast the largest share of new home loans by dollar volume, larger than both Generation X and the baby boomer generation. These insights, based on a realtor.com® analysis of residential mortgage loan originations from Optimal Blue, show that while the median home buying price millennials take on is still lower than that of Generation X or baby boomers, millennials are showing interest in more affordable markets. Additionally, millennials are making lower down payments and taking on larger mortgages when compared to Gen Xers and baby boomers.   "Millennials are getting older, with better jobs and deeper pockets, allowing them to expand their collective purchase power, and hence, their footprint in the market," said Javier Vivas, director of economic research at realtor.com®. "The stereotype that millennials primarily choose to buy homes and live in large metro areas isn't the reality. Results show millennials' expansion is more heavily conditioned by affordability than in prior years, so their eyes are set on less traditional secondary markets where homes and jobs are now available and plentiful." Affordability is such a key factor for millennial home buyers that this generation is moving to places previous generations have not, like Buffalo, N.Y., the top affordable market for millennials, according to this study. Millennials Now Have More Buying Power Millennials are still primarily in the life stage that requires starter homes. Despite a lower median purchase price ($238,000) than the two generations before them, (with baby boomers and Gen Xers spending an average of $264,000 and $289,000, respectively), millennials are increasing their purchase price at a faster rate than previous generations, indicative of this generation starting to move beyond starter homes. Since early 2017, millennials have been the largest mortgage purchasers by the number of loans originated, surpassing Generation X as the leader in January 2017. As 2018 came to a close, millennials took on nearly half (45 percent) of all new mortgages, compared to 36 percent for Generation X, and 17 percent for baby boomers. In November 2018, millennials finally overtook Generation X as having the largest share of new loans by dollar volume, with a share of 42 percent in December, compared to a share of 40 percent for Generation X and 17 percent for baby boomers. This indicates millennials are willing to take on larger mortgages than any other generation to fulfill their dreams of homeownership. Millennial Home Buying is Driven by Affordability In addition to increasing their buying power and taking on larger mortgages, the data shows millennials have consistently made lower down payments than other generations since 2015. While other generations have increased their down payments in response to rising prices, millennials have not been able to increase their down payments as much as older generations. Millennial down payments averaged 8.8 percent in December 2018, compared to 11.9 percent for Generation X and 17.7 percent for the more equity-rich baby boomers. Given that the majority of millennial home buyers are searching for their first homes and do not bring equity from a previous home, it's no surprise they are putting down smaller down payments. This is likely a driver of their activity in more affordable markets, where their money goes further. Top U.S. Markets for Home Buyers Varies by Generation Within the last year, millennials have moved to affordable areas with strong job markets where they have more buying power. At the end of 2018, the median price of a mortgaged home purchased by millennials was $238,000, $26,000 less than the median price of a home mortgaged by baby boomers ($264,000) and $51,000 than Generation X ($289,000). The top five markets where millennials now generate more than 50 percent of the mortgages and their share grew by more than four percent are: Buffalo, N.Y. Pittsburgh Milwaukee Cincinnati Columbus, Ohio As members of Generation X are in their prime income-earning years, they purchased homes in strong job markets and secondary home markets, with five of the 10 markets on the list having unemployment rates higher than the national rate of 3.7 percent. The top five markets where Gen X purchased a large and/or growing share of homes are: Los Angeles Providence, R.I. Bridgeport, Conn. Jacksonville, Fla. Atlanta Many boomers are retired or rapidly approaching retirement, and therefore, showed a strong preference for buying homes in markets within primarily low-tax states or markets that are lower-cost than nearby metros, presumably to maintain wealth earned during their working years throughout their senior years. The top five markets where boomers made up a large and/or growing share of mortgaged purchases are: Knoxville, Tenn. Sacramento, Calif. Memphis, Tenn. Oklahoma City Riverside, Calif. About realtor.com® Realtor.com®, The Home of Home Search℠, offers an extensive inventory of for-sale and rental listings, and access to information, tools and professional expertise that help people move confidently through every step of their home journey. It pioneered the world of digital real estate 20 years ago, and today is the trusted resource for home buyers, sellers and dreamers by making all things home simple, efficient and enjoyable. Realtor.com® is operated by News Corp [NASDAQ: NWS, NWSA] [ASX: NWS, NWSLV] subsidiary Move, Inc. under a perpetual license from the National Association of REALTORS®. For more information, visit realtor.com®.
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Homes.com Study: Romantic Breakups Tie with Joblessness in Triggering 'Boomerang' Behavior
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Owning a Home Could Help You Get a Date with That Special Someone
Nearly 60 percent of millennial singles indicate homeownership makes a potential mate more attractive SANTA CLARA, Calif., Feb. 7, 2019 -- Realtor.com, the Home of Home Search, today released new survey data that shows owning a home might make you more attractive to that special someone you've had your eye on, especially if they are a millennial or a woman. Singles looking to boost their chances of dating a homeowner may want to considering living in the South or in the Midwest because they are home to the biggest shares of single female and male homeowners, respectively, according to the analysis. "Attractiveness is in the eye of the beholder, and this survey data suggests that many beholders find homeownership attractive, perhaps using it as a signal for financial savviness and success," said Danielle Hale, realtor.com®'s chief economist. "Single Millennials seem to find homeownership in a potential partner especially attractive, even if only one quarter feels that it is important." The survey, which included 500 people who identified as single and was conducted in late January, found that 46 percent of all singles thought homeownership made a potential partner attractive or very attractive. Women were more likely than men to agree with this, as 48 percent of women found it made a potential partner more attractive, versus 43 percent of men. Men, however, were slightly more likely to say that it made their potential partner very attractive. The survey also asked singles how important it was for a potential partner to be a homeowner. Similar to before, women were more likely than men to agree it was either important or very important that their partner was a homeowner. But the gap between genders was wider than when asking about attractiveness of homeowners, coming in at 29 and 19 percent for women and men, respectively. As a whole, 24 percent of single respondents felt it was important for their partner to be a homeowner. Millennials show strong desire for homeownership in their partner Millennials were the most likely to feel that homeownership boosted someone's attractiveness, with nearly 60 percent of the generation agreeing with the statement. Millennials also were the generation most likely to agree that it was either important or very important for their partner to be a homeowner, as indicated by 26 percent. Single male homeownership highest in the Midwest For those looking to find a potential home-owning male partner, the Midwest is going to be the best bet. The market with the greatest share of single male homeowners is Detroit, where they make up 23.4 percent of all males. It was followed by St. Louis with 21.3 percent, Minneapolis with 21.3 percent, Cleveland with 21.2 percent, and Pittsburgh with 19.9 percent.* Detroit, the top market for single men homeowners, has a median home price of $220,000, followed by St. Louis at $198,000, Minneapolis at $353,000, Cleveland at $170,000, and Pittsburgh at $170,000. On average, homes in these markets sell in 82 days, five days faster than the national median of 87 days. These markets have a high volume of young people, and relatively low median listing prices. In markets such as Detroit and St. Louis, with median list prices of $220,000 and $198,000, respectively, the lower price point has helped boost homeownership among singles. Single female homeownership strong in the South and Midwest Single women are one of the fastest growing demographics in the housing market, according to a recent realtor.com analysis. This trend can be seen strongest in Detroit, where single women homeowners makeup 23.1 percent of all women, followed by 21.4 percent in Baltimore, 21.2 percent in Charlotte, N.C., 20.7 percent in Philadelphia and 20.7 percent in Minneapolis. Detroit, the top market for single women homeowners, has a median home price of $220,000, followed by Baltimore at $297,000, Charlotte, N.C. at $320,000, Philadelphia at $250,000, and Minneapolis at $353,000. On average, homes in these markets sell in a rapid 75 days, 12 days faster than the national median of 87 days. Strong job opportunities and growing economies that draw many young professionals to the areas are also helping keep them in these markets as homeowners. Affordable home prices have also helped singles achieve homeownership in these markets. *Homeownership data by gender and relationship status sourced from IPUMS-USA, University of Minnesota, www.ipums.org. Calculations based on ownership among household heads aged 18-54. About realtor.com® Realtor.com®, The Home of Home Search℠, offers an extensive inventory of for-sale and rental listings, and access to information, tools and professional expertise that help people move confidently through every step of their home journey. It pioneered the world of digital real estate 20 years ago, and today is the trusted resource for home buyers, sellers and dreamers by making all things home simple, efficient and enjoyable. Realtor.com® is operated by News Corp [Nasdaq: NWS, NWSA] [ASX: NWS, NWSLV] subsidiary Move, Inc. under a perpetual license from the National Association of REALTORS®. For more information, visit realtor.com®.
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Migration Trend Reaches a Record High as 1 in 4 People Searching for a Home Looks to Change Metros
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Generation Z Needs to Start Saving $304 a Month Now to Buy a Home By Age 30
Location will be deciding factor in Generation Z's homeownership success; Midwest and South offer more affordable options SANTA CLARA, Calif., Jan. 31, 2019 -- Nearly 80 percent of Generation Z wants to own a home before age 30, and a new analysis released today by realtor.com®, The Home of Home Search℠, shows they will need to save $304 every month for the next 12 years to buy with a 10 percent down payment plus closing costs on a median priced home. According to the analysis, the median priced home in the U.S. is projected to cost $386,310 in 2031, when today's 18-year-old members of Generation Z turn 30. The analysis, which includes a 13-year forecast for median home prices in top 100 metros and different down payment savings plans, projects Generation Z will need to save the most to purchase a home in San Jose, Calif. where they will need to save $1,962 per month. The next most expensive locale is San Francisco ($1,439/mo.) followed by Los Angeles ($979/mo.), Honolulu ($946/mo.), and Oxnard, Calif. ($877/mo.). According to realtor.com®'s analysis of Optimal Blue mortgage data, in 2018 the typical under-30 home buyer used a seven percent down payment to successfully complete their home purchase. On average, in the top 10 most expensive metros, members of Generation Z will need to save an average of $948 a month, starting on their 18th birthday, to afford a 10 percent down payment and typical closing costs by the time they turn 30 years old. The median priced home in 2019 is expected to cost $265,000, but over the course of the next 12 years, the price is expected to increase nearly 50 percent, specifically another 46 percent to $386,310. This assumes prices grow at a very modest 3.2 percent per year over the next 12 years. "Choosing to live in one of the U.S.'s larger and more expensive metros, especially on the West Coast, is going to make homeownership a difficult task, but that doesn't mean that Gen Z should give up on their dreams," said Danielle Hale, realtor.com®'s chief economist. "The most important thing they can do is start saving as much as possible early on and let compound interest do the heavy lifting for them. They may also want to consider more affordable areas or different down payment amounts. Some widely available programs allow down payments as low as 3 percent, but a lower down payment can mean higher ongoing monthly costs. As with most decisions, there are pros and cons and a buyer needs to think these through to determine what's best for them." Midwest and South offer opportunities for an easier savings plan While the analysis reveals potentially daunting West Coast future home prices and monthly savings amounts, Generation Z can look to the Midwest and South for more affordable housing options. Youngstown, Ohio, topped the list of the most affordable metros, where Generation Z would only have to save $108 per month. It was followed by McAllen, Texas ($111/mo.), Toledo, Ohio ($141/mo.), Wichita, Kan. ($154/mo.), and Little Rock, Ark. ($156/mo.). With an average median home price of $191,381 in 2031 for the top 10 most affordable metros, an 18-year-old member of Generation Z will need to save an average of $150 a month, starting on their 18th birthday, to afford a 10 percent down payment by the time they turn 30. That comes out to saving $798 a month less than the average monthly saving required for the top 10 most expensive metros. 20 percent down payments paint a different picture While 10 percent down or less is far more common among first-time and younger home buyers, some members of Generation Z may want to use a 20 percent down payment to qualify for a lower mortgage rate and have a much lower monthly payment, but that might not be feasible in the nation's most expensive metros. On average, for the 10 most expensive metros in the U.S., Generation Z will need to save $1,645 a month for a 20 percent down payment and closing costs. That is $697 more every month than if they are aiming to put 10 percent down. While 20 percent has historically been the benchmark, this isn't true for first time homebuyers, and Generation Z should consider varying levels of down payments when planning to purchase a home, especially in higher cost metros in the U.S. Methodology: This analysis assumed an 18-year-old member of Generation Z started saving on his or her birthday, contributing the exact amount every month into a savings account with a fixed three percent annual return, compounded monthly. They will make their home purchase in 2031 on their 30th birthday, after making exactly 144 deposits over exactly 12 years. The calculated savings amount required includes money for a downpayment and typical closing costs of about 3.6 percent for first-time home buyers. Forecast median home price data comes from Moody's Analytics (economy.com). About realtor.com® Realtor.com®, The Home of Home Search, offers an extensive inventory of for-sale and rental listings, and access to information, tools and professional expertise that help people move confidently through every step of their home journey. It pioneered the world of digital real estate 20 years ago, and today is the trusted resource for home buyers, sellers and dreamers by making all things home simple, efficient and enjoyable. Realtor.com® is operated by News Corp [NASDAQ: NWS, NWSA] [ASX: NWS, NWSLV] subsidiary Move, Inc. under a perpetual license from the National Association of REALTORS®. For more information, visit realtor.com®.
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Average U.S. Home Seller Profits at 12-Year High of $61,000 in 2018
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Number of Homes for Sale Is Up, But Fewer Homes Are Affordable to Middle Class Buyers
Affordability Keeps Many Homes Out of Reach for the Average Homebuyer, Even As Inventory Rises SEATTLE, Jan. 23, 2019 -- Although the supply of homes for sale is up in many markets, both the number and share of homes that are affordable to a typical household has decreased from a year ago, according to a new report from Redfin, the next-generation real estate brokerage. The report considers all homes that were active on the market at any point in 2018 and 2017 and calculates the share of homes in each metro area that were affordable during each year to a household making the median income in that metro area. Just 14 percent of homes that were on the market in 2018 in the San Jose metro area were affordable on the median household income in the area of $117,000. This is a big drop from 2017, when 26 percent of homes that were for sale were affordable. In Los Angeles, 16 percent of homes for sale were affordable in 2018, down from 20 percent in 2017. In Seattle the share of affordable homes for sale dropped from 58 percent in 2017 to 46 percent in 2018. Home price gains and interest rate increases through 2018 combined to considerably reduce home affordability. Although the number of homes for sale is increasing, the number of affordable homes on the market has decreased in most metro areas. "Homeownership is increasingly out of reach for the typical American," said Redfin chief economist Daryl Fairweather. "Over the last few years builders have focused on luxury homes, and there hasn't been enough construction of affordable starter homes." In many metro areas, even as the number of homes for sale has increased, the number of affordable homes for sale has shrunk over the past year. In the San Diego area, there were 10 percent more homes for sale during 2018 than 2017, but the number of affordable homes for sale fell 16 percent. In the Seattle metro, there were 4 percent more homes for sale, but the number of affordable homes for sale fell 17 percent. Although the share of homes for sale that were affordable on a median income fell from 2017 to 2018 in all 49 of the metro areas we analyzed, there were a few metro areas where the number of affordable homes for sale increased, including Hartford, CT (+19%), Jacksonville, FL (+9%) and Nashville, TN (+4%). Homebuyers looking for affordable options still have plenty of choices in metro areas like St. Louis (84%), Minneapolis (82%) and Pittsburgh (82%). Strong growth in jobs and wages may also help buyers make up some lost ground as well. "We expect builders to shift their attention to more affordable homes during 2019," added Fairweather, "which along with rezoning efforts by local governments should reduce this pressure to some degree over time." To read the full report, including a table of the number and share of affordable homes for sale in each major metro area, please click here. About Redfin Redfin is the next-generation real estate brokerage, combining its own full-service agents with modern technology to redefine real estate in the consumer's favor. Founded by software engineers, Redfin has the country's #1 brokerage website and offers a host of online tools to consumers, including the Redfin Estimate, the automated home-value estimate with the industry's lowest published error rate for listed homes. Homebuyers and sellers enjoy a full-service, technology-powered experience from Redfin real estate agents, while saving thousands in commissions. Redfin serves more than 85 major metro areas across the U.S. The company has closed more than $60 billion in home sales.
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Redfin Ranks the 10 Hottest Affordable Neighborhoods of 2019
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Homeownership Part of American Dream; Housing Costs Deterrent for Non-Owners
WASHINGTON (January 14, 2019) – Homeowners and non-homeowners both strongly consider homeownership part of the American Dream. That is according to new consumer survey data from the National Association of Realtors®, which revealed that among those polled, approximately 75 percent of non-homeowners believe homeownership is part of their American Dream, while nine in 10 current homeowners said the same. NAR's Aspiring Home Buyers Profile analyzed 2018 quarterly consumer insights from its Housing Opportunities and Market Experience (HOME) survey to capture the housing expectations and sentiments of non-homeowners – both renters and those living with a family member. When non-homeowners were asked for the chief reason why they currently do not own a home, most respondents said it was because they were currently unable to afford a mortgage. Over the last quarter of 2018, 43 percent of non-owners said they did not own a home because they were not in a position to purchase, which was down from the third quarter of 2018, when 49 percent of non-homeowners answered the same. Also in the 4th quarter, 33 percent of non-homeowners said they do not own because current life circumstances are not suitable for ownership, while 16 percent said they need the flexibility of renting. In addition, the survey looked at the main reason why non-homeowners would buy a home in the future. Throughout 2018, 28 to 31 percent of non-owners each quarter said an improvement in their financial situation would be the top reason that would encourage them to buy a home in the future. In each quarter, 26 to 30 percent of non-owners said a change in lifestyle – such as getting married, starting a family or retiring – would be the primary reason they would make a future home purchase. Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, says unaffordable housing has caused a number of potential buyers to hold off on purchasing a new home. "The lack of affordable and moderately priced homes has forced non-homeowners to delay achieving that part of the American Dream. However, as the survey confirms, significant lifestyle changes like marriage or starting a family often spur non-owners to pursue home-ownership." For this year's survey, homeowners and non-owners were also asked about adult family or friends moving into their homes, the span of time this individual(s) lived within the household, and if they thought about moving to a new home because of the change. According to the survey, 11 percent of homeowners had an adult child move into their residence, while 5 percent of non-owners had an adult move into their home. Of those who had someone move into their home, 44 percent said that the individual intended to live with them for over one year or to stay permanently. Forty-four percent of non-owners reported that the individual planned on living with them for between six months to one year. Eighty-eight percent of those surveyed who had someone move into their home reported that their living situation remained acceptable and therefore did not warrant consideration of moving into a different home. Twelve percent said they did consider moving or ultimately did move due to their home situation changing. "While home sales were slightly down in 2018, there is still a sizable pent-up housing demand. Economic growth, interest rates, and the supply of moderately priced-homes will dictate how well the real estate industry will do this year," said Yun." About NAR's HOME survey In each quarter of 2018, a sample of U.S. households was surveyed via random-digit dial, including half via cell phones and the other half via landlines. The survey was conducted by established survey research firm, TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence. A total of 8,140 household responses are represented. The National Association of Realtors® is America's largest trade association, representing more than 1.3 million members involved in all aspects of the residential and commercial real estate industries.
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Renting a Home More Affordable than Buying in 59 Percent of U.S. Housing Markets
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Women, Millennials, and Hispanics Will Shape the Future of Housing
Ten of the top 20 and seven of the top 10 fastest-growing buyer first names are predominantly millennial female names SANTA CLARA, Calif., Jan. 9, 2019 -- The future of real estate will be significantly influenced by women, millennials and Hispanics, according to realtor.com®'s analysis of first names on 2018 home sales deeds. Single women are one of the fastest-growing demographics in the housing market, according to the data. Although older Baby Boomer and Silent Generation women are leading the charge, the increase in deeds with female names is particularly visible when comparing genders within the millennial generation. Looking solely at names with a peak year between 1981 and 1997, millennial female names are outpacing millennial male names, with home sales with female names beating male name home sales by 1.5 percent (6.9 percent versus 4.4 percent on average year-over-year, respectively). Seven of the top 10 fastest growing buyer names are predominately millennial female names, and all of them peak in the 1980s and 1990s.   Overall, Hannah, Austin, Alexis, Logan, and Taylor -- of which three are predominantly female names -- were the top five fastest growing first names on home sales deeds in 2018, with their frequency seeing an average increase of 22 percent from 2017. While Michael, John, David, James, and Robert were still the top five first names on sale deeds by sheer volume, these names saw a 3 to 5 percent decline over 2017. "First names associated with women -- especially millennial women -- saw a significantly faster level of home sales growth in 2018, giving us a sneak peek of homeownership trends in 2019," said Javier Vivas, director of economics research at realtor.com®. "Hispanics and millennials names overall also saw a surge in home purchases last year. If these buyers can continue to break through the affordability barrier, they are likely to make up a larger share of owners than ever before and dominate the market for years to come." Millennials are NOT the rent generation In 2018, home sales with millennial names increased 5.3 percent, followed by Gen X names at 0.8 percent. Names of Boomers (born 1946 to 1964) and the Silent Generation (born before 1945) fell 2 percent and 3.5 percent, respectively. Geographically, millennial buyer names are particularly overrepresented in Kansas, Indiana, Louisiana, Missouri, and Utah - states where housing affordability remains above national levels - confirming that jobs and availability of entry level homes act as magnets for young buyers. The rise of Hispanic influence Deed data also shows a growth in Hispanic names. In 2018, home sales associated with traditionally Hispanic names and partially Hispanic names increased 4.1 percent and 3.7 percent, respectively year-over-year. While sales with non-Hispanic names remained virtually flat at 0.1 percent year-over-year. Notably, 26 of the top 100 fastest-growing names are traditionally of Hispanic origin. Within this category, Hispanic buyer names skew slightly older than their non-Hispanic counterparts, with a median birth year of 1979 and 1982 respectively. Geographically, Hispanic buyer names are naturally concentrated in the South and Southwest. California, Texas, Nevada, New Mexico, and Arizona are among the top states, unsurprising given their proximity to Central America. On the East Coast, sales to buyers with Hispanic names are overrepresented in Florida, Illinois, and New Jersey, where demand for homes from domestic and international buyers of South American and Caribbean origin tends to be concentrated. About realtor.com® Realtor.com®, The Home of Home Search℠, offers an extensive inventory of for-sale and rental listings, and access to information, tools and professional expertise that help people move confidently through every step of their home journey. It pioneered the world of digital real estate 20 years ago, and today is the trusted resource for home buyers, sellers and dreamers by making all things home simple, efficient and enjoyable. Realtor.com® is operated by News Corp [NASDAQ: NWS, NWSA] [ASX: NWS, NWSLV] subsidiary Move, Inc. under a perpetual license from the National Association of REALTORS®. For more information, visit realtor.com®.
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Potential Home Buyers Lose Interest as Showing Activity Drops Broadly with Consecutive Monthly Declines; Trend Likely to Continue into 2019
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Redfin Predicts 2019 Housing Market Will Be the Coolest in Years
Among seven predictions for the new year, Redfin forecasts that the homeownership rate will rise SEATTLE, Dec. 19, 2018 -- Redfin today released its seven predictions for the housing market in 2019. "We predict that the housing market will continue to cool into the first half of 2019," said Redfin chief economist Daryl Fairweather, who authored today's report. "Inventory will rise back up to 2017 levels, and price growth, while likely still positive, will be the lowest we've seen since 2014 or possibly even 2011. Investors and house-flippers will back away from the cooling market, and real estate companies that buy homes from consumers to quickly sell at a profit (including our own RedfinNow) will face their first serious test. Tech companies and local governments will continue to go head to head on local housing issues." Redfin's Predictions for 2019: The housing market will continue to cool. Redfin's forecasts have price growth settling around 3 percent in the first half of the new year, down from 7 percent in the first half of 2018, but there is a real chance prices will fall below 2018 levels. A still-growing economy and increased access to credit will support more homebuyer demand, but higher interest rates will make home-buying more expensive, so it's hard to say whether home sales will stay down or rebound next year. The homeownership rate will continue to rise. Homebuyers will enjoy more inventory and less competition from speculators and house-flippers, which will lead to more people enjoying the benefits of homeownership. Homeownership has been consistently growing from its post-recession valley of 63 percent in 2016 to above 64 percent this year. We predict the homeownership rate will grow more rapidly in 2019. It will cost more to borrow, but more people will have access to credit for home-buying. A mortgage-rate increase to 5.5 percent by the end of 2019 from the sub-5 percent level where rates have been hovering in recent months would mean about a $100 increase in monthly mortgage payments on a $300,000 home. Lenders will also feel the effects of rising rates, which will increase their costs of lending and dampen demand for their services. This will motivate lenders to expand their customer base to low-income borrowers and first-time homebuyers. But of course, lenders will charge more for these loans--both to cover the risk of lending to borrowers with less-than-perfect credit and to cover their own costs of borrowing. A cooling housing market will dampen economic growth only slightly. In 2019, the economy will most likely grow, but a cooler housing market will contribute less to the overall economy. Even if residential investment (which includes money spent on construction, renovations, and real estate commissions) were to fall by 10 percent, total economic activity would be impacted by 1 to 2 percent. That isn't enough to cause a recession as long as the rest of the economy keeps growing. Fewer homes will be built, but more builders will focus on starter homes. In 2019, homebuilders will be more cautious about building during a cooling market and focus on building starter homes that are easier to sell than luxury homes. The per-unit value of single-family residential building permits has already flattened, and we predict per-unit values of building permits will decline in 2019. Another factor in 2019 will be low unemployment, which will finally cause wages to rise for low-income workers. This will impact both the supply of and demand for housing. On the supply side, higher labor costs will limit the number of homes built. Meanwhile, higher wages will be a boon to demand for starter-homes among working-class Americans. Institutional buying will face its first serious test. If home-buying demand falters due to higher interest rates and stock-market volatility, institutional buyers who made money from nearly every sale in a rising market with low interest rates could start to face losses, or may demonstrate more discipline than other housing investors. If i-buying works in a bear market as well as it has in a bull market, instant offers could become a major, permanent sector within the real estate economy. If it doesn't, a lot of money is going to sink into the sand. Tech and local government will go head-to-head on housing. Cities have been struggling with the double-edged sword of tech-company-driven prosperity and inequality. Growing cities will have to start building more housing now if they don't want to face the affordability and homelessness problems that established tech hubs like Seattle and San Francisco are currently facing. To read the full report, complete with data, charts and additional insights, please click here. The predictions above and in the linked blog post reflect the beliefs of Redfin's economics team about the overall housing market. They are not intended as historical information or future guidance to the investment community and shouldn't be relied on for those purposes. About Redfin Redfin is the next-generation real estate brokerage, combining its own full-service agents with modern technology to redefine real estate in the consumer's favor. Founded by software engineers, Redfin has the country's #1 brokerage website and offers a host of online tools to consumers, including the Redfin Estimate, the automated home-value estimate with the industry's lowest published error rate for listed homes. Homebuyers and sellers enjoy a full-service, technology-powered experience from Redfin real estate agents, while saving thousands in commissions. Redfin serves more than 80 major metro areas across the U.S. The company has closed more than $60 billion in home sales.
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U.S. Home Affordability Drops to More Than 10-Year Low in Q4 2018
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Leading iBuyers Selling Nearly One in 10 Homes to Institutional Investors According to New ATTOM Data Solutions Analysis
Top Three Buying Entities Related to Companies Purchasing Single Family Homes as Rentals IRVINE, Calif. — Nov. 29, 2018 — ATTOM Data Solutions, curator of the nation's premier property database, today released an analysis that shows that nearly one in 10 homes sold so far in 2018 by the nation's two leading iBuyers — Opendoor and Offerpad — were purchased by institutional investor entities buying at least 10 homes. According to the analysis, a total of 743 homes sold by the two iBuyers — companies that buy directly from homeowners via all-cash offers — were purchased by institutional investors so far in 2018, representing 9.6 percent of all sales by those two iBuyers combined. That is up from 293 institutional investor purchases representing 6.6 percent of the iBuyer sales in 2017, and 65 institutional investor purchases representing 3.9 percent of the iBuyer sales in 2016. "Tight inventory is a common challenge facing both individual and institutional single family rental investors across the country," said Daren Blomquist, senior vice president with ATTOM Data Solutions. "Meanwhile the appetite for more SFR inventory continues to grow as a new wave of institutional capital builds. Industry innovators are rising to meet this challenge through a variety of inventory-inducing channels, including off-market, build-to-rent, and iBuyer initiatives." Top Three Buying Entities The top three institutional buying entities — CERBERUS SFR HOLDINGS LP, CSH PROPERTY ONE LLC, and TAH HOLDING LP — all appear to be related to companies purchasing single family homes as rentals. These institutional investors may be turning to iBuyers as a source of inventory even as other sources of inventory such as foreclosures have largely dried up in recent years. Institutional investor purchases represented just 2.3 percent of all U.S. home sales so far in 2018, down from 2.9 percent in 2017 and down from a peak of 7.4 percent in 2012, according to the ATTOM analysis. "There are a lot of buyers, both big and small, looking to grow their SFR portfolios and inventory is very tight. This is leading to creative ways to find new product — from build-to-rent programs, off-market inventory programs and iBuyer initiatives," said Kevin Ortner, CEO with Renters Warehouse, a company that manages more than 22,000 SFR properties in 42 states. "There are several firms positioning themselves to be able to help bring supply to meet the demands of investors, and I expect that will continue to grow. I'm also seeing investment in technology and data across the space allowing greater scale, efficiencies and insights." "A properly priced rental home today, there is almost limitless demand for it," said Gary Beasley, CEO and co-founder with Roofstock, an online marketplace for SFR properties that itself is working on ways to create SFR inventory for both retail buyers and institutional buyers. "We have to get creative about how to attract this inventory, and if it isn't available to create it." Methodology ATTOM Data Solutions analyzed public record sales deed data from its nationwide property data warehouse for sales by entities associated with Opendoor and Offerpad, broken down by purchase entity. Purchase entities that bought at least 10 homes from the two iBuyers combined were considered institutional investors. For overall home sales, ATTOM considered any entity buying 10 or more properties in a calendar year as an institutional buyer. About ATTOM Data Solutions ATTOM Data Solutions provides premium property data to power products that improve transparency, innovation, efficiency and disruption in a data-driven economy. ATTOM multi-sources property tax, deed, mortgage, foreclosure, environmental risk, natural hazard, and neighborhood data for more than 155 million U.S. residential and commercial properties covering 99 percent of the nation's population. A rigorous data management process involving more than 20 steps validates, standardizes and enhances the data collected by ATTOM, assigning each property record with a persistent, unique ID — the ATTOM ID. The 9TB ATTOM Data Warehouse fuels innovation in many industries including mortgage, real estate, insurance, marketing, government and more through flexible data delivery solutions that include bulk file licenses, APIs, market trends, marketing lists, match & append and more.
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Tougher Road Ahead for Home Buyers and Sellers in 2019
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Redfin Report: These 8 Inland Housing Markets are Heating Up as the Coasts Cool
These affordable metro areas are seeing a growing share of homes selling quickly and for above-list price SEATTLE, Nov. 9, 2018 -- While expensive coastal markets like Seattle and San Jose are cooling off, some smaller, affordable inland metro areas are heating up, according to Redfin, the next-generation real estate brokerage. Wilmington, Delaware, Philadelphia and Atlanta lead the handful of metro areas where supply is shrinking, leaving more homes to go under contract within days, and for above-list price than a year ago. To identify the markets that are still heating up, Redfin ranked the top 25 metro areas with populations of at least 500,000 people according to three indicators of a competitive seller's market, based on data for the four weeks ending October 14, compared with the same period a year earlier: Declines in the number of homes for sale (inventory) Increases in the share of homes going under contract within two weeks of their market debut Increases in the share of homes selling for more than their list price Housing markets that are heating up the most Contrast the numbers above with markets like Seattle, San Jose and Portland, where inventory has been increasing by double digits, and the shares of homes going under contract quickly is shrinking. Homes in the metro areas that are heating up are also considerably less expensive than not only the hot coastal markets, but also than the national median price of about $300,000. Plus, except for Atlanta and Philadelphia, all of the heating-up metro areas are smaller, with populations under 2 million. Atlanta is also a top migration destination, moving up from #5 among long-distance Redfin.com user searches in the third quarter of 2017 to #2 in the third quarter this year. "Competition in Wilmington has become fierce and often buyers have to offer over asking and compete against three to six other offers," said local Redfin agent Claryssa McEnany. "I'm working with several buyers moving to the area from New Jersey who have expressed that they want to escape the higher property taxes that they can no longer fully deduct." Markets like Wilmington are still deep in seller's market territory, "Too many sellers are staying put!" according to McEnany. "Buyers are motivated and want to move now but there just aren't enough homes available." In the face of the inventory shortage that has been worsening since early 2016, some of McEnany's clients are choosing to expand their search area or make more compromises to get into a home. It's likely that even if the real estate slowdown becomes more widespread, these inexpensive markets will continue to show strength thanks to their big advantage in affordability. To read the full report, complete with additional data, please click here. About Redfin Redfin is the next-generation real estate brokerage, combining its own full-service agents with modern technology to redefine real estate in the consumer's favor. Founded by software engineers, Redfin has the country's #1 brokerage website and offers a host of online tools to consumers, including the Redfin Estimate, the automated home-value estimate with the industry's lowest published error rate for listed homes. Homebuyers and sellers enjoy a full-service, technology-powered experience from Redfin real estate agents, while saving thousands in commissions. Redfin serves more than 80 major metro areas across the U.S. The company has closed more than $60 billion in home sales.
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Affordability, Disruption and Rising Interest Rates Lead Top 10 Issues Facing Real Estate
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2019 Forecast: Existing-Home Sales to Stabilize and Price Growth to Continue
BOSTON (November 2, 2017) – Consumers should expect home sales to flatten and home prices to continue to increase, though at a slower pace, according to a residential housing and economic forecast session at NAR's 2018 REALTORS® Conference & Expo. As Lawrence Yun, chief economist at the National Association of Realtors®, presented his 2019 housing and economic forecast, he was joined onstage by Lisa Sturtevant, President of Lisa Sturtevant & Associates, LLC, who discussed the importance of affordable housing in the U.S. Much of Yun's presentation focused on recent declines in home sales, but in the context of long-term trends to illustrate the housing market's actual performance. "Ninety percent of markets are experiencing price gains while very few are experiencing consistent price declines," said Yun. "2017 was the best year for home sales in ten years, and 2018 is only down 1.5 percent year to date. Statistically, it is a mild twinge in the data and a very mild adjustment compared to the long-term growth we've been experiencing over the past few years." As to the possibility that we are currently experiencing a small bubble, Yun was quick to shut down any speculation. "The current market conditions are fundamentally different than what we were experiencing before the recession 10 years ago," said Yun. "Most states are reporting stable or strong market conditions, housing starts are under-producing instead of over-producing and we are seeing historically low foreclosure levels, indicating that people are living within their means and not purchasing homes they cannot afford. This is a stronger, more stable market compared to the loosely regulated market leading up to the bust." Housing affordability was also discussed by both panelists. While the U.S. is experiencing historically normal levels of affordability, potential buyers may be staying out of the market because of perceived problems with affordability. "NAR research shows that a lower percentage of consumers think that now is a good time to buy, while more are indicating that it is a good time to sell," said Yun. "Problems could arise if the market is flooded with too many sellers and not enough buyers. Fortunately, that does not appear to be the case, as indicated by months' supply of inventory at below five months." Sturtevant discussed the importance of homeownership on a social level - how homeowners tend to be in better physical and mental health and have greater opportunity for economic self-sufficiency. Additionally, communities with more homeowners tend to be more economically prosperous and better able to attract and retain workers. "I am a researcher, not an advocate; but the results of my research have compelled me to see the importance of affordable, stable housing, and the positive economic impact to local communities," said Sturtevant. Looking to next year, Yun shared his forecast for home sales and median home prices. "The forecast for home sales will be very boring - meaning stable," said Yun. With a few months of data remaining in 2018, Yun estimates that existing-home sales will finish at a pace of 5.345 million—a decrease from 2017 (5.51 million). In 2019, sales are forecasted to increase to 5.4 million, a 1 percent increase. The national median existing-home price is expected to rise to around $266,800 in 2019 (up 3.1 percent from 2018 this year and $274,000 in 2020. "Home price appreciation will slow down - the days of easy price gains are coming to an end - but prices will continue to rise." All of these forecasts, however, are dependent on higher levels of home production. "All indications are that we have a housing shortage. If you look at population growth and job growth, it is clear that we are not producing enough houses. This is often a local issue, not a national one, so NAR has created a website where local associations and Realtors® can go for information on how to advocate for increased supply in their communities," Said Yun. Commenting on the overall health of the U.S. economy, Yun noted that the economy is "good." He noted that we have low unemployment, record high job openings, historically low jobless claims, job additions for eight straight years and wages beginning to increase. "This type of activity in the economy should support the housing market, even as interest rates rise," said Yun. The National Association of Realtors® is America's largest trade association, representing 1.3 million members involved in all aspects of the residential and commercial real estate industries.
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Zealous Gen Z: Saving Early to Be Homeowners by Age 25
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Automated Cars, Micro-Mobility to Impact the Future of Transportation, Say Realtors
BOSTON (November 4, 2018) — Industry experts and researchers discussed the future of mobility and its impact on real estate during the Emerging Business & Technology Forum at the 2018 REALTORS® Conference & Expo in Boston. "It is important to think not just about what is here now, but looking at what is coming five to 10 years from now," said Chad Curry, director of Center for REALTORS® Technology at the National Association of Realtors®. "Many things are coming that are going to reshape our industry and reshape the land that we hold so dear." Automobiles have shaped the way we build cities, roads and houses. The rise of the automobile led to the rise of suburbs and a commuting population. However, by the year 2030 it is predicted 70 percent of the world's population will live in urban environments. But what does that mean for cars and how we move people going forward? "In the 1990's, 95 percent of 16 year-olds had a driver's license. Today, that number is just 76 percent," said Curry. "Today's youth are already finding new ways to move around that don't involve a privately owned vehicle." While ride-sharing services like Uber and Lyft are responsible for a large percentage of alternative transport, micro-mobility, such as bike and scooter shares, are beginning to rise in popularity. LimeBike, a scooter and bike share company, has been valued at $1 billion and is currently deployed in 65 cities. The increase in micro-mobility has encouraged cities to create multimodal roads that accommodate cars, buses, bikes, scooters and pedestrians. Panelists also discussed the rise of driverless cars. Legislation regarding driverless cars is currently being crafted or debated in a majority of U.S. states, meaning this new technology could soon have a genuine impact on our nation's mobility. "Automated cars won't simply help alleviate traffic, but will also make roads safer," said Benjamin Lewis, a panelist and innovation manager and future of mobility expert for Liberty Mutual Insurance. "The overwhelming number of crashes, 94 percent, are attributed to human error. A reduction in human error will lead to fewer accidents, deaths and injuries. Drunk, distracted and tired driving will be a thing of the past." Cars are currently designed with one person in mind – the driver. The driver needs to be able to see the road ahead and behind them, they need to be able to steer and reach the break and gas pedals. However, that design could change with the driverless revolution. "Cars could be designed to be used as mass transit in the morning and moving lounges in the evening," said Curry. "They could be turned into small mobile offices – are we looking at the real estate office of the future?" The National Association of Realtors® is America's largest trade association, representing more than 1.3 million members involved in all aspects of the residential and commercial real estate industries.
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The Longest Housing Inventory Decline in History Comes to an End
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20% of Recent Homebuyers Made an Offer Sight-Unseen, Down from 35% Late Last Year
Survey Findings Suggest that Buyers Are Under Less Pressure to Make Hasty Bids as Competition Eases SEATTLE, Oct. 15, 2018 -- One in five recent homebuyers said they made an offer sight-unseen, according to Redfin, the next-generation real estate brokerage. This statistic was discovered from a Redfin-commissioned survey in May of 1,463 people across 14 major markets who had bought a home in the last year. That's down from 35 percent in a similar survey conducted in November, when the share of buyers making sight-unseen offers had been growing consistently for at least a year and a half. When Redfin analysts first noticed in May that the prevalence of sight-unseen offers had returned to 2016 levels, they struggled to pinpoint a clear explanation. At that time, the market was breaking records for price growth, competition and home-selling speeds. Buyers felt pressured to move incredibly quickly to secure the most desirable homes, which were off the market in a matter of days. Making an offer without seeing the home first in person had become an advantageous strategy for buyers in inventory-strapped markets like Denver or Seattle. In July, Redfin first reported that the market was beginning to shift toward buyers' favor, with rising inventory and slowing price growth. Buyers had become more choosy about what homes to move on and were behaving less hasty in making offers. And now, buyers are facing fewer multiple-offer situations, which allows buyers even more time to visit homes in person before making an offer. Redfin analysts now believe that the declining prevalence of sight-unseen offers was likely an early indicator of this changing market. Redfin intends to watch this trend closely and plans to survey homebuyers again this fall to see if the prevalence of sight-unseen offers continues to change. "Now that most homes are staying on the market for longer than a week, there just isn't as much pressure for buyers to make offers so hastily," said Jessie Culbert, a Redfin agent in Seattle. "That's a big change from earlier this year when sellers set offer review deadlines, and they were strict! This meant that whether or not you had time to physically step inside the home, you had to get your offer in on time in order to be considered. Otherwise you would miss out entirely on the opportunity to compete for it." It's also worth pointing out that one in five homebuyers making offers sight unseen is still a lot, and we believe this is a reflection of the fact that technology has made it easier to learn about a home from anywhere with internet access. For example, using Redfin 3D Walkthrough, a buyer can tour a home virtually on their computer or smartphone, seeing the walls, appliances and nooks and crannies from every angle. Additionally, Redfin agents use tools like FaceTime, Skype or YouTube to show homes to customers who aren't able to join them for an in-person tour. This technology is especially useful to homebuyers moving to a new city, who would have to drive for hours or take a flight to see a home. Over time, as technologies continue to advance and people become more comfortable relying on them to make big financial decisions, we expect sight-unseen offers to become more commonplace, even throughout fluctuations in supply and demand. To read the full report, complete with historical survey and methodology, click here. About Redfin Redfin is the next-generation real estate brokerage, combining its own full-service agents with modern technology to redefine real estate in the consumer's favor. Founded by software engineers, Redfin has the country's #1 brokerage website and offers a host of online tools to consumers, including the Redfin Estimate, the automated home-value estimate with the industry's lowest published error rate for listed homes. Homebuyers and sellers enjoy a full-service, technology-powered experience from Redfin real estate agents, while saving thousands in commissions. Redfin serves more than 80 major metro areas across the U.S. The company has closed more than $60 billion in home sales.
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National Housing Inventory Crisis Reaches Inflection Point
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Millennial Homebuyers Are Driving Realtor.com's 2018 Hottest ZIP Codes in America Report
Kentwood, Mich. leads the list for the first time, while Rochester, N.Y. and Worthington, Ohio get a bump in demand SANTA CLARA, Calif., Sept. 26, 2018 -- Realtor.com®, the Home of Home Search℠, today announced its fourth annual list of the Hottest ZIP Codes in America. The new list shows high-income millennials are helping to drive a nearly 10 percent increase in how fast homes are sold in the most popular areas of the country, which spans emerging suburban areas near Silicon Valley, throughout the Midwest, and on the East Coast. As millennials get older, move out on their own and buy homes, they are driving demand for homes in smaller, more suburban locales. Some of the new areas making this year's list include: No 1. Kentwood, Mich. (49508); No. 5 Peabody, Mass. (01960); No. 6 Boise, Idaho (83704); No. 9 Rochester, N.Y. (14624); and No. 10 Upper Montclair, N.J. (07043). Back by popular demand, the following areas are among the ZIP codes returning to the list this year: Colorado Springs, Colo. (80922) moved to No. 2 from No. 7 in 2017; Watauga, Texas (76148) moved to No. 3 from No. 1 in 2017 and 2016; Castro Valley, Calif. (94546) moved to No. 4 from No. 6 in 2017; Worthington, Ohio (43085) moved to No. 7 from No. 2 in 2015; and Overland Park, Kan. (66210) was ranked No. 8 this year and in 2017. "When it comes to choosing a home of their own, millennials are looking for opportunity and they're finding it in affordable suburbs," said Danielle Hale, chief economist for realtor.com®. "These hot housing markets are attracting the attention of hard-working, high-earning 25-to-34-year-olds who are drawn by their relative affordability, strong local economies, and outdoor and cultural amenities." Realtor.com®'s 2018 Top 10 Hottest ZIP Codes Realtor.com® analyzed 32,000 ZIP codes based on the time it takes properties to sell and how frequently homes are viewed in each ZIP code on realtor.com®. One ZIP code was included per metro area. How hot are these ZIP codes? Homes in this year's top 10 hottest markets sell in an average of 20 days, 46 days faster than the rest of the country, 25 days faster than their respective metro areas, and 18 days faster than their respective counties. Realtor.com® users view homes in these markets four times more often than homes in the rest of the country, 2.3 times more often than their respective metro areas, and 1.9 times more often than their respective counties. The average views per property for these 10 ZIPs on realtor.com® are up 14 percent compared to last year. In addition, home list prices in nine of the 10 markets are appreciating on a yearly basis, and in some cases they're doing so rapidly. Five of the 10 ZIPs saw double-digit growth in asking prices — faster than the national rate of 8.4 percent. What's making these ZIP codes hot this year?: Homes are relatively affordable. The median price for a home in these markets is $358,000, and top markets are almost all more affordable than their surrounding area -- only 43085 (Worthington, Ohio) and 07043 (Upper Montclair, N.J.) are exceptions. In addition, five of the top 10 ZIPs have median listing prices that are lower than the U.S. overall and eight have prices that are lower than their respective metro and county areas. Residents are employed at higher rates and tend to earn more. Household incomes in eight of the top 10 ZIPs are greater than the national median of $61,000. In total, the average household income in the top 10 ZIPs is $83,000, 1.4 times the national rate. In addition, the 10 ZIP codes are located in counties with an average unemployment rate of 3.6 percent, which is 30 basis points lower than the U.S. unemployment rate of 3.9 percent. A total of 83,000 jobs will be created this year in these markets combined*, which indicates a growth rate of 2.2 percent, significantly above the national growth rate of 1.8 percent. Millennials, in particular, are doing well. In eight out of the top 10 ZIPs, the median household income for 25 to 34 year olds is 1.3 times higher than the national median, $78,000 versus $60,000, respectively. Millennials hold the lion share of purchases. Mortgage originations in nine of the top 10 counties of these top 10 ZIPs are strongly dominated by millennials (25 to 34 year olds), which have a greater share of mortgage originations (34 percent) than the next largest group (35 to 44 year olds) with 31 percent. Buyers have their credit buttoned up. The homebuyers in the counties where these ZIPs are located have an average FICO score of 729, higher than the national average of 720. Market Highlights – Top 10 ZIP Codes 1. 49508 – Kentwood, Mich. – Although neighboring ZIP code 49548 was ranked No. 3 on the list last year, this is 49508's first appearance. Located just 15 miles southeast of Grand Rapids and 30 miles from beautiful Lake Michigan, is the quiet suburban town of Kentwood. The area is known for its tree lined streets, close knit community, affordable homes, and quick commute to Grand Rapids, where Spectrum Health, Meijer, and Mercy General Health Partners are the major employers. Young families are drawn to this affordable neighborhood because of its strong schools, such as Discovery Elementary, which has GreatSchools rating of 8/10. Key housing stats: Average home listing views in ZIP 49508 are up 4 percent over last year, with homes receiving nearly four times more views than those in the rest of the country. Homes in Kentwood sell in 14 days, 52 days faster than the rest of the U.S., with a median list price of $193,168, up 9.5 percent over last year. A pocket of relative affordability, prices in 49508 are 33 percent lower than the surrounding county. Kent County is expected to add 8,000 jobs this year, an increase of 2.3 percent. 2. 80922 – Colorado Springs, Colo. – Located 60 miles south of Denver on the eastern side of the Rocky Mountains, lies the thriving outdoor centric city of Colorado Springs. This area draws a diverse nature-loving crowd with its affordable housing compared to its sister-city to the north, Denver. Colorado Springs is replete with local breweries and tasting rooms such as the Goat Patch Brewing Co. and Trail's End self-pouring taproom, as well as many boutique restaurants that cater to the area's popular healthy living lifestyle. With areas such as Garden of the Gods and Pike's Peak, there are always trails and parks to get outside and explore. Major employers in the area include the United States Air Force at its Academy and other area bases, as well as UC Memorial Hospital North. Housing stats: The number of households in this ZIP grew by 21 percent from 2010 to 2018, with a home ownership rate of 80 percent among all age groups and 68 percent among millennials. Reflecting the high concentration of military service members in the area, 40 percent of new mortgages in El Paso County are guaranteed by the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs. Homes in 80922 sell in 15 days, about 19 days faster than the rest of El Paso County, with a median list price of $297,811, up 9.7 percent over last year. El Paso County is expected to add 8,300 jobs this year, an increase of 2.6 percent. 3. 76148 Watauga, Texas – Located just 10 miles up on the northern edge of Fort Worth is the family-friendly suburb of Watauga. This area caters to young families that want easy access to all the amenities and entertainment that Fort Worth has to offer, while giving budget-savvy buyers the most bang for their buck. Younger families are also drawn to Watauga for its strong schools, such as Grace E. Hardeman Elementary, which has a GreatSchools rating of 8/10. This ZIP also ranks highest in the state in the Human Rights Campaign's Municipal Equality Index (MEI), which scores the ways cities support the LGBT people who live and work there. Major employers in the area include American Airlines, Texas Health Resources, and Lockheed Martin Aeronautics company. Housing stats: The dominant buyer segment in Watauga is millennials, who hold 33 percent of new purchase mortgages in the ZIP and have an 65 percent home ownership rate, compared to 42 percent in Tarrant County. Millennials in 76148 also earn slightly more than the median household overall. Homes in Watauga sell in 15 days, 3 percent faster than last year, with a median list price of $183,576, up 16.2 percent over last year. Tarrant County is expected to add 28,400 jobs this year, an increase of 2.8 percent. 4. 94546 Castro Valley, Calif. – Situated 15 miles south of Oakland is the East Bay neighborhood of Castro Valley. This quiet neighborhood is known for its relative affordability with homes costing 5 percent less than the rest of the county and 17 percent less than the broader metro area. It is also known for its excellent school system, such as Proctor Elementary, which has a GreatSchools rating of 9/10. The relaxed area caters to young professionals working in San Francisco, Oakland, and Berkeley because of its BART (Bay Area Rapid Transport) access. Castro Valley exudes local pride with activities such as the Fall Festival in September, Barks & Boos around Halloween, Light Parade in November, and Castro Valley Street Eats with food trucks from spring to autumn. Housing stats: Millennials make up 38 percent of the new purchase mortgage share in ZIP 94546, while the dominant buyer group skews slightly older at 35-44 years of age. Homes in Castro Valley sell in just 16 days, about 50 days faster than the rest of the country. Listings in this ZIP have a median list price of $784,238, up 7.6 percent over last year. While this is notably above the U.S. median of $287,036, it is significantly more affordable than nearby San Francisco priced at $944,000 (up 7.3 percent) and Silicon Valley at $1.2 million (up 25.9 percent). While Alameda County is expected to add only 3,700 jobs this year, an increase of 0.5 percent, the unemployment rate of 3.0 percent is well below the U.S. level of 3.9 percent. 5. 01960 Peabody, Mass. – Located just inland of Salem and 15 miles northeast of Boston, this small but vibrant community is known for its rich industrial history. Peabody features great public schools, such as John E. McCarthy School which has a GreatSchools rating of 8/10, and Brooksby Farm – a 200-acre working farm. The area is also headquarters to Analogic Corporation and Tradewin Consulting Services, which are some of the largest employers in Peabody. Housing stats: The dominant buyer segment in ZIP 01960 is 35-44-year-olds, while millennials (25-34-years-old) hold 32 percent of recently purchased mortgages in the area. With a median household income of $73,312, millennials in 01960 have a higher income than the typical household. Homes in Peabody sell in 20 days, 46 days more quickly than the rest of the country, with a median list price of $424,685, up 8.4 percent compared to last year. Essex County is expected to add 9,000 jobs this year, an increase of 2.2 percent. 6. 83704 Boise, Idaho – Boise is a vibrant, active city, with a mild four-season climate that allows residents to enjoy the local mountains, rivers, and lakes year-round. Plus, the Snake River Valley allows for a rich soil that provides distinctive, award-winning vintage wines from local vineyards, while the local brewery scene has been growing. Boise was also just named one of Money Magazine's Best Places to Live. Ada County ranks among the top five most popular markets for Bay Area Californians searching for homes out-of-state. As more Californians are moving away from San Francisco, Silicon Valley, and California's wine country, many are seeking homes in Idaho where the sunny climate and local tech employers, such as Micron Technology, are strong attractors. Housing stats: Millennials make up 27 percent of the new mortgage share in Ada County, while the dominant buyer group skews slightly older at 35-44 years of age. Homes in 83704 sell in 23 days, about 43 days faster than the rest of the country. Listings this year have a median list price of $251,324, up 16.2 percent over last year. Ada County is expected to add 6,400 jobs this year, an increase of about 2.8 percent, which is extraordinary considering the already low unemployment rate of 2.5 percent. 7. 43085 Worthington, Ohio – Nestled between two highways 12 miles directly north of Columbus, sits the close-knit community of Worthington. The area attracts young and growing families that want homes in a quiet neighborhood without giving up their access to downtown Columbus, Ohio. Being so close to The Ohio State University, Worthington is an affluent neighborhood, known for its particularly strong schools, such as Evening Street Elementary and Phoenix Middle School, both of which have a GreatSchools rating of 9/10. Additionally, the area has a strong sense of community with its Farmers Market, Craft Arts Crawl, as well as its many dining and boutique shopping options. Housing stats: The number of households in this ZIP grew by 9 percent from 2010 to 2018, with an above-average home ownership rate of 74 percent among all age groups and 52 percent among millennials. Homes in Worthington sell in 25 days, about 11 days faster than the rest of the county and 41 days faster than the U.S., with a median list price of $291,305, up 0.8 percent over last year. Franklin County is expected to add 13,500 jobs this year, an increase of 2 percent. 8. 66210 Overland Park, Kan. – Sitting just 11 miles south of Kansas City on the Kansas side of the border, is the thriving neighborhood of Overland Park. Though it is a suburb of Kansas City, it is also the second most populous city in the state. The area boasts a plethora of outdoor options including the Overland Park Arboretum and Botanical Gardens, as well as many hiking trails. Overland Park was just named one of Money Magazine's Best Places to Live. The area is great for both young and growing families as it offers affordable homes, 34 percent less expensive than Johnson County, Kansas as a whole. Overland Park is also home to an excellent school system that includes Harmony Middle School and Lakewood Elementary School, both of which have a GreatSchools rating of 10/10. Housing stats: Millennials continue to be the dominant buying group in the area, holding 36 percent of recently purchased mortgages in Johnson County and high-credit buyers are the norm with an average FICO of 737 compared with 720 for the U.S. as a whole. Homes in Overland Park sell in 24 days, one day slower than last year but still 42 days faster than the U.S., with a median list price of $261,927, up 14 percent over last year. While Johnson County is expected to add just 3,600 jobs this year, an increase of 1.1 percent, this is notable given the low 2.9 percent unemployment rate. 9. 14624 Rochester, N.Y. – Sitting on the southern shore of Lake Ontario is the diverse community of Rochester. The area is a close-knit community known for its plethora of beautiful parks and water features, and has been nicknamed "Flower City USA" because of the many lilacs throughout its parks. Rochester's workforce, which was previously known for its print and film services because of Kodak's former headquarters, has shifted toward health systems and higher education, with Strong Memorial Hospital and the University of Rochester being two of the area's largest employers. Along with the revitalization of downtown, the area has seen an influx in millennial home buyers purchasing in the Rochester downtown area and surrounding suburbs over the recent years. Housing stats: Homes in this ZIP are relatively affordable, priced 28 and 27 percent less than the county and metro, respectively, which have kept buyer interest high and growing. Home listing views for this ZIP have increased 51 percent over last year. Household incomes in 14624 are higher than typical U.S. incomes and homes are priced 54 percent below the typical U.S. listing, creating a great opportunity for buyers. This explains the high home ownership rates – 80 percent for all households and 64 percent for millennial households. Millennials make up the largest share of recently purchased mortgages in Monroe County at 33 percent. Homes typically sell within 22 days in this ZIP, about 29 percent faster than last year and 44 days faster than the U.S., with a median list price of $131,964. Housing interest in this ZIP has remained strong despite a roughly average growth in jobs of 0.6 percent over last year. 10. 07043 Upper Montclair, N.J. – Sitting about 14 miles west of the Hudson River and nestled at the foot of the First Watchung Mountain, is the vibrant community of Upper Montclair. The area caters to those looking to raise a family in a quiet neighborhood, while still having easy commutes to New York City and Newark, N.J. The area is a small, wealthy township where the median income of $176,182, is nearly triple the U.S. median income of $61,045. This thriving arts community is also home to the Montclair Art Museum, Montclair State University, global cuisine, and a funky downtown. Housing stats: Homes in ZIP 07043 sell in 22 days, about 23 percent faster than last year, with a median list price of $762,350, up 6 percent over last year. Homeownership rates in this ZIP are high for all households (83 percent) and millennials (51 percent). The dominant buyer segment in Essex County skews slightly older (35-44 year olds), while millennials hold 31 percent of new purchase mortgages. Recent job growth in the local area has been limited at 0.1 percent, but the labor market is powered by its larger neighbors -- New York and Newark, N.J. *Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS); Moody's Analytics Forecasted Realtor.com's 2018 Top 50 Hottest ZIP codes For more information about the list, please visit: https://www.realtor.com/research/hottest-zip-codes-2018/. To watch a video about realtor.com's hottest markets index, click here. About realtor.com® Realtor.com®, The Home of Home Search℠, offers an extensive inventory of for-sale and rental listings, and access to information, tools and professional expertise that help people move confidently through every step of their home journey. It pioneered the world of digital real estate 20 years ago, and today is the trusted resource for home buyers, sellers and dreamers by making all things home simple, efficient and enjoyable. Realtor.com® is operated by News Corp [Nasdaq: NWS, NWSA] [ASX: NWS, NWSLV] subsidiary Move, Inc. under a perpetual license from the National Association of REALTORS®. For more information, visit realtor.com®.
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Realtors View Technology as Increasingly Valuable for Business, Competition
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Home Price Cuts Increase, but Still Not Buyer's Market
SANTA CLARA, Calif., Aug. 29, 2018 -- Realtor.com® today announced the findings of its August housing trend report which revealed a surge in price cuts and the second largest drop in the U.S. median list price in three years. Although competition between buyers remained stiff and list prices continue to rise, the report also revealed a slowdown in price growth and easing of inventory declines. "Buyers, exhausted by bidding wars and little choice in inventory, could finally catch a break," said Danielle Hale, chief economist for realtor.com®. "An increase in price cuts suggests that sellers are starting to become more flexible, especially in pricey markets. However, affordability is a concern in most areas which continue to be sellers' markets. Fierce competition and low inventory continue to push up prices. While buyers are gaining leverage in some markets, we are still far from a true 'buyer's market.'" The median listing price in the U.S. decreased by $4,000 in August, dropping to $295,000 from a record-high of $299,000 in July. This is the second largest monthly list price drop since August 2015. While prices are still 7 percent higher than they were one year ago, the year-over-year increase is smaller than the 10 percent year-over-year gain seen last August. The deceleration in price growth was also observed in the larger markets. The average yearly growth in median list prices in the largest 45 markets combined was 6 percent, down from 8 percent this time last year. Meanwhile, price cuts are on the rise, especially in pricey markets where inventory is rising. The proportion of listings that feature price cuts rose 1.5 percentage points in the last year to 19.1 percent in August. The share of price cuts among listings is now 1.5 times more prevalent than in August 2012 when 13 percent of listings featured price discounts. This upward movement was more pronounced in major metropolitan areas in the last year including: Seattle with an 8 percent increase in cuts; San Jose with a 7 percent increase; and a 5 percent increase in San Diego, Riverside, Indianapolis and Los Angeles. In fact, 39 of the 45 largest markets saw an increase in the share of price cuts over last year. As predicted in the realtor.com® 2018 housing forecast, the rate of inventory decline slowed, with only 2 percent fewer for-sale listings on the market than there were in August 2017. Inventory increased 2 percent over July, in line with the typical seasonal increase. The trend continues to gain strength as the last week of August saw the first year-over-year increase in inventory in four years. Approximately 488,000 new listings entered the market during August. San Jose, Seattle and San Diego were the three markets with the biggest inventory jumps over last year, all posting increases of 28 percent or more. Price Gains and Price Cuts in Largest 45 U.S. Metros* * Excluded: Denver, Columbus, Las Vegas due to MLS feed changes during the period analyzed. Realtor.com® tracks national housing trends as well as data for the 500 largest U.S. metros. For August trend data, please visit: https://realtor.com/research/data. About realtor.com® Realtor.com®, The Home of Home Search℠, offers an extensive inventory of for-sale and rental listings, and access to the information, tools and professional expertise to help people move confidently through every step of their home journey. It pioneered the world of digital real estate 20 years ago, and today is the trusted resource for home buyers, sellers and dreamers by making all things home simple, efficient and enjoyable. Realtor.com® is operated by News Corp [Nasdaq: NWS, NWSA] [ASX: NWS, NWSLV] subsidiary Move, Inc. under a perpetual license from the National Association of REALTORS®. For more information, visit realtor.com®.
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Housing Inventory Up In High-Priced Markets
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Home Buyers Forego Garages for School Districts
SANTA CLARA, Calif., July 24, 2018 -- Today's seller's market is forcing buyers to make compromises, but new survey data from realtor.com®, The Home of Home Search, shows buyers remain steadfast in their desire for their preferred school districts. In fact, they are willing to give up two of their most desired home features -- a garage and updated kitchen -- to get into the school district they want. "Most buyers understand that they may not be able to find a home that covers every single item on their wish list," said Danielle Hale, chief economist for realtor.com®. "But our survey shows that school districts are an area where many buyers aren't willing to compromise. For many buyers, 'location, location, location,' means 'schools, schools, schools.'"   The online survey was conducted earlier this month by Harris Research of more than 1,000 people who closed on a home in 2018. Three-quarters of respondents indicated schools were important in their search The majority of successful buyers surveyed, 73 percent, indicated school boundaries were important to their search, with 39 percent indicating very important and 34 percent important. Only 18 percent said they were unimportant or very unimportant, and 9 percent of buyers were neutral on the question. The desire for particular schools varied significantly by life stage and age. Ninety-one percent of buyers with children said that school boundaries were important or very important, compared to 34 percent of those without children. Similarly, younger buyers were more likely to say that schools were important. Eighty-four percent of those 35-54 years old and 86 percent of those 18-34 years old indicated they were important, compared to 37 percent of buyers 55-plus. More than half of older buyers 55-plus said school boundaries were unimportant or very unimportant. Buyers compromise on their top home features for good schools Seventy-eight percent of buyers for whom schools were important and who were able to get into their preferred district said they had to compromise on home features; 22 percent did not. The features they most commonly reported giving up were a garage (19 percent), a large backyard (18 percent), an updated kitchen (17 percent), desired number of bedrooms (17 percent), and an outdoor living area (16 percent). According to realtor.com's spring home buyer survey a garage was the No. 1 feature home buyers were looking for this year, followed by an updated kitchen, and an open floor plan. Older buyers were less likely to say they had to compromise with 42 percent of buyers 55-plus reporting they made no compromises, compared to 21 percent of 35-54 year-old buyers and 17 percent of buyers aged 18-34. Buyers define good schools by test scores and accelerated programs Test scores were the factor most often selected by buyers as a hallmark of a good school (59 percent), followed by having accelerated programs (53 percent), arts and music (49 percent), diversity (43 percent), and before- and after-school programs (41 percent). Younger buyers were more likely than older buyers to cite diversity as a factor that makes for a good school -- 49 percent for 18-34 year-olds, compared to 37 percent for 55-plus. More older buyers placed importance on whether a school has accelerated programs -- 62 percent for 55-plus vs. 50 percent for buyers under 55. Buyers looking for homes in a specific district or school boundary, can search specifically within these parameters on realtor.com.® Buyers simply enter the name of a school or district into the search box on the realtor.com® home page. Homes within the area are then presented on a map with a "pin" showing the school name and location. For more information about the survey, please visit: https://www.realtor.com/research/home-buyers-forego-garages-for-school-districts About realtor.com® Realtor.com®, The Home of Home SearchSM, offers the most comprehensive source of for-sale MLS-listed properties, among competing national sites, and access to information, tools and professional expertise to help people move confidently through every step of their home journey. It pioneered the world of digital real estate 20 years ago, and today is the trusted resource for home buyers, sellers and dreamers by making all things home simple, efficient and enjoyable. Realtor.com® is operated by News Corp [NASDAQ: NWS, NWSA] [ASX: NWS, NWSLV] subsidiary Move, Inc. under a perpetual license from the National Association of REALTORS®. For more information, visit realtor.com®.
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Who's Closing on a Home in the Most Competitive Market of All-Time?
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[Infographic] Housing Market Movers: Baby Boomers
In recent years, baby boomers have been active in the housing market, coming in at a close second to millennials as the largest generation of home buyers, while home prices have remained high and inventory conditions tightened. The National Association of Realtors®' 2018 Profile of Home Buyer and Seller Generational Trends identified that baby boomers are now more likely to buy homes not just for themselves—but also for their aging parents and adult kids saddled with student debt. As baby boomers continue to grow in the market, here is how they compare to other generations of buyers: Second largest generation of buyers (after millennials): 32 percent Most likely to buy a new home: 20 percent Bought a single-family home: 81 percent Most likely to move to another region: 18 percent Obtained a conventional mortgage loan: 66 percent The National Association of Realtors® is America's largest trade association, representing 1.3 million members involved in all aspects of the residential and commercial real estate industries.
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Foreign Investment in U.S. Commercial Real Estate Remains Strong, China and Mexico Top Investors
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Housing Prices Hit New Highs, but Show Signs of Deceleration, Realtor.com May Housing Data Indicates
SANTA CLARA, Calif., May 30, 2018 -- U.S. home prices hit an all-time high of $297,000 and sold faster than ever before in May – in a mere 55 days – but the market also showed hints of slowed momentum, according to the realtor.com® May 2018 monthly housing trend report. Realtor.com® data showed inventory declined 6 percent year over year in May and increased 6 percent compared to April 2018. Median listing prices only grew 8 percent year over year for the third month in a row, down from 10 percent in February. Part of this deceleration can be attributed to 557,000 new listings hitting the market in May, the highest number since July 2015. According to Javier Vivas, director of economic research for realtor.com®: We're in the thick of the hottest home-buying season of all time. The pace of U.S. home sales has officially reached a seasonal and historical high, but we're also beginning to see slight signs of deceleration. As more and more new listings come onto the market, inventory declines are starting to lose momentum. On the surface, this offers a glimmer of hope to homebuyers and, if sustained, could plug the supply leak. However, total listing volume remains highly dependent on new construction, much of which is still out of the price range of first time buyers – the largest segment of buyers. Even as inventory recovers, the mix of what's available versus what shoppers are looking for could become an even more pronounced mismatch. Unfortunately for buyers, median list prices continue to show strong yearly growth and fail to hint that home values will stall any time soon. Offering the most comprehensive source of information for-sale MLS-listed properties, realtor.com®'s tracks national housing trends as well as data for the 500 largest U.S. metros. For May trend data on these markets as well other housing trend data, please visit: https://realtor.com/research/data About realtor.com® Realtor.com®, The Home of Home Search℠, offers the most comprehensive source of for-sale MLS-listed properties, among competing national sites, and access to the information, tools and professional expertise to help people move confidently through every step of their home journey. It pioneered the world of digital real estate 20 years ago, and today is the trusted resource for home buyers, sellers and dreamers by making all things home simple, efficient and enjoyable. Realtor.com® is operated by News Corp [NASDAQ: NWS, NWSA] [ASX: NWS, NWSLV] subsidiary Move, Inc. under a perpetual license from the National Association of REALTORS®. For more information, visit realtor.com.
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Redfin Migration Report: Denver Joins Seattle and San Francisco as a Tech Hub with More People Looking to Move Out than Move In
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Realtors Midyear Forecast: Home Sales, Prices to Rise Despite Inventory, Affordability Challenges
WASHINGTON (May 17, 2018) – A stronger economy, wage growth and an improving job market are expected to march home sales and prices higher in 2018, but low supply and weakening affordability will tamper the rate of increases, according to speakers at a residential real estate forum during the 2018 REALTORS® Legislative Meetings & Trade Expo. Lawrence Yun, chief economist of the National Association of Realtors®, presented his 2018 midyear forecast and said despite headwinds a moderate and multiyear increase in home sales is likely ahead. After accelerating 3.8 percent in 2016, existing home sales rose only 1.1 percent to 5.5 million in 2017 and are forecast to finish 2018 at a pace of around 5.6 million (up 1.8 percent). He projects 5.7 million sales for 2019. "Overall fundamentals remain solid, driven by a growing economy and steady job creation, which will sustain home sales in 2018 slightly above last year's pace," said Yun. "The worsening housing shortage means home prices are primed to rise further this year too, hindering affordability conditions for homebuyers in markets across the country." Yun said the widespread shortage of homes for sale is the major factor limiting sales from being higher. While home sales have risen modestly since the start of the year, Yun said without more supply to fully satisfy demand and alleviate the upward pressure on prices, contract activity is likely to remain flat and will more or less continue sideways through the end of the year. Total housing inventory at the end of March was 1.67 million existing homes available for sale, which is 7.2 percent lower than a year ago (1.80 million). Inventory has trended down steadily for the past five years, said Yun, and the country is now experiencing the lowest inventory levels in a generation; unsold inventory is at a 3.6-month supply at the current sales pace, down from 3.8 months a year ago. Yun was joined onstage by Danielle Hale, chief economist at realtor.com®, who agreed there is an acute shortage, especially of affordable inventory. According to realtor.com® data there are 250,000 fewer starter homes, those priced under $200,000, now than there was two years ago, in May 2015. Millennials, boomers and investors may all be going after the same affordable inventory of homes, so competition is great, said Hale. "There is reason for optimism ahead though. We are starting to see new listings grow in recent months; the inventory shortage isn't over, it took us years to get into an inventory rut, so it's going to take us years to get out of it, but we do see signs of a turnaround," she said. Home price growth, up 48 percent from 2011 to 2017 and likely to rise an additional 4 percent in 2018, is far outpacing income growth, up only 15 percent during the same timeframe. Increased home prices on top of rising mortgage rates – Yun anticipates rates will rise to 4.6 percent in 2018 and 5 percent in 2019 – puts affordability at a six-year low, according to NAR's Housing Affordability Index, and will likely continue to fall in coming months. "Challenging affordability conditions have prevented a meaningful rise in the homeownership rate after having fallen to a 50-year low a few years ago," said Yun. "To increase homeownership, more home construction is needed, which could be boosted by delivering regulatory relief to community banks, removing the lumber tariff, re-examining stringent zoning laws and training more workers for the construction industry." On the topic of homeownership rates, Jessica Lautz, NAR's director of demographics and behavioral insights, presented findings during the forum from her thesis from Nottingham Trent University: "Is the Dream Still Alive? Tracking Homeownership Amid Changing Economic and Demographic Conditions". According to Lautz's doctoral work, the affordability crisis has impacted some segments of homebuyers more than others, specifically African American and Hispanic/Latino buyers and those with student debt. Student loan debt has risen dramatically and is a massive barrier to homeownership, said Lautz, and it is delaying home purchases among millennials who are paying their debt by a median of seven years. Her research found that consumers with student loan debt who were successful in buying purchased a home costing 17 percent less than those without any student debt. "The homeownership rate amongst some ethnic groups hasn't rebounded since the recession, and the ongoing affordability crisis has hampered potential buyers under 35, especially those with student debt, from accessing mortgage credit and making home purchases," said Lautz. Yun said consumer optimism that now is a good time to buy a home has fallen the past two years, according to data from NAR and other industry consumer sentiment surveys. While the lack of supply and challenging affordability conditions is chipping away at homebuyer optimism, Hale said buyers aren't giving up their dreams of purchasing a home. New survey data from realtor.com® found three-fourths of recent shoppers started their home search in 2017 and are still in the market in 2018. "Buyers know it's tough, 35 percent of shoppers anticipate a lot of competition, but they remain optimistic, and more than 70 percent expect to close in 2018," she said. Yun said affordability conditions would improve measurably if homebuilders increased their production of homes, especially in the affordable price ranges. He forecasts starts to come in around 1.3 million in 2018 and reach 1.4 million in 2019, but that is barely above year-ago levels and well below demand. The National Association of Realtors® is America's largest trade association, representing 1.3 million members involved in all aspects of the residential and commercial real estate industries.
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Realtor.com Identifies Toughest Housing Markets for Millennials
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Realtors Property Resource (RPR) Sees Record Usage
CHICAGO (April 6, 2018) — Realtors Property Resource®, a subsidiary of the National Association of Realtors®, reached a major milestone for user engagement on the real estate data and analytics platform. Overall engagement among NAR members for the month of March 2018 soared to a record 178,000 - a notable 16 percent increase from March 2017. As one of the platform's key performance indicators, RPR measures usage among several categories, from the number of individual sessions and new website visitors to account creations and webinar registrations. Among those categories, first quarter 2018 web sessions topped 3.7 million, a 27.7 percent increase year over year. RPR webinars witnessed a 135 percent increase in registrations; the average attendance per webinar increased by 158 percent. The number of newly-created accounts in the first quarter also tipped the scales with more than 18,000 Realtors® registering for the platform. RPR Mobile™, the flagship of the platform's "anytime, anywhere" offerings, also experienced significant growth in the first quarter of 2018 with app downloads exceeding 402,000 by Realtors® nationwide. The record numbers are reflective of Realtors®' increasing use of the platform's high-value market data and reports to better serve clients and customers. "I make it my business to help buyers make indisputable offers, lead sellers to realistic list prices, and allow for everyone I represent to benefit from the transaction," says Jickson Chacko, a Realtor® with HomeSmart Realty Group in Denver, Colorado. "And I couldn't do it without RPR." RPR Chief Operating Officer Jeff Young echoed Chacko's sentiment. "We're delighted by the upsurge in activity among our members," says Young. "There's a rising tide among Realtors® who want to know more about how RPR can help build their businesses. We believe 2018 will be a pivotal year for RPR's success." Realtors Property Resource, LLC® (RPR®), a subsidiary of the National Association Of Realtors®, is an exclusive online real estate database created to support the core competence of its members. Covering more than 160 million residential and commercial U.S. properties, RPR provides Realtors® with the analytical power to help clients make informed decisions while increasing efficiency in the marketplace. For more on RPR, visit blog.narrpr.com. The National Association of Realtors® is America's largest trade association, representing 1.3 million members involved in all aspects of the residential and commercial real estate industries.
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Millennial Buyers Feel the Brunt of Rate and Price Hikes
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Rising Rents Push Millennials to Become Homeowners
SANTA CLARA, Calif., March 30, 2018 -- This year, the typical spring buyer is on the hunt for a three bedroom, two bathroom home with a garage and up-to-date kitchen, according to a new survey released today from realtor.com®, a leading online real estate destination. The survey also revealed family needs and rising rents are motivating millennials to get into the market, while 55+ buyers are looking for privacy and comfort in their new home. "Although record-low inventory and high prices make this housing market unique, some classic features still top most shoppers' wish lists," said Danielle Hale, chief economist for realtor.com®. "At the same time, we found some clear differences in priorities. For instance, older buyers are concerned with privacy and being able to age comfortably, while millennials place more emphasis on family needs, stability, and personal expression." Based on online survey of more than 1,000 active buyers conducted in early March by Toluna Research, the survey provides insight into both the most sought after homes as well as the motivations underpinning what shoppers are looking for. Majority of buyers want space, multiple bathrooms, and a garage The survey found many commonalities among homebuyers of all ages. In fact, 44 percent of all respondents said they are looking for a three-bedroom home and 93 percent of respondents want at least two bathrooms. Additionally, 27 percent of all buyers rate a garage as one of the most important home features, ahead of an updated kitchen, 24 percent, and open floor plan, 20 percent. Older Buyers Want Privacy and Comfort; Millennials Favor Family and Self-Expression According to the survey, more than 20 percent of buyers 55 years and older said that privacy – having a space solely of their own – was their main goal for purchasing a home. That was followed by their motivation for physical comforts at 18 percent and stability, at 15 percent. By contrast, family needs took precedence for younger buyers. Fulfilling family needs took the top spot for millennial buyers, at 17 percent, followed by stability at 14 percent and personal expression at 13 percent. Only 12 percent of buyers younger than 55 cited privacy as their chief priority. Only 9 percent of 35- to 54-year-old buyers and 6 percent of 55+ cited personal expression as a main goal for purchasing a home. For Millennials, the Rent is Too High Twenty-three percent of buyers between 18 and 34 years old reported rising rent as a trigger for their desire to purchase a home – more than any other option. This corresponds with steep increases in rents across the country in recent years, especially in many high-cost urban areas that have become magnets for millennials. HUD data shows that rents were up in 85 of the top 100 metro areas, including 9 metros where rents were up by double-digit percent from a year ago. Millennials Like Contemporary and Colonial Homes; Older Buyers Prefer Ranches Among millennials who expressed a home-style preference – 11 percent didn't – contemporary and colonial homes took the top spots, each favored by 10 percent of respondents. On the other hand, ranches are the most popular home style for buyers 55 and older, favored by 28 percent, followed distantly by contemporary homes at 12 percent. Only 6 percent of millennials favor ranch homes. For the full results, please click here. Information about realtor.com®'s 2017 home buyer preference survey is available here. About realtor.com® Realtor.com® is the trusted resource for home buyers, sellers and dreamers, offering the most comprehensive source of for-sale properties, among competing national sites, and the information, tools and professional expertise to help people move confidently through every step of their home journey. It pioneered the world of digital real estate 20 years ago, and today helps make all things home simple, efficient and enjoyable. Realtor.com® is operated by News Corp [NASDAQ: NWS, NWSA] [ASX: NWS, NWSLV] subsidiary Move, Inc. under a perpetual license from the National Association of REALTORS®. For more information, visit realtor.com®.
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Millennials Lead All Homebuyers, Even as Some Can't Escape Their Parents
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Home Shoppers Move Beyond the Suburbs
Relative affordability, inventory, and jobs are making under the radar secondary markets more appealing SANTA CLARA, Calif., March 1, 2018 -- Forty-one straight months of inventory declines and housing price gains are prompting buyers to expand their home search beyond their immediate metro markets to under the radar secondary markets, according to a new report released today by realtor.com®, a leading online real estate website, that gives insight into which may be America's next top markets to watch. Data shows demand for these markets is being driven by relative affordability, inventory, and strong job markets. The list, in rank order, includes: Spokane, Wash.; Portland, Maine; Knoxville, Tenn.; Deltona, Fla.; Boise, Idaho; Jacksonville, Fla.; Charleston, S.C.; North Port, Fla.; Bakersfield, Calif., and Chattanooga, Tenn. Areas were ranked based on their ratio of inbound to outbound searches, a comparison of people looking in and out of the metro. "Buyers have traditionally sought refuge in the suburbs during times of high home prices," said Javier Vivas, director of economic research at realtor.com®. "But with today's record highs even the suburbs have gotten pricey, which has demand flooding outward as options disappear and prices move further out of reach in top job hubs." Expensive metros fueling demand Generally, those searching in the top 10 are located in the same state or region, but in a far more expensive housing market and likely looking for some price relief. The majority of demand for Spokane, which has a median listing price of $264,000 is coming from Seattle, where the median listing price has reached $500,000. Deltona, where the median listing price is $270,000, and Jacksonville, which has a median home listing price of $307,000, are seeing most of their demand from Miami, where the median home price is $388,000. Although in different states, demand for the new Boise tech hub that has a median price of $299,000 is coming from Los Angeles with a median price of $706,000, Sacramento, Calif. with a median of $443,000, and San Francisco with a median of $846,000. See Figure 1 for full list. "The markets on this list offer affordable housing options and a chance to move up for those who are willing to change jobs or take on longer commutes," added Vivas. Homes available for sale One of the largest factors driving people to these markets is inventory availability. Approximately 1.3 percent of all the homes in these areas are available for sale, compared to 0.9 percent of homes in the top 100 largest U.S. metros. When compared to the markets driving demand to these areas, the difference is even greater. In Florida, Deltona and North Port have 2.1 and 2.2 percent of inventory available for sale, respectively, as compared to their largest viewers of Orlando with .9 percent and New York .8 percent, respectively. Charleston has 1.8 percent of inventory available, compared to 0.8 percent in New York. Boise has 0.9 percent of available, compared to 0.4 percent in Los Angeles. Strong, growing job markets The majority of the areas on the list also have strong job markets. In fact, the average unemployment rate in the top 10 is 3.9 percent, compared to the national rate of 4.1 percent. Portland and Boise offer the lowest unemployment rates of 2.7 percent and 2.8 percent, respectively. Additionally, average projected employment growth this year is 1.8 percent in the top 10, compared to 1.3 percent for the entire list of metros analyzed. Their projected job growth also beat the metros from where they received inbound demand, which averaged 1.3 percent. America's Top 10 Markets to Watch 1. Spokane, Wash. – Located on the eastern edge of Washington, Spokane boasts of tons lakes and parks for those who love to be outdoors, as well as a burgeoning wine scene. Northtown is a popular neighborhood for new and established families because of the quality schools and a strong sense of community in the area. Hutton Elementary and Mead High School are two of the area's top performing schools, earning a score of 9 and 8, respectively on Great Schools. Spokane is also home to Gonzaga University, a private Roman Catholic university that is a large employer in the area. In addition to Gonzaga, Providence Sacred Heart Medical Center & Children's Hospital employs over 5,000 people. Key market statistics – Spokane has a median list price of $264,000 with a median income of $51,000. It is expected to see 2.7 percent job growth this year. 2. Portland, Maine – Portland sits on a peninsula of Casco Bay and is home to areas like Old Port, which is filled with hip bars, boutique shopping, and coffee shops galore. The family-friendly inland area, such as the town of West End, features grand Victorian homes and a strong sense of community. Many people move to this area to escape the hustle and bustle of the city and to cut down their commute. In addition to the many boutique bars, restaurants, and stores that Portland has to offer, major employers include: TD Bank North, the Maine Medical Center, and Unum Life Insurance. Key market statistics – Portland has a median list price of $340,000 with a median income of $68,000. It is expected to have flat job growth this year. 3. Knoxville, Tenn. – Knoxville is popular with a lot of young families because of its relatively low cost of living and high quality of life. The neighborhood of Shady Grove, located southeast of Knoxville, is highly sought after because of its strong school system and close community. L&N Stem Academy and Farragut High School are two of the area's top performing schools, each earning a score of 10 on Great Schools. While Knoxville isn't as well known for entertainment as Nashville, it is home to AC Entertainment, which founded Bonnaroo and High Water Music Festival, and organizes more than 1,000 concerts a year nationally. Key market statistics – Knoxville has a median list price of $247,000 with a median income of $52,000. It is expected to have .9 percent job growth this year. 4. Deltona-Daytona Beach, Fla. – The sunshine draws lots of snowbirds from the north down to Deltona-Daytona Beach to escape cold winters. It appeals to all generations as the area sees both new and established families moving to the area, as well as a generous amount of retirees. Located south of Dayton is Deltona, formerly known as Deltona Lakes, because of its location on the north shore of Lake Monroe. Deltona serves as a commuter city between Daytona and Orlando where many of its residents work. Daytona is a mecca for race enthusiast with the Daytona International Speedway and NASCAR rounding out some of the area's largest employers. Key market statistics – Deltona Beach has a median list price of $270,000 with a median income of $47,000. It is expected to have 2.7 percent job growth this year. 5. Boise, Idaho – Boise features a high quality of life with easy access to outdoor activities, which have made it perfect for those who want to live near a city, but still enjoy the outdoors. The North End is a popular area of Boise known for its historic housing and tree-lined streets. St. Luke's Medical Center, Micron Technology and the West Ada School District round out the area's top employers. Key market statistics – Boise has a median list price of $299,000 with a median income of $56,000. It is expected to have 2.3 percent job growth this year. 6. Jacksonville, Fla. – Jacksonville is a destination for many northerners and south Floridians. Homes ranging from entry level to luxury are all flying off-market, with Atlantic Beach being a supremely popular neighborhood. A top-tier school system, including Bartram Springs Elementary, James Weldon Johnson College Preparatory, and Jacksonville Beach Elementary, which all scored 10s on Great Schools, as well as a strong sense of community make this a very family oriented area. The Jacksonville Naval Station and the Duval Public Schools are the areas two largest employers. Key market statistics – Jacksonville has a median list price of $307,000 with a median income of $59,000. It is expected to have 2.2 percent job growth this year. 7. Charleston, S.C. – Charleston S.C. is where laidback surf vibes meet southern hospitality. The neighborhood of Cannonborough is known for its historic homes, while Upper King boasts of new construction as well as nightlife and great restaurants. The area is seeing lots of older families and professionals from colder states moving to the area. Charleston is also home to Joint Base Charleston, a military facility that sits partially in Charleston and partially in the nearby city of Goose Creek, is the area's largest employer. In addition to the military facility, the Medical University of South Carolina is the area's second largest employer. Key market statistics – Charleston has a median list price of $364,000 with a median income of $63,000. It is expected to have .9 percent job growth this year. 8. North Port Sarasota-Bradenton, Fla. – Downtown Sarasota is going through a revitalization process which is drawing many young professionals to the area. With neighborhoods like Gulf Gate, housing is affordable and the quality of life is high, making it great for both young families and retirees. Gulf Gates close proximity to downtown also makes it popular for those that enjoy the many boutique restaurants and bars the area has to offer. For baseball fans, North Port will become the official home of Spring Training for the Atlanta Braves, starting in 2019. Sarasota Memorial Healthcare System is the area's largest employer, but the area is also home to the Tervis headquarters, which is known for its insulated drinkware. In Bradenton you can find the headquarters for Champs Sports, a nationwide sports apparel company. Key market statistics – Sarasota has a median list price of $350,000 with a median income of $60,000. It is expected to have 2.1 percent job growth this year. 9. Bakersfield, Calif. – Affordable homes, relative to the rest of California, make Bakersfield, especially the North West area, popular with people in every stage of life. Young families are drawn to the area because of the quality of life and a strong school system, while older generations and retirees are drawn to the area because they are able to get a big bang for their buck. Bakersfield Memorial Hospital is the area's largest employer, while Chevron Corporation comes in a close second, followed by Ensign United States Drilling. Key market statistics – Bakersfield has a median list price of $239,000 with a median income of $56,000. It is expected to have 1.1 percent job growth this year. 10. Chattanooga, Tenn. – Chattanooga hosts a vibrant nightlife scene, with plenty of bars and restaurants, as well as easy access to the mountains and lakes for those who enjoy spending time outdoors. East Brainerd, located just 20 minutes from downtown, is popular with young couples and new families, while Hixson boasts higher-end real estate market great for established professionals and families. Volkswagen recently completed a $1 billion production facility in Chattanooga that serves as its North American manufacturing headquarters, and they just announced an additional investment of $600 million and 2,000 new jobs to produce their SUV line. Key market statistics – Chattanooga has a median list price of $230,000 with a median income of $53,000. It is expected to have 2.6 percent job growth this year. Methodology: The top 10 markets to watch list is ranked based on metros with the highest ratio of inbound searches compared to outbound searches on realtor.com®. This cross-market demand data functions as an early alert system, capturing home search activity early in buying cycle and acts as a good predictor of eventual sales activity. To view the full methodology and report, which includes an analysis of markets with the lowest inbound/outbound view ratio and areas where the ratio has grown the most, please click here. About realtor.com® Realtor.com® is the trusted resource for home buyers, sellers and dreamers, offering the most comprehensive source of for-sale properties, among competing national sites, and the information, tools and professional expertise to help people move confidently through every step of their home journey. It pioneered the world of digital real estate 20 years ago, and today helps make all things home simple, efficient and enjoyable. Realtor.com® is operated by News Corp [NASDAQ: NWS, NWSA] [ASX: NWS, NWSLV] subsidiary Move, Inc. under a perpetual license from the National Association of REALTORS®. For more information, visit realtor.com.
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Redfin Survey: 35% of Recent Homebuyers Bid on a Home Before Seeing it in Person
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Is Salt Lake City the 'Next Denver'?
Growing economy, millennials moving in, and affordable homes point to big growth ahead SANTA CLARA, Calif., Feb. 23, 2018 -- Salt Lake City and Denver have more in common than the fact they are big cities, near big mountains. According to new realtor.com data, Salt Lake City's housing market is seeing the same rapid growth patterns that occurred in Denver in early 2015 and 2016 and that drove the city to the top of the nation's hot housing markets. The Salt Lake City metropolitan area is projected to have one of the strongest housing markets in the country in 2018, with home prices and sales expected to reach 4.5 percent and 4.6 percent growth, respectively, over last year. Just like Denver, the factors driving its strength are a growing economy, relative affordability and an increasing millennial population. In fact, with home prices growing three times faster and supply moving a full week faster in the span of a year, Salt Lake City resembles Denver at the beginning of its boom. "In just a handful of years, an influx of jobs and millennials drove Denver's housing market from strong and stable to rising like the Rockies," said Javier Vivas, director of economic research for realtor.com®. "If Salt Lake City is able to continue generating jobs and attracting well-educated young people, the market has the potential to continue to climb to 'Mile High City'-type heights." A primary cause of Salt Lake City's momentum is its robust economic picture and growing population. The local Salt Lake City economy is growing at 9 percent year-over-year, more than two times faster than the national average. The city is also adding jobs at nearly three times the overall U.S. pace, with employment growing at 3.6 percent year-over-year. Household incomes in the area are growing at 5.4 percent year-over-year, nearly twice the rate for the country as a whole. Last year, population topped 3 million for the first time, which has contributed to an uptick in demand in the market. Despite its strong economy, Salt Lake City remains relatively affordable, particularly in comparison to other hot mid-to-large cities. The median sales price in Salt Lake City at the end of 2017 was $273,000, which is $20,000, $70,000 and $90,000 lower than other growing markets of Austin, Texas; Portland, Ore., and Denver, respectively. A median income household in Salt Lake City can buy a median-priced home with 32 percent of its annual income, roughly in-line with the generally accepted maximum. Market dynamics in Salt Lake City are being driven by its larger-than-average, and growing, proportion of millennials. In fact, its millennial population is 1.3 times higher than the U.S. average and made up 46 percent of its mortgages in 2017, beating the U.S. average by 9 percent. Looking at realtor.com® search activity, Salt Lake City has been drawing interest from Los Angeles, Denver, Las Vegas and San Francisco, showing that it is likely absorbing unquenched millennial demand from these hot markets. Although realtor.com® predicts that demand will be strong and constant in Salt Lake City over the next few years, the longer-term outlook for the city's housing market depends on its ability to continue to create jobs for young professionals and drive housing market demand. If it's successful at doing so – as Denver so far has been – then the Denver market's current conditions provide a reasonable snapshot of what is in store for Salt Lake City. About realtor.com® Realtor.com® is the trusted resource for home buyers, sellers and dreamers, offering the most comprehensive source of for-sale properties, among competing national sites, and the information, tools and professional expertise to help people move confidently through every step of their home journey. It pioneered the world of digital real estate 20 years ago, and today helps make all things home simple, efficient and enjoyable. Realtor.com® is operated by News Corp [NASDAQ: NWS, NWSA] [ASX: NWS, NWSLV] subsidiary Move, Inc. under a perpetual license from the National Association of REALTORS®. For more information, visit realtor.com.
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Redfin Survey: 15 Percent of Respondents Sold Their Home or Did Not Buy Last Year Due to Concerns about Immigration Policies
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Realtor.com's 2018 Housing Insights Showcase Opportunities for Builders at The NAHB International Builders' Show
Economic projections available at Builders Digital Experience booth ORLANDO, Fla., Jan. 9, 2018 -- Realtor.com® partnered with Builders Digital Experience (BDX) to deliver its unique housing economic insights to the builder community, releasing a special edition of its 2018 Housing Forecast today at The NAHB International Builders' Show®. Realtor.com® 's 2018 housing forecast highlights a growing economy and positive demographic trends, creating opportunities in the housing market despite the affordability challenges buyers will face from rising prices and mortgage rates. Key takeaways for builders in 2018 include: Entry-level home construction a huge opportunity – Entry-level homes will continue to see price gains due to the larger number of buyers who can afford them and more limited homes available for sale in this price range. Millennials anticipated to gain market share in all home price segments – With the largest cohort of millennials expected to turn 30 in 2020, their homeownership market share is expected to increase. As they age into peak family forming years, their top housing priorities will shift from proximity to urban life to more space and quality schools. Southern markets predicted to lead in sales growth – Strong economies and healthy building levels will help drive Southern markets to beat the national average home sales growth. Builders who can adapt to regulatory hurdles in more challenging Western markets will find that prices still outperform national average growth in this region. The tax bill is a game changer – With the passing of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, the wealth and income effect of tax cuts will likely stimulate demand and increased production in the short term, but could lead to fewer sales and impact prices negatively over time in markets with higher prices and property taxes. Be wary of economic capacity constraints as inflation will kick in and the Fed will more aggressively increment interest rate increases. "Our collaboration with BDX over the last eight years has enabled builders throughout the country to connect with millions of realtor.com® users," said Tricia Smith, senior vice president of channel sales and operations at realtor.com®. "We are proud to deliver our housing insights to the builder community at a time when many opportunities exist for the new construction industry." "Our relationship with realtor.com® gives our builders a significant advantage as they are marketing their homes," said Tim Costello, CEO of BDX. "From new home community listings to multiple advertising options, we are excited to give our clients the opportunity to connect to this qualified and active group of shoppers." A copy of the full realtor.com® 2018 Housing Forecast, is available at the BDX booth, West Hall W5071, from Jan. 9 - 11. For more housing insights, visit the realtor.com® research portal at www.realtor.com/research. About realtor.com® Realtor.com® is a leading online real estate destination operated by News Corp [NASDAQ: NWS, NWSA]; [ASX: NWS, NWSLV] subsidiary Move, Inc. Realtor.com®, a trusted resource for home buyers, sellers and dreamers, offers the most comprehensive source of for-sale properties, among competing national sites, and the information, tools and professional expertise to help people move confidently through every step of their home journey. It pioneered the world of digital real estate 20 years ago, and today helps make all things home simple, efficient and enjoyable. Realtor.com® is operated by Move under a perpetual license from the National Association of REALTORS®. For more information, visit realtor.com®. About Builders Digital Experience For more than 16 years, Builders Digital Experience (BDX) has been a leading provider of digital marketing and sales solutions for the home building industry. In addition to running the top new home listing site (NewHomeSource.com), and providing listings and advertising on leading real estate website realtor.com®, BDX offers website development, virtual reality solutions, interactive floor plans, photo realistic renderings, online design centers, and sales center kiosks. Together, these online and interactive resources help builders and manufacturers create a true digital experience for their buyers. BDX is owned by the industry and works with over 1000 clients. For more information, visit http://www.theBDX.com or stop by booth W5071 at the International Builders Show in Orlando.
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Millennials and Silent Generation Drive Desire for Walkable Communities, Say Realtors
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18 Bitcoins will Buy the Average American Home
Redfin Says People are Beginning to Bring Cryptocurrency to the Housing Market SEATTLE--(Dec. 15, 2017) — Redfin, the next-generation real estate brokerage, has seen cryptocurrency starting to become part of the discussion with some clients buying and selling homes over the past three months. Agents in Boston, Chicago, Houston, Philadelphia, Washington D.C. and several cities in California said they've had conversations with people about using cryptocurrency as part of their transaction. Currently, Redfin does not accept cryptocurrency as a form of payment. Bitcoin, the first digital currency that works without a bank or middleman, surged 183.6 percent in the last month, from $5,870.37 per coin on Nov. 12 to $16,650.01 on Dec. 12, according to Bitstamp data. Its market cap is more than $293 billion, and while some analysts warn of a crypto bubble, others say Bitcoin could eventually compete against the gold market. Regardless, cryptocurrency has created fast wealth for investors, and now some are cashing out and going house hunting. Carina Isentaeva, a Redfin agent in San Francisco, recently helped a client write an offer on a luxury home in Silicon Valley that was contingent on the sale of cryptocurrency. The offer was accepted, but the buyer ended up backing out when his cryptocurrency didn't sell. Isentaeva said she's confident he will buy when it does. Jeremy Paul, a Redfin agent in San Diego, also worked with clients who held Bitcoin. He said his clients cashed out two bitcoins, valued at $7,435 each, to cover the closing costs on a home in Carlsbad, CA. And homebuyers aren't the only ones in the cryptocurrency game. Redfin found 75 listings nationwide in which the seller mentioned he or she will accept Bitcoin as payment. The seller of a condo in Miami is requesting payment in Bitcoin only; it will cost the buyer 33 coins. One way to illustrate the unprecedented growth of Bitcoin is to look at the price of the typical home in bitcoins over the past year. For example, in January 2016 in San Francisco, the typical home would have cost a buyer 2,805 bitcoins. Today, the median home in San Francisco is 82 bitcoins. For buyers who have made a lot of money on the recent surge in cryptocurrency value, buying a home is a reasonable way to use the proceeds. For sellers accepting bitcoin, however, it's riskier because accepting cryptocurrency as payment is a bet that it's going to continue to increase. "It's hard to say whether the use of cryptocurrency to buy and sell homes is a long-term trend or just a blip based on the recent spike in value," said Redfin chief economist Nela Richardson. "In some ways, cryptocurrency investors have just won the lottery, and so it makes perfect sense to buy their dream home. On the other side of the ‘coin', sellers probably wouldn't accept lottery tickets as payment." Read the full story here. About Redfin Redfin is the next-generation real estate brokerage, combining its own full-service agents with modern technology to redefine real estate in the consumer's favor. Founded by software engineers, Redfin has the country's #1 brokerage website and offers a host of online tools to consumers, including the Redfin Estimate, the automated home-value estimate with the industry's lowest published error rate for listed homes. Homebuyers and sellers enjoy a full-service, technology-powered experience from Redfin real estate agents, while saving thousands in commissions. Redfin serves more than 80 major metro areas across the U.S. The company has closed more than $50 billion in home sales.
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Tax Bill Raises Concerns about Homeownership; Most Will Change Buying or Selling Plans
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CFPB Launches New Mortgage Performance Trends Tool for Tracking Delinquency Rates
Newly Available Data Shows Lowest Mortgage Delinquency Rate Since the Financial Crisis WASHINGTON, D.C. – The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) today announced the launch of a new Mortgage Performance Trends tool that tracks delinquency rates nationwide. Information newly available through this tool shows that mortgage delinquency rates nationally are at their lowest point since the financial crisis. In addition to national data, the online tool features interactive charts and graphs with data on mortgage delinquency rates for 50 states and the District of Columbia at the county and metro-area level. "Measuring the number of consumers who have fallen behind on their mortgage payments is a telling barometer of the health of mortgage markets locally and nationally," said CFPB Director Richard Cordray. "This rich information source identifies mortgage delinquency rates down to the county and metro-area level, making it a useful public tool." With a combined value of roughly $10 trillion, mortgages make up the nation’s largest consumer credit market. A delinquent mortgage is a home loan for which the borrower has failed to make payments as required in the loan documents. If the borrower can't bring the payments on a delinquent mortgage current within a certain time period, the lender may begin foreclosure proceedings. Whether consumers can make their mortgage payments is an important sign of the health of the mortgage market and the overall economy. For instance, job growth, higher wages, and higher home values generally lead to fewer missed or late mortgage payments. The Mortgage Performance Trends tool measures the delinquency rates in two general categories. The first category is comprised of borrowers who are 30 to 89 days behind on their mortgage payments, which generally means they have missed one or two payments. Tracking this rate can detect trends in the increase or decrease in the number of delinquencies, and act as an early warning sign for mortgage market developments that impact the overall economy. The second category is serious delinquencies, which is made up of borrowers who are more than 90 days overdue. If high, this rate reflects more severe economic distress. The interactive charts and maps in the tool track monthly changes in both categories of delinquency rates starting in 2008, when the financial crisis was unfolding. Leading up to the crisis, some lenders originated mortgages to consumers without considering their ability to repay the loans. The decline in underwriting standards led to skyrocketing rates of mortgage delinquencies and foreclosures. As required by the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act, the CFPB put in place rules to address the issues that helped trigger the crisis. These rules require lenders to assess a borrower’s ability to repay a mortgage before making the loan and require servicers to assist borrowers struggling to repay their mortgages. Mortgage delinquency data reflected in the Mortgage Performance Trends tool shows that among other things: Rates of serious delinquency are at the lowest level since the financial crisis: According to the data, the national rate of seriously delinquent mortgages peaked at 4.9 percent in 2010. As of March 2017, the rate had fallen to 1.1 percent, the lowest level since 2008. Colorado and Alaska have the fewest serious delinquencies, with 0.5 percent. New Jersey and Mississippi have the highest rates of delinquencies of more than 90 days, with 2.1 percent. For mortgages that are delinquent by less than 90 days, Mississippi has the highest rate, at 4.3 percent. Washington State has the lowest rate, at 1 percent. Most states hardest hit by the housing crisis have steadily recovered: At the peak of the financial crisis, both California and Arizona had rates of serious delinquencies of 7.5 percent and 7.6 percent, respectively, and both are now below 1 percent. Nevada, which peaked at 10.7 percent, now has a serious delinquency rate of 1.2 percent, nearly the same as the national average. Florida, which peaked at 9.0 percent, now has a rate of 1.4 percent. Information in the Mortgage Performance Trends tool comes from the National Mortgage Database, which the CFPB and the Federal Housing Finance Agency launched in 2012. The database supports policymaking and research, and helps regulators better understand emerging mortgage and housing market trends. The National Mortgage Database includes information spanning the life of a mortgage loan from origination through servicing and captures a variety of borrower characteristics. It is a nationally representative sample of all outstanding, closed-end, first-lien mortgages for one-to-four family residences. The Mortgage Performance Trends tool has many protections in place to protect personal identity. Before the CFPB or the FHFA receive data for the National Mortgage Database, all records are stripped of information that might reveal a consumer’s identity, such as names, addresses, and Social Security numbers. The new Mortgage Performance Trends tool can be found here.
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Realtor.com and Yelp Name the Hottest Hipster Markets in America
Columbus, Ohio, Seattle, and San Diego, Calif. rank No. 1, No. 2 and No. 3 SANTA CLARA, Calif., and SAN FRANCISCO, Oct. 5, 2017 -- Can't live without your artisanal coffee, avocado toast or an indie record store? Columbus is the place for you, according to a new data collaboration from realtor.com®, a leading online real estate destination operated by News Corp subsidiary Move, Inc., and Yelp, the company that connects consumers with great local businesses. Released today, the realtor.com® Yelp Hottest Hipster Markets in America list identifies the most in-demand housing markets in the U.S. with the highest concentrations of "hipster" businesses for home buyers looking to embrace indie culture. In rank order, the Hottest Hipster Markets in America by ZIP code include: Columbus (43202), Seattle (98122), San Diego (92104), Fort Wayne, Ind. (46802), Rochester, N.Y. (14620), San Francisco (94117), Long Beach, Calif. (90814), Louisville, Ky. (40217), Grand Rapids, Mich. (49506) and Colorado Springs, Colo. (17820). "Although their opinions about their music and fashion may be out of the norm, when it comes to real estate -- hipsters have a knack for getting it right," said Javier Vivas, director of economic research for realtor.com®. "Based on our research, there's clear evidence that "hipster" popularity – in markets like Austin, Texas – has led to mainstream interest and higher home prices over time. Whether it's the farm-to-table restaurants or urban renewal projects that were already underway, a concentration of hipsters seems to be an indicator of a hot housing market." From a housing perspective, all the markets on the realtor.com® Yelp Hottest Hipster Markets in America list have strong market dynamics, showing healthy buyer demand with homes selling in an average of 30 days. Each market also has low or average unemployment rates ranging from 2.7 percent to 4.6 percent, compared to 4.4 nationally. With all the hipster businesses in town it comes as no surprise that these markets are also highly sought after by millennials. Overall, millennials -- ages 25 to 34 -- in the top ten markets make up an average of 22 percent of the population, higher than the national population share of millennials of 13 percent. Additionally, these markets are continuing to draw interest from a younger crowd, as the millennial age group is viewing property listings at a rate 1.2 times greater than the share of millennials already living in the area, indicating strong interest from other millennials wanting to move into these neighborhoods. Yelp data shows that mentions of "hipster" occur across a wide range of businesses, from music venues and dive bars, to restaurants, barbers, and vinyl record shops. While some cities and ZIP codes, like Seattle, may be more recognizable as traditional hipster havens, Yelp data shows that there are many under-the-radar locations where Yelpers have identified neighborhoods that tout cool, hipster businesses. The average star rating of businesses with mentions of hipster in the Columbus zip code is 3.8, with the top 10 ZIP codes averaging 4 stars. Beyond searching for hipster businesses, Yelp also offers tools for homeowners like Request a Quote, which allows people to send requests to up to 10 home service providers at once. "Yelpers are great at identifying up-and-coming areas and businesses, which allows us to predict trends as well as uncover detailed data on what's happening in local economies right now," said Carl Bialik, Yelp data editor. "While 'hipster' is something of a cliche, it turns out to be a useful term to uncover the types of businesses and attributes we often associate with cool hunters, such as visually appealing interiors and less touristy parts of town." The realtor.com® Yelp Hottest Hipster Markets in America list was developed by first leveraging Yelp data to rank ZIP codes by the greatest gap between the share of reviews in the ZIP containing the word "hipster" and the share in the ZIP's city. The realtor.com® Market Hotness Index was then calculated for each market (based on realtor.com® page views and days on market). Markets were then ranked based on a composite index made up of both the Yelp differential and the realtor.com® hotness index. Only one ZIP code per metropolitan area was included. The neighborhoods listed have the most businesses associated with that neighborhood within the ZIP code. To read more about the findings, please visit: realtor.com research + Yelp blogs. Facts About Realtor.com® and Yelp's Top 10 Hipster Markets 1. Columbus - ZIP 43202 (Clintonville, Ohio) The draw: Columbus features art, music, theater, museums, and culture, in addition to being home to Ohio State University. It has a strong economic ecosystem with employers like JP Morgan Chase and a thriving startup scene, with nearly 72 startups for every 1,000 businesses in the area. In addition, after New York and Los Angeles, Columbus is home to more fashion designers than any other U.S. metro area, with a pipeline of young design talent coming from the Columbus College of Art & Design. Clintonville hipster hotspot: Harvest Bar + KitchenReview highlights: Kale Caesar salad, lunch special The stats: The median listing price is $269,455. The median household earns $44,007 a year, with a low county unemployment rate of 3.8 percent. Millennials make up 28.8 percent of its population, contributed contribute to 26 percent of all page views in the area on realtor.com®, and have a median household income of $46,265. 2. Seattle - 98122 (Capitol Hill) The draw: Capitol Hill offers a strong collection of restaurants, bars, boutiques, and culture. Seattle has a booming economy, with tens of thousands of job openings pulling young technophiles into the city. Seattle-dwellers are some of the most active people in the U.S., with open spaces and parks located all around the city, and Mt. Rainier closeby for hiking in the summer and skiing in the winter. Capitol Hill hipster hotspot: Porchlight Coffee & RecordsReview highlights: Cold brew, chill vibe The stats: The median listing price is $756,653. The median household earns $65,367 a year, with a low county unemployment rate of 3.2 percent. Millennials make up 26.6 percent of the population, contribute to 23.8 percent of all page views in the area on realtor.com®, and have a median household income of $61,089. 3. San Diego - 92104 (North Park) The draw: San Diego is known for a plethora of local breweries, farmer's markets, beach eateries and nightlife for the non-mainstream crowd. Compared to California cities like Los Angeles and the San Francisco Bay Area, San Diego boasts of lower rent and mortgages on average. A concentration of top universities and a thriving startup scene bring many young buyers and renters to the area. North Park hipster hotspot: PigmentReview highlights: Air plants, terrariums The stats: The median listing price is $597,000. The median household earns $55,130 a year, with a county unemployment rate of 4.1 percent. Millennials make up 23 percent of the population, contribute to 25.4 percent of all page views in the area on realtor.com®, and have a median household income of $55,772. 4. Fort Wayne - 46802 The draw: Fort Wayne offers fun traditions like BuskerFest, an annual celebration of street performers. Fort Wayne adjusted to the shrinking manufacturing industry faster than its Rust Belt counterparts and today has a strong economy with a lower unemployment rate than other cities in the area. Hipster hotspot: Junk Ditch Brewing CompanyReview highlights: Joseph Decuis Farm Wagyu beef, brunch The stats: The median listing price is $163,925. The median household earns $29,591 a year, with a county unemployment rate of 3.3 percent. Millennials make up 19.9 percent of the population, contribute to 27 percent of all page views in the area on realtor.com®, and have a median household income of $32,243. 5. Rochester - 14620 (Highland Park) The draw: Rochester's Highland Park neighborhood is best-known for its arboretum by the same name, which hosts an annual Lilac Festival drawing in visitors from out of town. From Shakespeare in the Park to live music during the summer, Highland Park is a hotspot for local residents, helping to create the tight-knit community that Rochester residents love. Highland Park hipster hotspot: The Playhouse SwillburgerReview highlights: Pinball machine, vampire fries The stats: The median listing price is $154,925, making it an affordable place for a younger population to settle. The median household earns $43,550 a year, with a county unemployment rate of 4.58 percent. Millennials make up 23.1 percent of the population, contribute to 24 percent of all page views in the area on realtor.com®, and have a median household income of $45,871. 6. San Francisco - 94117 (The Haight) The draw: Hippie mecca Haight-Ashbury has transitioned into a hipster-friendly neighborhood. The Haight offers a plethora of restaurants and bars, and its proximity to Golden Gate Park's free events and concerts can't be beat. The Haight hipster hotspot: The AlembicReview highlights: Cocktail menu, pickled quail eggs The stats: Even San Francisco's most hipster neighborhood costs significantly more than the national average. The median home in The Haight costs $1,396,500. The median household income in this area soars above the national median at $111,817 and its county unemployment rate is well below the national average at 2.9 percent, making the high cost of living more accessible. Millennials make up 31 percent of the population, contribute to 23.8 percent of all page views in the area on realtor.com®, and have a median household income of $113,762. 7. Long Beach - 90814 The draw: Just south of Los Angeles, Long Beach is a more relaxed, cheaper and friendlier option for those drawn to Long Beach's social, tight-knit community and charming Spanish-style homes. Add in great dive bars and a vibrant art scene, and it's no surprise Long Beach is one of the most hipster towns in America. Hipster hotspot: Viento y Agua Coffeehouse & GalleryReview highlights: Open mic nights, Mexican mocha The stats: The median price to buy a home in Long Beach is $737,000. The average household earns $60,751 a year, with an unemployment rate of 4.5 percent. Millennials make up 19.2 percent of the population, contribute to 22.3 percent of all page views in the area on realtor.com, and have a median household income of $52,001. 8. Louisville - 40217 (Schnitzelburg) The draw: With a strong community and affordable local restaurant scene, Schnitzelberg has seen growing popularity over the past several years. Schnitzelberg is a quirky neighborhood with traditions like hosting the World Dainty Championship the last Monday of July. Schnitzelburg hipster hotspot: ZanzabarReview highlights: Bands, pinball machines The stats: Schnitzelberg is one of the most affordable areas on the list, with a median home price of $173,950. The average household earns $53,134 a year, with an unemployment rate of 4.6 percent. Millennials make up 19.3 percent of the population, contribute to 27.7 percent of all page views in the area on realtor.com, and have a median household income of $53,134. 9. Grand Rapids - 49506 The draw: Between the public art installations and extensive craft brewery scene, it's no wonder hipsters love Grand Rapids. It attracts artists, musicians, young families, and has a strong LGBTQ community, which puts on the highly-anticipated Grand Rapids Pride event every summer. Hipster hotspot: Brewery VivantReview highlights: Beer cheese, stained glass window The stats: The median home price in Grand Rapids is $387,000. The average household earns $63,308 a year, with an unemployment rate of 3.2 percent. Millennials make up 13.8 percent of the population, contribute to 25.4 percent of all page views in the area on realtor.com, and have a median household income of $67,680. 10. Colorado Springs - 80903 The draw: Colorado Springs offers the same natural beauty and proximity to world-class skiing and hiking that nearby Denver does, but with a lower cost of living and unemployment rate. Its quaint downtown is filled with mom and pop shops and local watering holes. Hipster hotspot: Shuga'sReview highlights: Patio, lavender lemonade The stats: The median price to buy a home in Colorado Springs is $337,000. The average household earns $37,215 a year, with an unemployment rate of 2.7 percent. Millennials make up 16.8 percent of the population, contribute to 22.5 percent of all page views in the area on realtor.com, and have a median household income of $43,841. Realtor.com® and Yelp's Hottest Hipster Markets About realtor.com® Realtor.com® is the trusted resource for home buyers, sellers and dreamers, offering the most comprehensive source of for-sale properties, among competing national sites, and the information, tools and professional expertise to help people move confidently through every step of their home journey. It pioneered the world of digital real estate 20 years ago, and today helps make all things home simple, efficient and enjoyable. Realtor.com® is operated by News Corp [NASDAQ: NWS, NWSA] [ASX: NWS, NWSLV] subsidiary Move, Inc. under a perpetual license from the National Association of REALTORS®. For more information, visit realtor.com®. About Yelp Yelp Inc. connects people with great local businesses. Yelp was founded in San Francisco in July 2004. Since then, Yelp communities have taken root in major metros across 32 countries. By the end of Q2 2017, Yelpers had written approximately 135 million rich, local reviews, making Yelp the leading local guide for real word-of-mouth on everything from boutiques and mechanics to restaurants and dentists. Approximately 28 million unique devices* accessed Yelp via the Yelp app, approximately 74 million unique visitors visited Yelp via mobile web** and approximately 83 million unique visitors visited Yelp via desktop*** on a monthly average basis during the Q2 2017. For more information, please visit http://www.yelp.com. * Calculated as the number of unique devices accessing the app on a monthly average basis over a given three-month period, according to internal Yelp logs.** Calculated as the number of "users," as measured by Google Analytics, accessing Yelp via mobile website on a monthly average basis over a given three-month period.*** Calculated as the number of "users," as measured by Google Analytics, accessing Yelp via desktop computer on an average monthly basis over a given three-month period.
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Consumers are Navigating Tides of the U.S. Real Estate Market in New Homeowner Sentiment Survey
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Home Prices Rising Twice as Fast in U.S. Cities with Highest Natural Hazard Risk Than in Lowest-Risk Cities
Homeowners in highest-risk cities have more equity, longer homeownership tenures; appreciation slower in Florida and Louisiana cities with highest flood risk, bucking trend IRVINE, Calif. – Sept. 21, 2017 — ATTOM Data Solutions, curator of the nation's largest multi-sourced property database, today released its 2017 U.S. Natural Hazard Housing Risk Index, which found that median home prices in U.S. cities in the 80th percentile for natural hazard risk (top 20 percent with highest risk) have increased more than twice as fast over the past five years and over the past 10 years than median home prices in U.S cities in the 20th percentile for natural hazard risk (bottom 20 percent with lowest risk). For the report ATTOM indexed natural hazard risk in more than 3,000 counties and more than 22,000 U.S. cities based on the risk of six natural disasters: earthquakes, floods, hail, hurricane storm surge, tornadoes, and wildfires. ATTOM also analyzed housing trends in 3,441 cities and 735 counties — containing more than 71 million single family homes and condos — broken into five equal quintiles of natural hazard housing risk (see full methodology below). Median home prices in cities in the top 20 percent (Very High) for natural hazard risk have appreciated 65 percent on average over the past five years and 9 percent on average over the past 10 years while median home prices cities in the bottom 20 percent (Very Low) for natural hazard risk have appreciated 32 percent on average over the past five years and 3 percent on average over the past 10 years. "Strong demand for homes in high-risk natural hazard areas has helped to accelerate price appreciation in those areas over the past decade despite the potential for devastating damage to homes that can be caused by a natural disaster — as evidenced by the recent hurricanes that made landfall in Texas and Florida," said Daren Blomquist, senior vice president at ATTOM Data Solutions. "That strong demand is driven largely by economic fundamentals, primarily the presence of good-paying jobs, although the natural beauty that often comes hand-in-hand with high natural hazard risk in these areas is also attractive to many homebuyers. "There is some evidence in the data that real estate consumers in certain areas are beginning to more heavily factor natural hazard risk into their decisions, particularly when it comes to flood risk," Blomquist added. "Counter to the national trend, home price appreciation is slower in Florida and Louisiana cities with the highest flood risk than in cities with the lowest flood risk." Appreciation slower in Florida and Louisiana Cities with highest flood risk In the state of Florida, median home prices in cities with the highest flood risk were up 8 percent on average from a year ago and up 66 percent from five years ago while median prices in cities with the lowest flood risk were up 10 percent from a year ago and 70 percent from five years ago. Median home prices in Florida cities with the highest hurricane storm surge risk were up 8 percent from a year ago and 47 percent from five years ago, while median prices in cities with the lowest hurricane storm surge risk were up 11 percent from a year ago and up 67 percent from five years ago. There was a similar trend in relation to flood risk in the state of Louisiana, which experienced damaging floods in August 2016. Median home prices in Louisiana cities with the highest flood risk were down 20 percent from a year ago and up 2 percent from five years ago while median home prices in the lowest risk cities increased 5 percent over the past year and increased 37 percent over the past five years. Homeowners in highest-risk cities have more equity, longer homeownership tenures Homeowners in cities in the top 20 percent for natural hazard risk have 32 percent home equity on average compared to 21 percent home equity on average for homeowners in cities in the bottom 20 percent for natural hazard risk. Seriously underwater homes (LTV of 125 percent or higher) account for 6.4 percent of all homes in cities in the top 20 percent for natural hazard risk compared to a seriously underwater rate of 9.9 percent on average for homes in cities in the bottom 20 percent for natural hazard risk. Homeowners who sold in the first six months of 2017 had owned for an average of 8.89 years in cities in the top 20 percent for natural hazard risk compared to an average homeownership tenure of 8.03 years in cities in the bottom 20 percent for natural hazard risk. Counties and cities with highest natural hazard risk index Among the 735 U.S. counties included in the housing trends analysis, those with the highest overall natural hazard index were Oklahoma County, Oklahoma; Wakulla County (Tallahassee), Florida; Monroe County (Key West), Florida; Cleveland County (Oklahoma City), Oklahoma; and Nevada County (Truckee), California. Among 50 U.S. cities included in the analysis with a population of at least 500,000, those with the highest overall natural hazard housing risk index were Oklahoma City, Oklahoma; San Jose, California; Los Angeles, California; Bakersfield, California; and Seattle, Washington. Counties and cities with lowest natural hazard risk index Among the 735 U.S. counties included in the housing trends analysis, those with the lowest overall natural hazard index were Milwaukee County (Milwaukee), Wisconsin; Cuyahoga County (Cleveland), Ohio; Muskegon County (Muskegon), Michigan; and Lake County (Cleveland), Ohio. Among 50 U.S. cities included in the analysis with a population of at least 500,000, those with the lowest overall natural hazard housing risk index were Philadelphia, Pennsylvania; Phoenix, Arizona; Buffalo, New York; Orlando, Florida; and Brooklyn, New York. About ATTOM Data Solutions ATTOM Data Solutions is the curator of the ATTOM Data Warehouse, a multi-sourced national property database that blends property tax, deed, mortgage, foreclosure, environmental risk, natural hazard, health hazards, neighborhood characteristics and other property characteristic data for more than 150 million U.S. residential and commercial properties. The ATTOM Data Warehouse delivers actionable data to businesses, consumers, government agencies, universities, policymakers and the media in multiple ways, including bulk file licenses, APIs and customized reports.
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New Survey from Cartus Shows Employee Relocation Trends are Changing Shape
DANBURY, Conn., Aug. 24, 2017 -- The U.S. workforce is changing and, with it, so are the ways in which employees are being relocated for companies across the United States. Cartus Corporation, a leading provider of global relocation services, recently released its 2017 Domestic U.S. Relocation Policy and Practices Survey results, a report that examines the responses of 141 mobility managers representing more than 10 million employees. While the overall survey explores trends in how companies are supporting home sale for transferring employees, responding to a growing rental population, and developing intern programs, the primary finding is the identification of a changing pattern in employee relocation, in which an increasing demand for flexibility is translating into different types of work transfers. What's Driving U.S. Relocation Programs? U.S. relocation programs have always been a reflection of the larger business and economic picture. As companies seek to make sure they have the right people in the right places to meet organizational goals, they have traditionally been balancing demands for cost effectiveness with the need to recruit, retain, and develop their talent. Today, companies are adding a third element to the juggling act: employees' growing expectations for a positive experience that translates into greater engagement and productivity. That combination of demands is leading to a new catalyst trend: the push for more flexibility in how employees move for work, and what kinds of support they are provided. Juggling Act: Balancing the Challenges Driving U.S. Relocation Cost: 65 percent of survey respondents cited cost as a significant challenge facing their companies' relocation programs today – up 13 percentage points in the last eight years. Talent Management: 52 percent of respondents said that talent shortages had increased somewhat, or significantly; this leads to "talent pressure" and a need to overcome those shortages. Employee Engagement: With the stagnation of salaries in U.S. corporations, there is a need to ensure that all aspects of the workplace provide a positive experience for employees. This has been cited consistently among Cartus clients of all sizes as a rising issue. These pressures are leading to a need for more flexibility, as evidenced by the 78% percent of survey respondents who stated that changing employee needs or expectations were driving the need for flexibility. In the domestic U.S. relocation arena, this has resulted in offering more flexibility in policies, as well as a growth in short-term assignments and other temporary transfer forms for ongoing business needs. In fact, 75 percent of responding companies cited utilizing these short-term assignments to provide knowledge or skills transfer or training, while 72 percent use them to address specific project work. As managers of U.S. relocation programs continue to explore ways to meet their companies' changing needs, it is likely that the need to balance a superior employee experience, cost control, and talent development will drive a continued focus on flexible approaches. How companies choose to meet this pressure will always depend on their organization's move patterns, culture, and demographics. If you are responsible for your company's domestic relocation program, we encourage you to review a copy of Cartus' 2017 Domestic U.S. Relocation Policy and Practices Survey findings for more information on trends, challenges and policy approaches. About Cartus For more than 60 years, Cartus has provided trusted guidance to organizations of all types and sizes that require global relocation solutions. Providing the full spectrum of relocation services, including language and intercultural training, Cartus serves more than half of the Fortune 50 and has moved employees into and out of 185 countries. Cartus is part of Realogy Holdings Corp. (NYSE: RLGY), a global leader in real estate franchising and provider of real estate brokerage, relocation and settlement services. To find out how our greater experience, reach, and hands-on guidance can help your company, visit www.cartus.com, or click www.realogy.com for more information.
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Redfin Migration Report: Home Affordability Continued to Shape Migration Currents as Homebuyers Looked to Leave Expensive Coastal Cities in the Second Quarter
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Realtors® Report Finds 11 Percent Increase in Commercial Member Income, 19 Percent Increase in Sales Transaction Volume
WASHINGTON (August 2, 2017) – Commercial real estate markets continue to improve, with Realtors® specializing in commercial real estate reporting both an increase in member's gross income and sales volume, according to the National Association of Realtors® 2017 Commercial Member Profile. The annual study's results represent Realtors®, members of NAR, who conduct all or part of their business in commercial sales, leasing, brokerage and development for land, office and industrial space, multifamily and retail buildings, as well as property management. "There has been an uptick in Realtor® members who choose to specialize in commercial real estate at the same time as commercial professionals report improvements in the market and their business activity," said 2017 NAR President William E. Brown, a Realtor® from Alamo, California. "A stronger commercial market is a good indicator of a growing economy, so the outlook is positive for commercial members in the year ahead." The median gross annual income for commercial members in 2016 was $120,800, an increase from $108,800 in 2015. Brokers and appraisers tend to report the highest median annual incomes, while sales agents report the lowest among licensees. Those with less than two years of experience reported a median annual income of $31,500 in 2016, down from $43,400 in 2015; members with more than 26 years of experience reported a median annual income of $162,200 in 2016, down from $165,400 in 2015. Commercial members completed a median of eight sales transactions in 2016, a decrease of one since 2015. A quarter of commercial members reported having one to four transactions, and 27 percent reported having more than 20 transactions. While the number of transactions decreased slightly in 2016, the sales volume increased again this year. The median sales transaction volume in 2016 among members who had a transaction was $3,500,000, an increase from $2,931,000 in 2015. Only 7 percent of commercial members reported not having a transaction at all, which decreased from 8 percent in 2015. The median years of experience in real estate increased to 24 years in 2017, up from 20 years in 2016, as did the median years of experience of members in commercial real estate – up from 15 years in 2016 to 19 years in 2017. Forty-seven percent of NAR's commercial members are brokers, and 30 percent are licensed sales agents, consistent with last year. Seventeen percent of commercial members have a broker-associate license while appraisal license holders account for 5 percent, also consistent with last year. The median age of commercial members remained the same as last year, at 60 years old. Almost three out of four commercial members are male, identical to last year's results. Men reported being active in any real estate capacity for a median of 25 years and in commercial real estate for a median of 20 years, the same as last year. Women have been active in real estate for a median of 19 years (up from 14 years last year) and in commercial real estate for a median of 15 years (up from 11 years last year). Commercial members who manage properties typically managed 82,000 total square feet, representing 15 total spaces, up from 50,000 square feet and 17 spaces in 2015. Those who manage offices typically managed 25,000 total office square feet, representing seven total offices, up from 20,000 office square feet and five offices last year. Thirty-three percent of commercial members were involved in international transactions in 2016, down 2 percent from 2015. Eighteen percent of commercial members reported an increase in international transactions, while only 1 percent had a decrease. Sixty-five percent (up from 60 percent in 2016) of respondents are members of any of several commercial affiliated institutes, councils, or societies. These commercial organizations include the CCIM Institute, the Institute of Real Estate Management, the Counselors of Real Estate, the Realtors® Land Institute and the Society of Industrial and Office Realtors®. In June 2017, NAR invited a random sample of 64,147 Realtors® with an interest in commercial real estate to fill out an on-line survey. A total of 1,926 responses were received for an overall response rate of 3.0 percent. All information in this report is representative of member characteristics in 2017 while sales and lease transaction values and income are characteristic of calendar year 2016. The National Association of Realtors®, "The Voice for Real Estate," is America's largest trade association, representing 1.2 million members involved in all aspects of the residential and commercial real estate industries.
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84 Percent of Americans See Homeownership as Good Investment, Affordability a Growing Concern
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71 Percent of Homeowners Believe It's a Good Time to Sell; Economic and Financial Confidence Dips: Realtors® HOME Survey
WASHINGTON (June 26, 2017) — Existing housing inventory has declined year over year each month for two straight years, but new consumer findings from the National Association of Realtors® offer hope that the growing number of homeowners who think now is a good time to sell will eventually lead to more listings. That's according to NAR's quarterly Housing Opportunities and Market Experience (HOME) survey, which also found that fewer renters think it's a good time to buy a home, and respondents are less confident about the economy and their financial situation than earlier this year despite continuous job gains. One trend gaining steam in the HOME survey is an increased share of homeowners who believe now is a good time to sell their home. This quarter, 71 percent of homeowners think now is a good time to sell, which is up from last quarter (69 percent) and considerably more than a year ago (61 percent). Respondents in the Midwest (76 percent) surpassed the West (72 percent) for the first time this quarter to be the most likely to think now is a good time to sell. Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, says it's apparent there's a mismatch between homeowners' confidence in selling and actually following through and listing their home for sale. "There are just not enough homeowners deciding to sell because they're either content where they are, holding off until they build more equity, or hesitant seeing as it will be difficult to find an affordable home to buy," he said. "As a result, inventory conditions have worsened and are restricting sales from breaking out while contributing to price appreciation that remains far above income growth." Added Yun, "Perhaps this notable uptick in seller confidence will translate to more added inventory later this year. Low housing turnover is one of the roots of the ongoing supply and affordability problems plaguing many markets." On the decline: renter morale about buying a home and financial and economic optimism Confidence among renters that now is a good time to buy a home continues to retreat. Fifty-two percent of renters think now is a good time to buy, which is down both from last quarter (56 percent) and a year ago (62 percent). Conversely, 80 percent of homeowners (unchanged from last quarter and a year ago) think now is a good time to make a home purchase. Younger households, and those living in urban areas and in the costlier West region are the least optimistic. The surge in economic optimism seen in the first quarter of the year appears to be short lived. The share of households believing the economy is improving fell to 54 percent in the second quarter after soaring to a survey high of 62 percent last quarter. Homeowners, and those living in the Midwest and in rural and suburban areas are the most optimistic about the economy. Only 42 percent of urban respondents believe the economy is improving, which is a drastic decrease from the 58 percent a year ago. Dimming confidence about the economy's direction is also leading households to not have as strong feelings about their financial situation. The HOME survey's monthly Personal Financial Outlook Index showing respondents' confidence that their financial situation will be better in six months fell to 57.2 in June after jumping in March to its highest reading in the survey. A year ago, the index was 57.7. "It should come as little surprise that the confidence reading among renters has fallen every month since January (64.8) and currently sits at its lowest level (53.8) since tracking began in March 2015 (65.7)," said Yun. "Paying more in rent each year and seeing home prices outpace their incomes is discouraging, and it's unfortunately pushing home ownership further away — especially for those living in expensive metro areas on the East and West Coast." Under half of respondents believe homes are affordable for most buyers; one in five would consider moving In this quarter's survey, respondents were also asked about the affordability of homes in their communities. Overall, only 42 percent of respondents believe they are affordable for almost all buyers, with those living in the Midwest being the most likely to believe homes are affordable (55 percent) — and not surprisingly — West respondents (29 percent) being least likely to think homes are affordable. Additionally, 20 percent of respondents would consider moving to another more affordable community. Those earning under $50,000 annually (27 percent) and those age 34 and under (29 percent) were the most likely to indicate they would consider moving. "Areas with strong job markets but high home prices risk a migration of middle-class households to other parts of the country if rising housing costs in those areas are not contained through a significant ramp-up in new home construction," said Yun. About NAR's HOME survey In April through early June, a sample of U.S. households was surveyed via random-digit dial, including a mix of cell phones and land lines. The survey was conducted by an established survey research firm, TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence. Each month approximately 900 qualified households responded to the survey. The data was compiled for this report and a total of 2,711 household responses are represented. The National Association of Realtors®, "The Voice for Real Estate," is America's largest trade association, representing 1.2 million members involved in all aspects of the residential and commercial real estate industries.
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NAR Midyear Forecast: Existing-Home Sales Poised to Climb 3.5 Percent in 2017
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Realtor.com® Consumer Survey Identifies Home Shoppers' Preferences in 2017
  SANTA CLARA, Calif., April 12, 2017 -- Ranch-style homes, large backyards and updated kitchens top shoppers' wish lists this spring, according to realtor.com®'s home buyer survey. More than half of home seekers are looking for a three-bedroom home, while 75 percent of shoppers are considering a two-bathroom home. Realtor.com® is a leading online real estate destination operated by News Corp subsidiary Move, Inc. The survey, based on March data from shoppers on realtor.com®, provides insight into home buying trends in 2017 by analyzing what features shoppers are looking for this spring and summer - the peak home buying seasons. "The insights from our most recent consumer survey provide a glimpse into what buyers are looking at today," said Sarah Staley, housing expert for realtor.com®. "While we often think of dream homes as being big and bold, that's not what we're hearing from potential buyers today. These insights can help guide potential sellers in deciding which rooms or features to invest in before listing their homes." Following are key findings of the realtor.com® home buyer survey. Complete survey findings can be viewed at http://research.realtor.com/spring-home-shoppers. Large backyards, garages and updated kitchens top list of most searched attributes All age groups are looking for some combination of a backyard, garage and updated kitchen. Unsurprisingly younger homebuyers who are more likely to have young children in the house are particularly excited about finding a large yard. These age groups are also most interested in living in a good school district. The least-searched features were a guesthouse, mother-in-law suite, solar panels and a "man cave." Ranch-style homes and kitchens rule in 2017 Ranch homes led shoppers' rankings of desired home styles by far, with 42 percent of shoppers looking for a ranch home. No other style of home broke 29 percent, although contemporary came close with 28 percent, followed by Craftsman and Colonial styles. Eighty percent of shoppers ranked the kitchen as one of their three favorite rooms in their home. Kitchens were followed by master bedroom (49 percent) and living room (42 percent) among most age groups. Although, shoppers over 55 years old preferred garages over living rooms. Privacy ranks as shoppers' top goal for buying, largely driven by buyers over age 45 Most shoppers cite privacy as their top goal when searching for a home. Shoppers want to have a space that is solely their own. This preference can be attributed to mostly buyers between 45 and 64 years old, for whom privacy tends to beat out other preferences such as stability, family needs and financial investment. Millennial shoppers cite family needs as the primary reason for entering the housing market As millennial buyers prioritize family needs, it is no surprise that most millennials cited life events like increasing family size and getting married or moving in with a partner as their primary triggers for finding a new home. Shoppers age 35-44 are also focused on family needs. Most of this group cited better school districts or changing family circumstances as their primary reasons for purchasing a new home. Shoppers over age 45 are looking to downsize, as all age groups above 45 cited planning for retirement as their primary motive for finding a new house. Desire for single-family home rises with age Among younger buyers, many of whom are buying starter homes, 40 percent of shoppers were looking for townhouses and row houses. As shoppers age, however, that number declines and single-family homes are a clear preference. The older the age group is, the less likely they are to consider a townhouse and the more likely they are to prefer a single-family home. About realtor.com®Realtor.com® is the trusted resource for home buyers, sellers and dreamers, offering the most comprehensive source of for-sale properties, among competing national sites, and the information, tools and professional expertise to help people move confidently through every step of their home journey. It pioneered the world of digital real estate 20 years ago, and today helps make all things home simple, efficient and enjoyable. Realtor.com® is operated by News Corp subsidiary Move, Inc. under a perpetual license from the National Association of REALTORS.® For more information, visit realtor.com®.
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Redfin Survey: Supply Shortage is Home Sellers' Greatest Challenge This Year
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Canadian Home Searches Spike in Response to U.S. Election Results
  NORFOLK, VA. (NOVEMBER 09, 2016)--Homes.com®, leading online real estate destination, reports a dramatic surge in location-based home searches for Canadian destinations in response to the United States Presidental election. Starting at 9 p.m. EST, as state results from the U.S. Presidental race began to roll in, Homes.com saw a surge in Canadian home searches growing by the hour. By 11 p.m. EST, British Columbia was the highest searched state or province searched on Homes.com, more than California, Texas or Florida. By 12 a.m. EST, Canadian home search traffic was 16 times higher than a normal traffic day. As of this morning, Canadian searches for homes for sale continue to dominate Homes.com visitor behavior, maintaining eleven times more searches than the previous day, with British Columbia seeing 26 percent more home search activity than the most populous U.S. state, California. By 9 a.m. EST, six of the top twenty-five searched cities on Homes.com were Canadian: Vancouver, BC; Surrey, BC; Toronto, ON; Nelson, BC; Richmond, BC; and White Rock, BC. This surge of consumer searches for Canadian properties has not translated into a notable increase in consumers inquiring about these properties. At this point, home shoppers appear to just be checking out Canadian home prices and availability with no clear intention to relocate. On the lighter side of last night's consumer home searches, Ontario, CA benefited from a dramatic, 121-percent increase in home searches, likely due to confusion with the Canadian city of the same name. Wherever (or why ever) you're moving, Homes.com has homes. For Sale. For Rent. For You. About Homes.comHomes.com makes it easy to find your first or next home, with close to 3 million homes for sale or rent. Since its launch almost 25 years ago, Homes.com has made millions of introductions between homebuyers and real estate professionals, leveraging user-friendly tools, valuable tips, and helpful information so homebuyers have everything they need to find a home that perfectly fits their family and lifestyle. With more than 15 million site visits a month, Homes.com continues to innovate with inspiring photos, simple search functionality and great home decor articles to empower consumers to dream, discover and design their homes. Visit Homes.com to discover your next home, or download the Homes.com For Sale, Rentals or Mortgage Calculator apps to power your home search. For creative home design ideas and decorating tips, visit Homes.com/blog/. Welcome Home!
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Realtors Can Gain a Competitive Edge by Understanding Real Estate’s Top Issues in 2017
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71 Percent Believe Student Debt Delays Homeownership
  WASHINGTON (June 13, 2016) — Seventy-one percent of non-homeowners repaying their student loans on time believe their debt is stymieing their ability to purchase a home, and slightly over half of all borrowers say they expect to be delayed from buying by more than five years. This is according to a new joint survey on student loan debt and housing released today by the National Association of Realtors® and SALT®, a consumer literacy program provided by nonprofit American Student Assistance®. The results also revealed that student debt postponed four in 10 borrowers from moving out of a family member's household after graduating college. Nearly three-quarters of non-homeowners polled in the survey believe their student loan debt is delaying them from buying a home. Broken down by each generation and debt amount, the percent share is the highest among older millennials approximately aged 26 to 35 (79 percent) and those with $70,000 to $100,000 in total debt. Regardless of the outright amount of student debt, more than half of non-homeowners in each generation report that it's postponing their ability to buy. The survey, which only polled student debt holders current in their repayment, yielded responses from borrowers with varying amounts of debt from mostly a four-year public or private college. Forty-three percent of those polled had between $10,001 and $40,000 in student debt, while 38 percent had $50,000 or more. The most common debt amount was $20,000 to $30,000. Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, says the survey findings bring to light the magnitude student debt is having on the housing market and the budget of even those financially able to make on-time payments. While obtaining a college degree increases the likelihood of stable employment and earning enough to buy a home, many graduating with this debt are putting homeownership on the backburner in part because of the multiple years it takes to pay off their student loans at an interest rate that's oftentimes nearly double current mortgage rates. "A majority of non-homeowners in the survey earning over $50,000 a year – which is above the median U.S. qualifying income needed to buy a single-family home – reported that student debt is hurting their ability to save for a down payment," he said. "Along with rent, a car payment and other large monthly expenses that can squeeze a household's budget, paying a few hundred dollars every month on a student loan equates to thousands of dollars over several years that could otherwise go towards saving for a home purchase." Among non-homeowners who believe student debt is delaying their ability to buy, over three-quarters – including over 80 percent of millennials – said their delay is because they can't save for a down payment. Additionally, 69 percent don't feel financially secure enough to buy, and 63 percent can't qualify for a mortgage because of high debt-to-income ratios. A little over a majority of those polled (52 percent) expect to be delayed by more than five years from purchasing a home because of repaying their student debt. One in five anticipates being held back three to five years as well as over 60 percent of baby boomers. Not surprisingly, those with higher amounts of student loan debt and those with lower incomes expect to be delayed the longest. "Realtors® work closely with our clients and consumers everyday; we understand the severity of the problem. This is not an abstract issue for us. This is why Realtors® are leading the real estate industry in the discussion of student loan debt and its impact on housing by generating the most encompassing research on this topic," said NAR Vice President Sherri Meadows, a Realtor® from Ocala, Florida. Student debt preventing many young adults from leaving the nest Mirroring other recent data on young Americans being more likely to live with their parents than in any other living situations, almost half (46 percent) of young millennials polled currently live with family (both paying and not paying rent). Furthermore, 42 percent of respondents indicated student debt delayed their decision to move out of their family member's home after college. Highlighting the difficulty many college graduates faced finding employment either before or immediately after the Great Recession, those who graduated six to 10 years ago had the longest delay, with 33 percent saying it took more than two years to move out of a family home. "Nearly three-quarters of older millennials, many of whom graduated at the peak or immediately after the downturn, said their ability to purchase a home is affected by student debt," added Yun. "Add in the detrimental effects of low inventory as well as rents and home price growth outpacing wages and it's mainly why the share of first-time buyers remains at its lowest point in nearly three decades." Student debt holding back some would-be sellers The survey also found that student debt is affecting overall housing supply by holding back some current homeowners who otherwise would like to sell. Nearly a third of current homeowners (31 percent) said their student debt is postponing them from selling their home and purchasing a new one. Of those, 18 percent believe it is too expensive to move and upgrade to a new home, 7 percent have problems with their credit caused by student loan debt, and 6 percent are underwater because student debt has limited their ability to pay more than the minimum payment on their mortgage. "It is imperative to the nation's economy that we find immediate and practical solutions to financially empower the 43 million Americans with student debt," said SALT® President John Zurick. "SALT® is committed to demystifying the college financing process by giving consumers information, instruction and individualized advice. No one should fail to realize the full potential of their formal education simply because of finances. We invite the higher education community, the U.S. government, the private sector and others to join with us in this movement." In April 2016, SALT® distributed a 33 question survey co-written with NAR to 75,000 student loan borrowers who are current in repayment. A total of 3,230 student loan borrowers completed the survey. The survey had a response rate of 4.3 percent. All information is characteristic of April 2016, with the exception of income data, which is reflective of 2015. The National Association of Realtors®, "The Voice for Real Estate," is America's largest trade association, representing 1.1 million members involved in all aspects of the residential and commercial real estate industries.
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NAR Generational Survey: Millennials Increasingly Buying in Suburban Areas
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Commercial Real Estate Experts: Moderate Expansion, Easing Prices Expected in 2016
  WASHINGTON (February 4, 2016) — Despite various global and domestic hurdles hindering economic growth, steady job gains and stable leasing demand should help keep commercial real estate activity expanding in 2016, according to the authors of an annual report published jointly by Situs Real Estate Research Corporation (RERC), Deloitte and the National Association of Realtors®. According to the report, Expectations & Market Realities in Real Estate 2016—Navigating through the Crosscurrents, commercial real estate activity is forecast to gradually grow this year with demand for space holding steady across all commercial sectors. While commercial property values and price gains are expected to flatten after surpassing 2007 peaks in some major markets, investors will still benefit from the strong income flows generated from new and existing leases. The fifth annual release of the joint report draws on the three organizations' respective research and expert analysis and offers an objective outlook on commercial real estate through forecasts and commentary on the current economy, capital markets and commercial real estate property markets. A research-based assessment of the office, industrial, apartment, retail and hotel property sectors is also provided. "Historically low interest rates, especially in treasuries, combined with commercial real estate's stable prices and value make this asset an attractive investment," says Ken Riggs, president of Situs RERC. "Looking into 2016, the commercial real estate market should moderate, which could stabilize prices." Vacancies are expected to continue to decline slightly in 2016 for all property types, except in the apartment sector, where they are forecast to increase modestly by the end of the year as more new project completions come onto the market. Continued job growth, demand exceeding supply and limited new construction (outside of multifamily) should lead to rising rents and steady investor returns, which overall will shift away from capital appreciation as price growth levels off in many markets. Continuing on the same slow trajectory seen for many years, the U.S. economy – facing headwinds from a rising dollar, financial market volatility and geopolitical concerns – is forecast to grow at a rate of 2 percent to 3 percent in 2016, which is stronger than most global economies and enough to generate around two million net new jobs over the next year. Deflationary pressures related to low gasoline and energy prices are expected to diminish by mid-2016, in part because of robust growth in apartment rents. "Supported by solid hiring in most parts of the country, the demand for ownership and rental housing will continue to increase in 2016 despite another year of meager economic expansion," says Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist. "While supply shortages will weigh on housing affordability and push home prices and rents higher, the housing sector will keep the U.S. economy afloat and lead the residential investment component of GDP growth by up to 10 percent this year." About the National Association of Realtors® The National Association of Realtors®, "The Voice for Real Estate," is America's largest trade association, representing 1.1 million members involved in all aspects of the residential and commercial real estate industries. About Situs RERC Situs, the premier global provider of end-to-end strategic business solutions and integrated process and technology solutions for the Financial Services Industry, has offered customized services to leading financial institutions, investors, owners, and developers since 1985. Situs offers a broad portfolio of strategic solutions including Debt Advisory, Loan Servicing, Consulting & Staffing, Valuation Management, Business Process Outsourcing, and Asset Management, among others. Situs' business provides customized solutions that mitigate deal execution risk for clients while maximizing operating margins. Situs is headquartered in Houston and has offices throughout the United States, Europe, and Asia. About Deloitte Deloitte refers to one or more of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited, a UK private company limited by guarantee ("DTTL"), its network of member firms, and their related entities. DTTL and each of its member firms are legally separate and independent entities. DTTL (also referred to as "Deloitte Global") does not provide services to clients. Please see www.deloitte.com/about for a detailed description of DTTL and its member firms. Please see www.deloitte.com/us/about for a detailed description of the legal structure of Deloitte LLP and its subsidiaries. Certain services may not be available to attest clients under the rules and regulations of public accounting.
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Swanepoel T3 Group Releases 11th Annual Trends Report
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Coldwell Banker Real Estate Survey Finds Nearly Half of Americans Will Have Smart Home Technology by the End of 2016
MADISON, N.J., January 4, 2016 — The year 2020 has long been a benchmark for when the "smart home" will finally be mainstream, but according to the results of a survey released today by Coldwell Banker Real Estate LLC, the original Silicon Valley real estate start-up founded in 1906, that time may come sooner than we thought. The Coldwell Banker® Smart Home Marketplace Survey, which polled more than 4,000 Americans in advance of CES 2016, found that almost half (45 percent) of all Americans either own smart home technology or plan to invest in it in 2016. The survey also showed that it's not just the tech-savvy who are on board with the smart home. Of people who either have smart home technology or plan to buy it in 2016, more than one in three (36 percent) say they don't consider themselves early adopters of technology. The Smart Home Marketplace Survey also found that more than half of homeowners (54 percent) would purchase or install smart home products if they were selling their home and knew that doing so would make it sell faster. Of that group, 65 percent would pay $1,500 or more. "Close to five million existing homes were sold in the United States in 2014, which represents a huge white space for smart home manufacturers," said Sean Blankenship, chief marketing officer for Coldwell Banker Real Estate LLC. "We are aiming to be the conduit between these manufacturers and home buyers and sellers, and conducting this research was one of the first of many steps toward achieving this goal." Selling Smarter: Real Estate and The Smart Home Coldwell Banker Real Estate is co-sponsoring the Smart Home Marketplace at CES 2016 in Las Vegas from Jan. 6-9, 2016. This marks the first time that a real estate company is sponsoring the Marketplace, which has nearly doubled in size since 2015. Coldwell Banker Real Estate is also hosting a CES conference, titled "Selling Smarter: Real Estate and The Smart Home," on Wednesday, Jan. 6 from 11:30 a.m. to 12:30 p.m. Pacific. The conference will feature representatives from the Coldwell Banker brand as well as Nest, Lutron and August, who will discuss how "smart" is the next big trend in real estate and what that means for smart home technology manufacturers. Additional Smart Home Marketplace Survey Findings Entertainment is the entry-way for smart home technology. The most popular type of smart home technology that people already own is smart entertainment, such as smart TVs and speaker systems (44 percent of people with smart home technology). The next most popular types of smart home technology that people currently have installed in their home include smart security (31 percent) and smart temperature (30 percent). Most Americans think a home can be considered "smart" if it has smart security, temperature, lighting and safety. When asked about what needs to be in a home for it to be considered "smart," the top choices were security (e.g., locks and alarm systems - 63 percent), temperature (e.g., thermostats and fans - 63 percent), lighting (e.g., light bulbs and lighting systems - 58 percent) and safety (e.g., fire / carbon monoxide detectors and nightlights - 56 percent). More than three-quarters (76 percent) of Americans think that having just one category of smart technology in your home isn't enough for it to be considered smart. Smart home technology is no longer just for the young and affluent. Older generations are adopting certain types of smart home technology faster than younger ones. For instance, 40 percent of those over 65 who own smart home products currently have smart temperature products, compared to only 25 percent of Millennials (ages 18 to 34). The percentages of Americans with a household income of between $50k and $75k and that of those with between $75k and $100k who have smart home technology are nearly identical: 25 percent versus 26 percent. Buying smart home products is in one word - addicting. Seventy (70) percent of people with smart home technology said buying their first smart home product made them more likely to buy another one. The full survey results can be found here. Search for smart homes for sale at www.coldwellbanker.com/smarthome. Methodology This survey was conducted online within the United States between October 22-26, 2015 by Harris Poll on behalf of the Coldwell Banker brand via its Quick Query omni­bus product. The survey was conducted among 4,065 adults (ages 18 and over) among whom 1,009 own at least one smart home product. For the purposes of the survey, "smart home technology/products" were defined as products or tools that aid in controlling a home's functions such as lighting, temperature, security, safety, and entertainment, either remotely by a phone, tablet, computer or with a separate automatic system within the home itself. Figures for age, sex, race/ethnicity, education, region and household income were weighted where necessary to bring them into line with their actual proportions in the population. Propensity score weighting was used to adjust for respondents' propensity to be online. All sample surveys and polls, whether or not they use probability sampling, are subject to multiple sources of error which are most often not possible to quantify or estimate, including sampling error, coverage error, error associated with nonresponse, error associated with question wording and response options, and post-survey weighting and adjustments. Therefore, the words "margin of error" are avoided as they are misleading. All that can be calculated are different possible sampling errors with different probabilities for pure, unweighted, random samples with 100% response rates. These are only theoretical because no published polls come close to this ideal. Respondents for this survey were selected from among those who have agreed to participate in our surveys. The data has been weighted to reflect the composition of the adult population. Because the sample is based on those who agreed to participate in our panel, no estimates of theoretical sampling error can be calculated. About Coldwell Banker Real Estate LLC Since 1906, the Coldwell Banker® organization has been a premier provider of full-service residential and commercial real estate brokerage services. Coldwell Banker Real Estate is the oldest national real estate brand and franchisor in the United States, and today has a global network of approximately 3,000 independently owned and operated franchised broker offices in 44 countries and territories with more than 88,000 affiliated sales professionals. The Coldwell Banker brand is known for creating innovative consumer services as recently seen by being the first national real estate brand with an iPad app, the first to augment its website www.coldwellbanker.com for smart phones, the first to create a iPhone application with international listings and the first to fully harness the power of video in real estate listings, news and information through its Coldwell Banker On LocationSM YouTube channel. The Coldwell Banker System is a leader in niche markets such as resort, new homes and luxury properties through its Coldwell Banker Previews International® marketing program delivering exceptional experiences for all consumers served.
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Buying More Affordable Than Renting in 58 Percent of U.S. Markets According to 2016 Rental Affordability Analysis
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Despite Interest Rate Hike by U.S. Federal Reserve, Majority of Current Home Shoppers Still Plan to Purchase
  SEATTLE, Dec. 15, 2015 -- This week the Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates for the first time in nine years, but the impact on potential home buyers' behavior will be minimal, according to a new Zillow® surveyi. Most people (70 percent) who say they are currently searching for a home or plan to buy within the next year will continue with their home buying plans even if rates rise to 4.5% -- roughly where economists expect they will be by mid-2016. That said, while plans to purchase will remain intact, almost half (45 percent) of current home shoppers claim they would reconsider the type of home they are searching for, such as looking for a smaller home or less expensive community, should this 50 basis point increase in mortgage rates occur. The impact on home buyers from an affordability standpoint will be also minimal, at least initially, and buying a home continues to be more affordable than it has been in the past. In 19 percent of the country's top 500 metros, the monthly mortgage payment on the median home would increase by less than $25 per month as mortgage rates rise from 4 percent to 4.5 percentii. The homeowners that will be hit the hardest by a rate increase will be those living in U.S. metros where housing is expensive and affordability is already an issue. In markets like San Francisco or San Jose, monthly mortgage payments could increase by $175 or more with a 50 basis point jumpiii. "If the Fed does decide to raise rates this week, as we expect them to, there is no need for future homebuyers to feel that they've missed the ideal window of time to purchase a home," said Erin Lantz, vice president of mortgages for Zillow Group. "It's important to remember that while a hike would result in higher rates than we have been accustomed, they are still historically low. Mortgage rates are an important factor to consider during the home buying process, but personal considerations about the home type and location should trump concerns about moderate rate changes." According to the survey, rising interest rates rank relatively low among the top concerns of homebuyers. Respondents who are currently in the process of searching for or buying a home claimed they were most concerned about finding an affordable home amidst low inventory (29 percent), followed by saving for down payment (19 percent). Rising mortgage rates ranked low among the concerns of potential home buyers, and were cited as a top concern for only 14 percent of Americans. Millennials, or survey respondents age 25 to 34, also claimed that qualifying for a loan with their credit score was a larger concern than rising mortgage rates. "The larger concern for future homebuyers is the Fed's commitment to a path of rate hikes in the months ahead," continued Lantz. "If the Fed continues to raise rates on a monthly or even quarterly basis, then it is more likely that we will eventually see the end of the era of incredibly low mortgage rates and corresponding high affordability." About Zillow Zillow® is the leading real estate and rental marketplace dedicated to empowering consumers with data, inspiration and knowledge around the place they call home, and connecting them with the best local professionals who can help. Zillow serves the full lifecycle of owning and living in a home: buying, selling, renting, financing, remodeling and more. In addition to Zillow.com®, Zillow operates the most popular suite of mobile real estate apps, with more than two dozen apps across all major platforms. Launched in 2006, Zillow is owned and operated by Zillow Group and headquartered in Seattle. Zillow and Zillow.com are registered trademarks of Zillow, Inc. i This survey was conducted from Nov. 30, 2015 through Dec 2, 2015 of 1,010 adults by ORC International on behalf of Zillow, Inc. ii Effect of a 50 basis point increase in mortgage rates on median home value in each metro, assuming 30-year fixed rate increases from 4% to 4.5% with a 20% down payment. iii Effect of a 50 basis point increase in mortgage rates on median home values in San Francisco and San Jose, assuming 30-year fixed rate increases from 4% to 4.5% with a 20% down payment.
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San Francisco, L.A., Boston Top Experts' List of Potential Bubble Markets
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Realtor.com® 2016 Housing Forecast Predicts Healthy Market with New Construction Driving Highest Level of Home Sales Since 2006
SAN JOSE, California, December 2, 2015 — New home construction and moderate gains in the existing home market will deliver the necessary one-two punch to push total home sales to the highest levels since 2006, according to the 2016 housing forecast issued today by realtor.com®, a leading destination of online real estate services operated by News Corp subsidiary Move, Inc. The forecast also identifies the top 10 markets for growth, as well as expectations for home prices and sales, interest rates and new home sales and starts. 2016 national housing outlook The 2016 housing market is expected to be a picture of moderate, but solid growth as acceleration in existing home sales and prices both slow to 3 percent year over year due to higher mortgage rates, continuing tight credit standards, and lower affordability. The new construction market will see more significant gains in the coming year as new home starts increase 12 percent year over year and new home sales grow 16 percent year over year. Total sales for existing and new homes will reach 6 million for the first time since 2006, a result of a strong gross domestic product increase of 2.5 percent and continued job creation. These healthy economic indicators will be tempered by lack of access to credit and rising home prices, which will ultimately limit housing demand and growth. [See table 1 for full forecast.] "Next year's moderate gains in existing prices and sales, versus the accelerated growth we've seen in previous years, indicate that we are entering a normal, but healthy housing market," said Jonathan Smoke, chief economist for realtor.com®. "The improvements we've seen over the last few years have enabled a recovery in the existing home market, but we still need to make up ground in new construction, which we could begin to see in 2016. New home sales and starts will bring overall sales to levels we have not seen since 2006 and will help set the stage for a healthy new home market." Who are the 2016 home buyers? Next year's standout year in total sales will be driven by three distinct segments of home buyers – older millennials (25-34 years old), younger gen X'ers (35-44 years old), and retirees (65-74 years old), according to Smoke. Millennials: They are expected make up the largest demographic of home buyers in 2016, having represented 30 percent of the existing home market. Driven by increasing income, millennials will seek out homes that meet the needs of their growing families – putting the most weight on the safety of the neighborhood and the quality of the home. Commute time and a preference for older homes have these buyers looking in city-centers and closer-in suburbs. According to realtor.com®'s proprietary research, the following markets are expected to be some of the most sought out markets for millennial home buyers in 2016 due to their large numbers of millennials, strong employment growth, and relative affordability. Young gen X'ers: Accounting for 20 percent of home purchases in 2015, buyers between the ages of 35-44 will be back in the market again likely making up the second largest population of buyers in 2016. These buyers have rebounded from the financial crisis and are entering their prime family-raising and earning years. More than two-thirds of the buyers in this age group already own a home. They will be moving out of a starter home into a larger home or more desirable neighborhood. All the markets on this list are seeing an uptick in growing families, declining unemployment and growing household incomes. Individuals or couples looking to relocate or retire: This group is expected to make up the third largest home buying segment in 2016. Ages 65-74, they will be selling their current home in an effort to downsize and lower their cost of living. Last year, they represented 14 percent of home buyers. They will likely put their home up for sale at the start of the home-buying season in March or April, and aim to make a home purchase following the sale of their home. This age cohort has a very strong preference for newly constructed homes and put the most weight on their ability to customize their home. Homes in the following markets are expected to see the most retiree buying activity in 2016 due to a large share of population as well as rapidly rising home values. Top 10 growth markets and other winners According to Smoke, several markets are poised for substantial growth in prices and sales. Each market demonstrates strong demand dynamics, evidenced by 60 percent more listing page views on realtor.com® than the U.S. overall and inventory that moves 16 days faster than the U.S. average. Surging demand in each market can be attributed to growing household formation, a prosperous job market, and low unemployment rates as well as large populations of millennials, young gen-X'ers and retirees. Realtor.com®'s 10 hottest markets for 2016 are: Table 1: Realtor.com® Forecast for Key Housing and Economic Indicators For more realtor.com data and trend information, please visit: http://www.realtor.com/data-portal/realestatestatistics/. About Move, Inc. and realtor.com® Move, Inc. operates the realtor.com® website and mobile experiences, which provide buyers, sellers and renters of homes with the information, tools and professional expertise they need to discover and create their perfect home. News Corp acquired Move in November 2014, and realtor.com® quickly established itself as the fastest growing online real estate service provider in the first half of 2015 as measured by comScore. As the official website of the National Association of REALTORS®, consumers know they can look to realtor.com® for the most comprehensive and accurate information anytime, anywhere. With relationships with more than 800 multiple listing services (MLS), realtor.com® has more than 3 million for-sale listings, which account for more than 97 percent of all MLS-listed for-sale properties. More than 90 percent of the listings are updated every 15 minutes. Move's network of websites provides consumers a wealth of innovative tools, including Doorsteps®, Moving.com™, SeniorHousingNetSM and others. Move supports real estate professionals by providing many services to grow their businesses in an increasing digital, on-demand world, including ListHub™, the nation's leading listing syndicator and centralized intelligence platform for the real estate industry; TigerLead®; Top Producer® Systems; and FiveStreetSM and Reesio as well as many free services.
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Lack of Affordable Options Will Drive First-Time Buyers Out to the Suburbs in 2016
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One in Three Regret DIYing a Home Improvement Project
  SEATTLE, November 24, 2015 — Three quarters of homeowners completed a do-it-yourself ("DIY") project in the past three years. However, nearly 40 percent of them wish they hadn't, according to a new survey from home design site, Zillow Digs®. Attempting to add or expand a room to a home, such as a bathroom or bedroom, was the biggest DIY regret among homeowners surveyed, with more than half of respondents (53 percent) unhappy with some aspect of the project. Homeowners had fewest regrets around minor projects like replacing light fixtures or cabinet hardware. Less than 20 percent of homeowners regretted taking on those projects. While many people choose to tackle home improvement projects themselves to save money, nearly a quarter of those surveyed said their DIY project went over budget. This was especially true for larger-scale renovations, like building a new deck or refinishing a basement. Instead, DIYers were more likely to stay within budget on smaller projects such as painting or replacing plumbing fixtures. "With seemingly endless DIY tips and how-to videos available today, home improvement projects appear easier and more accessible than ever before," says Kerrie Kelly, Zillow Digs home design expert. "While some DIY projects can save you money, involving a professional for larger-scale projects, especially those that require specialized skills, can help eliminate headaches and costly mistakes." Zillow Digs surveyed homeowners from around the country to find which popular DIY home improvement projects people regretted the most and least. The survey also identified which projects homeowners were most likely to go over budget, with and without professional help. Top 10 most regretted home improvement projects: Top 5 least regretted home improvement projects: About Zillow Digs Zillow Digs is a hub for home improvement and design inspiration. Users can browse more than three million photos of interiors and exteriors of real homes, organized by space, style, cost and color. Product tags allow users to easily locate similar products and accessories as seen in their favorite photos, and patent-pending Digs Estimates help people understand what it would cost to recreate the actual bathrooms and kitchens they are viewing. In addition, Zillow Digs users can collect images, share favorites and follow others for inspiration, from the Zillow Digs App for iPhone® and iPad®, or on the Web. Zillow Zillow® is the leading real estate and rental marketplace dedicated to empowering consumers with data, inspiration and knowledge around the place they call home, and connecting them with the best local professionals who can help. Zillow serves the full lifecycle of owning and living in a home: buying, selling, renting, financing, remodeling and more. In addition to Zillow.com®, Zillow operates the most popular suite of mobile real estate apps, with more than two dozen apps across all major platforms. Launched in 2006, Zillow is owned and operated by Zillow Group and headquartered in Seattle.
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First-time Buyers Fall Again in NAR Annual Buyer and Seller Survey
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There Goes the Neighborhood: Tech Workers' Silicon Valley Home Values Are Outpacing Neighbors'
  SEATTLE, October 26, 2015 — Workers at Google, Facebook and Apple live in pricier homes than other Bay Area workers and have faster home value growth than other workers. The average Apple worker now lives in a home that is more than five times more valuable than the average U.S. home. The gap has widened in the last five years. In 2010, the average Apple worker's home was worth three times as much as a typical U.S. home. Bay Area home values are soaring, driven by a flood of well-paying jobs at technology companies. But Zillow found home-value appreciation for tech workers from these three companies outpaced that of their neighbors in Silicon Valley. To do the comparison, Zillow looked at census datai to see where employees at the tech companies' Silicon Valley headquarters live, and then compared their home values to those nearby. "This analysis highlights the widening wealth gap between tech company employees and other U.S. workers – a gap that is putting increasing pressure on housing markets where tech companies are booming," said Zillow Chief Economist Dr. Svenja Gudell. The analysis found: The typical worker at Apple's Cupertino, Calif. headquarters lives in a home that is worth about $1.14 millionii, about $241,000 (27 percent) more than the median home in the already-pricey San Jose metro area and $380,000 (50 percent) above the median home value in the San Francisco metro area. Workers at Google and Facebook headquarters – in Palo Alto and Menlo Park, Calif., respectively – lived in even more valuable homes. The median home value among Facebook workers is $1.25 million, and the median home value among Google workers is $1.28 million. The value gap between Silicon Valley techies' homes and their neighbors' homes has been widening recently, especially for Apple workers. Apple workers' home values took off after the first iPhone was released in June 2007, when Apple's stock price rose, increasing the wealth of many employees. Prior to summer 2007, the typical Google employee lived in a home that was 37 percent more expensive than the average San Jose home; since summer 2007, that gap has widened to 39 percent. Similarly, prior to summer 2007, the typical Facebook worker lived in a home that was 31 percent more expensive than the typical San Jose home; since summer 2007, that gap has widened to 33 percent. Prior to summer 2007, the typical Apple worker lived in a home that was 13 percent more expensive than the typical San Jose home; since summer 2007 that gap has widened by 6.4 percentage points to 20 percent. Zillow used data from the U.S. Census Bureau on where workers live and work across California's Bay Area, and combined it with Zillow's Living Database of All Homes to compute a median home value for workers who work at the Apple, Google, and Facebook campuses in the Silicon Valley. Zillow Zillow® is the leading real estate and rental marketplace dedicated to empowering consumers with data, inspiration and knowledge around the place they call home, and connecting them with the best local professionals who can help. In addition, Zillow operates an industry-leading economics and analytics bureau led by Zillow's Chief Economist Dr. Svenja Gudell. Dr. Gudell and her team of economists and data analysts produce extensive housing data and research covering more than 450 markets at Zillow Real Estate Research. Zillow also sponsors the quarterly Zillow Home Price Expectations Survey, which asks more than 100 leading economists, real estate experts and investment and market strategists to predict the path of the Zillow Home Value Index over the next five years. Zillow also sponsors the bi-annual Zillow Housing Confidence Index (ZHCI) which measures consumer confidence in local housing markets, both currently and over time. Launched in 2006, Zillow is owned and operated by Zillow Group, and headquartered in Seattle.
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Realtor.com® Survey Finds Home Enthusiasts Prefer Natural, Comfortable Spaces
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HUD Secretary Julián Castro to Join Realtor.com® Chief Economist Jonathan Smoke to Discuss Millennial Housing in Online Town Hall
SAN JOSE, Calif., Oct. 15, 2015 — U.S. Secretary of Housing and Urban Development Julián Castro will join realtor.com® Chief Economist Jonathan Smoke and Wall Street Journal Economics Correspondent Nick Timiraos to discuss the state of the housing market for millennials in an online town hall event on Monday, Oct. 26 from 6:00 p.m. ET – 7:00 p.m. ET. This conversation, hosted at the George Washington University in Washington, DC, will be streamed live at realtor.com/townhall. Following the discussion will be a Q&A session where questions submitted by viewers on Facebook and Twitter will be answered. WHAT: "Millennials and the Housing Market" Virtual Town Hall WHO: HUD Secretary Julián Castro, Realtor.com® Chief Economist Jonathan Smoke, Wall Street Journal Correspondent Nick Timiraos WHEN: Monday, Oct. 26, from 6:00 p.m. ET – 7:00 p.m. ET WHERE: Streamed live at realtor.com/townhall, The George Washington University, Media and Public Affairs Building, Jack Morton Auditorium (ground floor), 805 21st St., NW, Washington, D.C, Foggy Bottom-GWU Metro (Blue, Orange and Silver lines) About Move, Inc. and realtor.com® Move, Inc. operates the realtor.com® website and mobile experiences, which provide buyers, sellers and renters of homes with the information, tools and professional expertise they need to discover and create their perfect home. News Corp acquired Move in November 2014, and realtor.com® quickly established itself as the fastest growing online real estate service provider in the first half of 2015 as measured by comScore. As the official website of the National Association of REALTORS®, consumers know they can look to realtor.com® for the most comprehensive and accurate information anytime, anywhere. With relationships with more than 800 multiple listing services (MLS), realtor.com® has more than 3 million for-sale listings, which account for more than 97 percent of all MLS-listed for-sale properties. More than 90 percent of the listings are updated every 15 minutes. Move's network of websites provides consumers a wealth of innovative tools, including Doorsteps®, Moving.com™, SeniorHousingNetSM and others. Move supports real estate professionals by providing many services to grow their businesses in an increasing digital, on-demand world, including ListHub™, the nation's leading listing syndicator and centralized intelligence platform for the real estate industry; TigerLead®; Top Producer® Systems; and FiveStreetSM and Reesio as well as many free services.
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More than a Quarter of U.S. Homes Lost Value in the Last Year
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Homeowners Wary of Housing Market's Future
  SEATTLE, Sept. 10, 2015 -- Homeowners feel great about the current state of the housing market, but for the first time are less optimistic about the future, according to the Zillow® Housing Confidence Index (ZHCI). The survey asked 10,000 renters and homeowners about the condition of their local real estate market, their expectations for home value growth and affordability in the future, and their aspirations for homeownership. Past surveys found homeowners feeling exuberant about the future, with 5.2 million renters saying they planned to buy this year. The percentage of renters who say they plan to buy a home in the next year fell from 12.1 percent to 11.4 percent in the first six months of this year, and a smaller percentage of those surveyed said it was a good time to buy. The percentage of those surveyed who believe people who have recently bought a home will be better off in 10 years fell from 61 percent to 59 percent. "The housing market is slowing down, and Americans' confidence in the future of the market is understandably fading a bit, too," said Zillow Chief Economist Dr. Svenja Gudell. "Despite remaining quite confident overall, homeowners are less confident about the future than they are about the present. Seeing still stronger than normal home value appreciation in markets like San Francisco and Seattle might remind them of the last housing bubble. But the good news is things are leveling off with no crash in sight. If incomes rise to keep up with home values – and that's a big if – people can count on homeownership in their future, even in hot markets." Home value growth has slowed in almost all housing markets this year, giving homebuyers some breathing room. In those markets with marked slowdowns, many more buyers are looking to buy their first home. For example, eight percent of Philadelphia renters said they planned to buy within a year in the January survey, when home values were rising at a 3.1 percent annual rate. In July, when Philadelphia home values were flat, 18 percent said they planned to buy within a year. And many of those new potential buyers are millennials. Just one percent of 18- to 34-year-old Philadelphia renters surveyed in January planned to buy within a year, but that had increased to 23 percent in the July survey. The opposite occurred in markets where home value growth, despite having slowed overall, is still well above national norms. Here, renters are less optimistic about their buying prospects. In San Francisco, 18 percent of 18- to 34-year-old renters planned to buy a home within a year when asked in January. At that point, San Francisco home values were rising at a 7.9 percent annual rate. In July, home values were up 11 percent year-over-year, and only five percent of millennial renters surveyed then said they planned to buy within a year. In January, 45 percent of all households surveyed in San Francisco said it was a good time to buy a home, and 40 percent said it was a bad time. In July, the numbers had flipped: 40 percent said it was a good time, and 46 percent said it was a bad time to buy. Similar patterns played out in technology boom towns Seattle, San Jose and Denver as home values there kept soaring. Despite high home values in San Jose, the Silicon Valley market was ranked first among 20 markets for housing confidence. Homeownership aspirations there, however, ranked behind more affordable metros: Atlanta, Miami, and Las Vegas. Seattle rose from number 10 to number two for housing confidence overall, and those surveyed expressed higher expectations for the housing market in the future. Denver, too, rose from number eight to number three, fueled by both renters and owners feeling great about the market and expecting growth, even if they are less confident about their own ability to buy. The ZHCI is derived from the U.S. Housing Confidence Survey (HCS), which polls 10,000 homeowners and renters about housing market conditions, expectations for the future and their attitudes toward homeownership in generalii, across 20 of the large metro areas in the United States. Zillow sponsors the ZHCI and HCS, which were developed and are maintained by Pulsenomics LLC. "In the eyes of households in 17 of the 20 metropolitan areas, the outlook for the real estate market has dimmed since the start of 2015," said Terry Loebs, Founder of Pulsenomics. "Given the out-sized impact of homeownership on personal balance sheets and its interplay with the aspirations and behaviors of U.S. consumers, if this downshift in housing expectations persists, it could portend a longer period of price deceleration and more sluggish consumer spending than some people are currently expecting." About Zillow Zillow® is the leading real estate and rental marketplace dedicated to empowering consumers with data, inspiration and knowledge around the place they call home, and connecting them with the best local professionals who can help. In addition, Zillow operates an industry-leading economics and analytics bureau led by Zillow's Chief Economist Dr. Svenja Gudell. Dr. Gudell and her team of economists and data analysts produce extensive housing data and research covering more than 450 markets at Zillow Real Estate Research. Zillow also sponsors the quarterly Zillow Home Price Expectations Survey, which asks more than 100 leading economists, real estate experts and investment and market strategists to predict the path of the Zillow Home Value Index over the next five years. Zillow also sponsors the bi-annual Zillow Housing Confidence Index (ZHCI) which measures consumer confidence in local housing markets, both currently and over time. Launched in 2006, Zillow is owned and operated by Zillow Group (NASDAQ: Z and ZG), and headquartered in Seattle. Zillow is a registered trademark of Zillow, Inc. About Pulsenomics: Pulsenomics LLC is an independent research and consulting firm that specializes in data analytics, new product and index development for institutional clients in the financial and real estate arenas. Pulsenomics also designs and manages expert surveys and consumer polls to identify trends and expectations that are relevant to effective business management and monitoring economic health. Pulsenomics LLC is the author of The Home Price Expectations Survey™, The U.S. Housing Confidence Survey, and The U.S. Housing Confidence Index. Pulsenomics®, The Housing Confidence Index™, and The Housing Confidence Survey™ are trademarks of Pulsenomics LLC.
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The Official Deeper Dive into the Dangers, Threats and Opportunities in the Real Estate Industry
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Sellers Still Rule in Bay Area; Gaining Power in Denver, Seattle, Dallas-Fort Worth
SEATTLE, April 22, 2015 -- Zillow's Spring analysis of buyers' and sellers' bargaining power in housing markets across the country found bidding wars and red hot prices in the Bay Area, but also in new hot markets outside California. Denver, Seattle and Dallas-Fort Worth joined San Jose and San Francisco in the top 5 best markets for sellers. Homes there are flying off the market at or above asking prices, giving sellers the upper hand. In sellers' markets, homes sell an average of 48 days faster than those for sale in buyers' markets. On the other end of the spectrum, buyers will face less competition and have room to bargain on prices in the nation's top buyers' markets: Philadelphia, Chicago, Cleveland, and Miami. In buyers' markets, home shoppers can expect an average 3.9 percent discount off the final sale price. In sellers' markets, the average discount is less than 1 percent. In Zillow's analysis, a sellers' market is not necessarily one where home values are rising, but one where homes sell quickly at prices very close to (or greater than) their listing price. In buyers' markets, homes are on the market longer, price cuts occur more frequently and sell for less than their asking price. "In general, while the market remains more in sellers' favor, it is slowly tilting toward buyers this year, thanks to more inventory, slower home value gains and less competition from investors," said Zillow Chief Economist Dr. Stan Humphries. "But what's true in one market may not be true in others, and buyers and sellers will face different challenges and opportunities depending on local conditions. Sellers in buyers' markets should remain patient and take even small steps to make their home more attractive to buyers and help it stand out. Buyers in sellers' markets should never feel pressured to pay more than they're comfortable with and capable of." Nationally, as expected, real estate markets are increasingly easy to get into, with home prices leveling off, giving hope to homebuyers who have fought low inventory and fast rising home values. The U.S. Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) was up 3.9 percent year-over-year for the first quarter of 2015, to $178,400. Home values are expected to grow 2.6 percent over the next year. Rents rose almost as much as home values over the last year, up 3.7 percent to $1,362 median monthly Zillow Rent Index (ZRI). By the end of the year, Zillow expects growth in rents to outpace growth in home values. About Zillow Zillow® is the leading real estate and rental marketplace dedicated to empowering consumers with data, inspiration and knowledge around the place they call home, and connecting them with the best local professionals who can help. In addition, Zillow operates an industry-leading economics and analytics bureau led by Zillow's Chief Economist Dr. Stan Humphries. In 2015, Dr. Humphries co-wrote and published the New York Times' bestselling "Zillow Talk: The New Rules of Real Estate." Dr. Humphries and his team of economists and data analysts produce extensive housing data and research covering more than 450 markets at Zillow Real Estate Research. Zillow also sponsors the quarterly Zillow Home Price Expectations Survey, which asks more than 100 leading economists, real estate experts and investment and market strategists to predict the path of the Zillow Home Value Index over the next five years. Zillow also sponsors the bi-annual Zillow Housing Confidence Index (ZHCI) which measures consumer confidence in local housing markets, both currently and over time. Launched in 2006, Zillow is owned and operated by Zillow Group (NASDAQ: Z), and headquartered in Seattle.
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Renting Less Affordable Than Buying in Most U.S. Markets But Not Where Millennials Are Moving Most
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Baby boomers still play active role in housing market, C.A.R. survey finds
LOS ANGELES (Dec. 22) – As the wealthiest generation and the first to drive the housing market, baby boomers will continue to be a pillar of the housing market, according to a 2014 CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) survey of California baby boomers* (born between 1946 and 1964). While nearly half (46 percent) of baby boomer renters who previously owned a home sold it primarily due to financial reasons, the vast majority still have a strong desire to purchase a home. The survey found that 63 percent of boomer renters would be motivated to buy a home if they saw an improvement in their finances, affordable home prices, or other reasons. Moreover, 22 percent said they expect to buy a home in the next five years. "Baby boomers are in their peak earning years and will continue to wield great influence on the housing market," said C.A.R. President Chris Kutzkey. "Even those who went through financial difficulties during the economic crisis recognize the benefits of homeownership and would rather buy another home than rent." Baby boomer renters who previously owned a home are also in a better financial position to purchase a home, having a higher average annual household income ($78,570) than those boomers who have never owned a home ($39,825). Nearly half (45 percent) of boomer renters have previously owned a home and are more likely to buy again than those who have not owned before by about a two-to-one margin (31 percent vs. 17 percent). Additional findings from C.A.R.'s "2014 Baby Boomer Survey" include: Nearly all homeowners (92 percent) have equity in their home, but 77 percent said they don't plan to use the home equity for income during retirement. More than half of homeowner boomers (59 percent) don't plan to sell their home when they retire, with 78 percent of them indicating they won't sell because they like their current home. Out of the 10 percent of current homeowners who plan on selling their home when they retire, nearly half (47 percent) plan to downsize to a smaller home, and 44 percent plan to move out of California. Despite the recent economic recession, only one in four baby boomers had to postpone retirement. On average, they plan to retire in nine years, with 67 percent saying they plan to retire within 10 years. Three in 10 baby boomers live with their children, with 2 percent saying they moved in with their children; 8 percent of them saying their children moved back in with them; and 21 percent saying their children never moved out. The majority of those living with their children live with adult children mainly due to their children's financial troubles. Baby boomers pay for a majority of living expenses, with their children only contributing a median of $325 monthly for living expenses. Improved affordability would motivate boomer renters to buy a home, but 37 percent said they don't want to buy. Less than half of boomer renters (47 percent) have debt that would prevent them from buying a home. California Baby Boomer Survey Slides (click links to open): Majority of boomer renters want to buy a home Boomer renters expect to buy within 5 years Boomers living with their children *Approximately 8.6 million baby boomers currently reside in California. (U.S. Census Bureau) C.A.R.'s "2014 California Baby Boomer Survey" was conducted in September 2014 in an effort to learn more about baby boomers' attitudes toward home buying and homeownership. The online survey polled 623 California residents age 50-68. For complete survey results, visit www.car.org/marketdata. Leading the way...® in California real estate for more than 100 years, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (www.car.org) is one of the largest state trade organizations in the United States with 165,000 members dedicated to the advancement of professionalism in real estate. C.A.R. is headquartered in Los Angeles.
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In Most Major Markets, Negative Equity Has Fallen By Half Since Peak of Crisis
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21 Percent of U.S. Housing Markets Now Less Affordable Than Their Historical Averages According to New RealtyTrac Report Analyzing Early Warning Signs of Possible Home Price Bubbles
IRVINE, CA--(Dec 4, 2014) - RealtyTrac®, the nation's leading source for comprehensive housing data, today released a report identifying county-level housing markets with early warning signs of a possible home price bubble -- where prices overinflate and eventually decline. The report also identified markets with little risk for a home price bubble. The report analyzed 475 U.S. counties with a combined population of more than 221 million -- accounting for more than 70 percent of the total U.S. population -- based on three early warning signs of a possible home price bubble: if the market was less affordable in October 2014 than its peak price during the 2005 to 2008 housing bubble; if a market was less affordable in October 2014 than its historical affordability average since January 2000; and if a market had a rising foreclosure rate on loans originated in 2014 compared to loans originated in 2013. See full methodology below. In the 475 counties analyzed, buying a median-priced home in October 2014 required 26 percent of median income on average compared to an average of 41 percent of median income in each county's respective peak month during the housing bubble. The historical affordability average going back to January 2000 for all 475 counties was 28 percent of median income needed to purchase a median-priced home. Meanwhile the average foreclosure rate among the 475 counties on loans originated in 2014 was 0.25 percent, up from an average of 0.20 percent for loans originated in 2013. "Affordability and foreclosure rates by loan vintage are two key metrics that will help consumers, investors, institutions and policy makers identify if a housing market is at risk for another price bubble," said Daren Blomquist, vice president at RealtyTrac. "While 99 percent of markets have not returned to the irrational affordability levels during the previous housing bubble, one in five markets have now exceeded their historical affordability norms, which is a strong sign that either a new home price bubble is forming in those markets or that home price appreciation will soon plateau until incomes can catch up. "Meanwhile, foreclosure rates on loans originated in 2014 are still significantly lower than for loans originated during the previous housing bubble in most markets, but there was an uptick in foreclosure rates on 2014 vintage loans compared to 2013 vintage loans in more than one-third of the counties we analyzed," Blomquist continued. "This is concerning given that the 2014 loans are newer and have had less time to sour than loans originated in 2013." 21 percent of counties less affordable than their historical affordability averages There were 98 counties (21 percent of all counties analyzed) with a combined population of nearly 62 million where the October affordability percentage was higher than the county's historical average affordability percentage, including Los Angeles County, Calif., Harris County, Texas in the Houston metro area, Orange County, Calif., in the Los Angeles metro area, Kings County (Brooklyn), N.Y., Dallas County, Texas, Bexar County, Texas in the San Antonio metro area, Alameda County, Calif., in the San Francisco metro area, Middlesex County, Mass., in the Boston metro area, Oakland County, Mich., in the Detroit metro area and Travis County, Texas, in the Austin metro area. 30 counties both unaffordable by historical standards and with rising foreclosure rates There were 30 counties (6 percent of all counties analyzed) with a combined population of nearly 19 million where the October affordability percentage was above the historical average and where foreclosure rates on 2014 vintage loans were higher than foreclosure rates on 2013 vintage loans, including Kings County, N.Y. (Brooklyn), San Francisco, San Mateo and Alameda counties in the San Francisco metro area, Suffolk County in the Boston metro area, Orange County in Southern California, Honolulu County, Hawaii, Denver County, Colo., Washington County, Utah in the St. George metro area, and Deschutes County, Ore., in the Bend metro area. "We expect prices to peak in Q2 2015 before leveling off in the Southern California coastal markets," said Chris Pollinger, senior vice president of sales at First Team Real Estate, covering the Southern California market. 12 percent of counties with higher median prices than peak during 2005 to 2008 bubble There were 58 counties (12 percent of all counties analyzed) with a combined population of more than 26 million where the median price of a home in October was higher than the peak during the housing bubble, including Kings County (Brooklyn) and New York County (Manhattan), N.Y., Travis County, Texas in the Austin metro area, Honolulu County, Hawaii, Fulton County, Ga., in the Atlanta metro area, Mecklenburg County, N.C., in the Charlotte metro area, Erie County, N.Y., in the Buffalo metro area, Wake County, N.C., in the Raleigh metro area, San Francisco County, Calif., and Monroe County, N.Y., in the Rochester metro area. Six counties less affordable than during 2005 to 2008 housing bubble Thanks to lower interest rates and higher incomes in some of the 58 counties, there were only six counties nationwide where a median-priced home in October 2014 was less affordable for median income earners than at the peak of the 2005 to 2008 housing bubble: Suffolk County, Mass., in the Boston metro area, Travis County, Texas, in the Austin metro, Jefferson County, Ala., in the Birmingham metro area, Brazos County, Texas in the College Station metro, Allegan County, Mich., and Montgomery County, Tenn., in the Clarksville metro area. 37 percent of counties with rising foreclosure rates on 2014 vintage loans There were 178 counties (37 percent of all counties analyzed) with a combined population of nearly 100 million where the foreclosure rate on loans originated in 2014 was higher than the foreclosure rate on loans originated in 2013, including Cook County, Ill., in the Chicago metro area, San Diego and Orange counties in Southern California, Kings County (Brooklyn), N.Y., Miami-Dade County, Fla., Queens County, N.Y., Clark County, Nev. (Las Vegas), King County, Wash. (Seattle), Santa Clara County, Calif. (San Jose), and Broward County, Fla. (Miami). "With the stiff competition for homes in Seattle, one might think that our market is well on its way to a bubble, but buyers have gotten more savvy and aren't overbidding at levels we saw a year or two ago," said OB Jacobi, president of Windermere Real Estate, covering the Seattle market. All three counties in the Seattle metro were more affordable than their historical levels in October despite a slight increase in foreclosure rate in two of the three counties. "We also have a strong job market with wages that are keeping up with appreciation -- especially in the growing tech sector. As a result, prices in Seattle are appreciating at a healthy pace, but they've slowed from the double digit increases we saw last year." 48 percent of counties still historically affordable with flat or falling foreclosure rates There were 229 counties (48 percent of all counties analyzed) with a combined population of nearly 79 million where median home prices in October were more affordable than their historical averages and where foreclosure rates on 2014 vintage loans were flat or declining compared to foreclosure rates on 2013 vintage loans. Among these counties with a low risk of a home price bubble, the most affordable were in Lansing, Mich., Syracuse, N.Y., Buffalo, N.Y., Cincinnati, Ohio, and Atlanta, Ga. "The Ohio markets have been fortunate through 2014 in showing continued modest gains regarding volume and prices reflective of a market in balance between home sellers and buyers, in contrast to concerns over a housing bubble being experienced in many other parts of the country," said Michael Mahon, executive vice president and broker at HER Realtors, covering the Columbus, Cincinnati and Dayton, Ohio markets. "Growing job markets within the fields of medical, finance, construction, and education continue to supply increased demand for housing across Ohio, although concerns over consumers with increasing debt issues, particularly in the fragile first time home buyer sector, could provide for a slight decrease in demand for 2015." "We don't have huge swings up and huge swings down. We just kind of plod along," said Tom Hosack, President of Northwood Realty Services, covering Western Pennsylvania, including Pittsburgh, and Eastern Ohio, including Youngstown. Three counties in the Pittsburgh metro -- Fayette, Allegheny and Butler -- were among the markets still affordable by their historical standards and with flat or falling foreclosure rates. "And that's the way we like it around here. This is not the kind of place you're going to get rich on your home but it's also not the kind of place where you're likely to lose money on your home. "People marvel that you can come here and buy a house for eight or 10 thousand dollars," he continued, noting those low prices previously attracted real estate investors to the region, especially since getting qualified for a loan in some of the lowest-priced areas can be challenging. "Certainly we had a fair amount of investors. People could buy 10 homes for $100,000. That has slowed down. What we see now is a fairly healthy market with balanced supply and demand." Report methodology To calculate affordability, RealtyTrac looked at the percentage of median monthly household income required to make a monthly house payment for a median-priced home in each month from January 2000 to October 2014. The median monthly household income was derived from U.S. Census data for 2000 to 2012, with 2013 and 2014 median household income estimated based on the 2000 to 2012 trend and adjusted for current market conditions. The median price of a home was based on the median sales price from sales deeds recorded each month for each county, except for in states with insufficient sales deed data and non-disclosure states where the full sales price is not required to be included on the sales deed. In those states, the median list price of homes listed for sale each month was used instead. The states where the list median price was used include Alaska, Idaho, Indiana, Kansas, Louisiana, Maine, Mississippi, Missouri, New Mexico, North Dakota, Texas, Utah, and Wyoming. Also Massachusetts, Connecticut, New Hampshire, Vermont, Delaware and Hawaii all used list median prices. The monthly house payment was calculated using a 10 percent down payment and a 30-year fixed loan and the average interest rate for each month according to the Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey, with the inclusion of an additional 1 percent of the median price for private mortgage insurance and an additional 1.39 percent of the median price for property taxes and insurance divided among each year's 12 house payments. The foreclosure rate used in the report is the percentage of homes with a mortgage that were actively in the foreclosure process -- based on default notices (NOD, LIS) and scheduled auction notices (NTS, NFS) collected from public records -- broken down by the year the mortgage was originated. About RealtyTrac RealtyTrac is a leading supplier of U.S. real estate data, with nationwide parcel-level records for more than 129 million U.S. parcels that include property characteristics, tax assessor data, sales and mortgage deed records, Automated Valuation Models (AVMs) and 20 million active and historical default, foreclosure auction and bank-owned properties. RealtyTrac's housing data and foreclosure reports are relied on by the Federal Reserve, U.S. Treasury Department, HUD, numerous state housing and banking departments, investment funds as well as millions of real estate professionals and consumers, to help evaluate housing trends and make informed decisions about real estate.
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In 2015, Millennials Will Be Biggest Home Buying Group and Rents Will Grow Faster Than Home Values
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Commercial Real Estate Demand is Holding Steady Despite Overseas Concerns
  WASHINGTON (November 24, 2014) – Despite a slowing global economy, forward economic momentum in the U.S. should keep commercial real estate activity on firmer footing, according to the National Association of Realtors® quarterly commercial real estate forecast. Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, says commercial activity should progress at a gradual pace heading into 2015. "Solid economic growth in the third quarter proved that the second quarter wasn't an anomaly, as business spending increased, commercial construction rose and the labor market continued to make positive strides," he said. "Job growth is the catalyst to improved demand for commercial real estate leasing and new construction projects." However, Yun does caution that softening in the global economy will likely widen the trade deficit in the U.S. and could trigger some weakening in the overall economy. "GDP growth in the fourth quarter will be sluggish at around 2 percent behind stalling exports. Although GDP will likely climb to near 3 percent in 2015, the current pace of job growth could slow and ultimately impact commercial real estate activity if sluggishness in the global economy persists," he said. National office vacancy rates are forecast to decrease 0.5 percent over the coming year due to job growth exceeding inventory coming onto the market. Improved manufacturing activity should lead to a declining vacancy rate for industrial space (0.4 percent), while retail space is forecast to decline 0.2 percent behind a boost in consumer spending from personal income gains and lower gas prices. "Low housing inventory and the sizeable demand for rentals will continue to spur multifamily construction as well as keep rents rising above inflation through next year," says Yun. NAR's latest Commercial Real Estate Outlook offers overall projections for four major commercial sectors and analyzes quarterly data in the office, industrial, retail and multifamily markets. Historic data for metro areas is provided by REIS Inc., a source of commercial real estate performance information. Office Markets Office vacancy rates are forecast to slightly decline from 15.7 percent in the fourth quarter to 15.6 percent through the fourth quarter of 2015. The markets with the lowest office vacancy rates in the fourth quarter are Washington, D.C., at 9.3 percent; New York City, 9.6 percent; Little Rock, Ark., 11.6 percent; San Francisco, 12.2 percent; and Seattle, at 12.8 percent. Office rents are projected to increase 2.4 percent in 2014 and 3.3 percent next year. Net absorption of office space in the U.S., which includes the leasing of new space coming on the market as well as space in existing properties, is likely to total 35.6 million square feet this year and 48.8 million in 2015. Industrial Markets Industrial vacancy rates are expected to fall from 8.8 percent in the fourth quarter to 8.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2015. The areas with the lowest industrial vacancy rates currently are Orange County, Calif., with a vacancy rate of 3.6 percent; Los Angeles, 3.7 percent; Seattle, 5.8 percent; Miami, 6.0; and Palm Beach, Fla., at 6.5 percent. Annual industrial rents should rise 2.4 percent this year and 2.9 percent in 2015. Net absorption of industrial space nationally is expected to total 110.7 million square feet in 2014 and 102.5 million square feet next year. Retail Markets Vacancy rates in the retail market are expected to decline from 9.7 percent currently to 9.5 percent in the fourth quarter of 2015. Currently, the markets with the lowest retail vacancy rates include San Francisco, at 3.5 percent; Fairfield County, Conn., 3.9 percent; San Jose, Calif., 4.6 percent; Orange County, Calif., 5.2 percent; and Long Island, N.Y., at 5.3 percent. Average retail rents are forecast to rise 2.0 percent in 2014 and 2.5 percent next year. Net absorption of retail space is likely to total 11.4 million square feet this year and jump to 18.9 million in 2015. Multifamily Markets The apartment rental market – multifamily housing – should see vacancy rates slightly increase from 4.0 percent currently to 4.3 percent in the fourth quarter of 2015. Vacancy rates below 5 percent are generally considered a landlord's market, with demand justifying higher rent. Areas with the lowest multifamily vacancy rates currently are Orange County, Calif., and Sacramento, Calif., at 2.2 percent; Providence, R.I., and New Haven, Conn., at 2.3 percent; and Hartford, Conn., at 2.5 percent. Average apartment rents are projected to rise 4.0 this year and 3.9 percent in 2015. Multifamily net absorption is expected to total 216,300 units in 2014 and 171,200 next year. The NAR commercial community includes commercial members; commercial real estate boards; commercial committees, subcommittees and forums; and the NAR commercial affiliate organizations – CCIM Institute, Institute of Real Estate Management, Realtors® Land Institute, Society of Industrial and Office Realtors®, and Counselors of Real Estate. Approximately 70,000 NAR and institute affiliate members specialize in commercial brokerage and related services, and an additional 283,000 members offer commercial real estate services as a secondary business. The National Association of Realtors®, "The Voice for Real Estate," is America's largest trade association, representing 1 million members involved in all aspects of the residential and commercial real estate industries.
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Pending Home Sales Slow in October but Remain Higher Than a Year Ago
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Top Real Estate Execs' Confidence Continues to Cool for U.S. Housing Market
BELLEVUE, WA, November 5, 2014-- Top real estate executives continue to be bullish about improvement in the U.S. housing market, but less than they have been over the last two years, and have grown significantly less confident in the world economy since January, according to 2014 Imprev Thought Leader Survey. "Housing enthusiasm among real estate business leaders overall is still strong, but has definitely cooled down during the last two years," said Renwick Congdon, chief executive officer of Imprev, a leading real estate technology company. "What's most interesting is that leaders of larger brokerage firms are typically far more bullish on the outlook for housing and the U.S. economy than leaders of smaller brokerage firms, but comparatively less confident in their firm's ability to be more profitable in the next 12 months," said Congdon. Respondents included more than 270 broker-owners and top executives at leading franchises and independent brokerage firms that were responsible for nearly half of all U.S. residential real estate transactions last year. Key findings: U.S. housing market demand: Approximately half (52 percent) of the real estate leaders surveyed say that housing market demand will improve or significantly improve over the next 12 months, down from 58 percent last year. 42 percent say the housing market demand will stay the same, up from 35 percent in 2013. Only 6 percent say it will deteriorate. Optimism is significantly lower than reported two years ago in the 2012 Imprev Thought Leader Survey where 70 percent of top real estate executives predicted that the housing market would continue to improve over the coming year. 2015 housing market confidence: Confidence in next year's housing market is a little less bullish compared to last year's survey: 18 percent are "very confident" in the 2015 housing market, down from 23 percent last year. However, 79 percent are "somewhat confident," up from 73 percent from last year's survey. Only 3 percent say they are "not at all confident" in the 2015 housing market. World economy confidence: More than half the real estate leaders surveyed say they have grown less confident (55 percent) in the world economy since January; that compares to 24 percent last year. Profitability concerns -- size matters: When asked how confident real estate business leaders are that their brokerage businesses will be more profitable in the next 12 months, 43 percent are "very confident," down from 48 percent last year. The larger the brokerage, the lower the confidence in greater profits ahead: Only 32 percent of leaders of brokerages with1,000 or more agents are "very confident," compared with 51 percent of leaders of firms with 50 agents or fewer. U.S. economic outlook: For the second year in a row, there's a split view among real estate leaders on what will happen with the national economy over the next 12 months: 47 percent believe it will improve (down from 50 percent in 2013), 44 percent say it will stay the same (up from 37 percent in 2013), and 9 percent believe it will deteriorate (versus 13 percent in 2013). Economic confidence locally vs. globally: Overall economic confidence increased significantly when the executives look closer to home. Nearly ten times as many real estate business leaders say their confidence in their local economies has improved since January vs. overall confidence that the world economy has improved: 48 percent are more confident in their local economy since January compared to only 5 percent for the world economy, 21 percent for the U.S. economy, and 39 percent for their state economy. A remarkable 55 percent are less confident in the world economy since January, versus 7 percent less confidence in their local economy. Size of firm and economic confidence: Leaders of the largest real estate brokerage firms were the most bullish on the improvement in the U.S. economy in the next 12 months, with 61 percent of top execs with firms of 1,000 or more agents saying it will "improve," compared to 34 percent of leaders of brokerage firms with 51 to 100 agents. The Thought Leader Survey was developed by Imprev to provide insight on key business challenges top executives face, encouraging an exchange of ideas and solutions. The 2014 Fall Imprev Thought Leader survey was conducted October 20 to 31, 2014. 68 percent are male, 32 percent are female. Approximately one-third (32.5 percent) of the 270 respondents are 61 years old or older; 32.5 percent are ages 51 to 60; 25 percent are ages 41 to 50; and 12 percent are ages 31 to 40. None of the respondents are under 30. About Imprev Imprev, Inc. is the largest provider of private label marketing solutions to the real estate industry today. Imprev delivers innovative marketing solutions, including automation, custom Marketing Centers and digital apps, delivered by the industry's most advanced and stable platform. Known for the highest quality and broadest array of marketing digital and print products in the industry, Imprev products allow agents to self-publish digital, print, video, multimedia, online and email advertising and communications in one place. Established in 2000, Imprev is headquartered in Bellevue, Wash., with more information at www.imprev.com.
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NAR Annual Survey Reveals Notable Decline in First-Time Buyers
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Millions of Potential New Households Waiting Out the Recovery
SEATTLE, Nov. 3, 2014 -- Stagnant incomes and rising rents left the U.S. with an unprecedented number of doubled-up households as people moved in together to make ends meet. All those roommates have changed the American housing landscape, with 5.4 million households that would exist under normal conditions instead lost in guestrooms and basements, sharing space with friends, family and roommates, waiting for better economic times, according to an analysis by Zillow. More than a third of working adults are living in doubled-up householdsi, driving the median household size up to 1.83 adults in 2012 from 1.75 in 2000. The phenomenon is concentrated in markets where rent has most outpaced income, notably in California and Florida. In the Riverside, Calif. metro area, under normal conditions, there would be 12.6 percent more households. In the Miami metro, more than 230,000 households – 11.3 percent more households than currently exist – were lost as people doubled up. As the housing market becomes friendlier for buyers and the economic recovery continues, those lost households could represent a significant source of pent-up demand in the market as they begin to look for a new place to live. "The rise in doubled-up households is a troubling sign of the times and starkly illustrates one of the prime drivers behind weak home sales these days," said Zillow® Chief Economist Dr. Stan Humphries. "But there is a silver lining behind this data. Like a coiled spring, all of these doubled-up households represent tremendous potential energy for the market. If and when these compressed households begin to unwind and these millions of Americans do start to create their own households, demand will bounce back, possibly even causing household growth to outpace population growth. That added demand will, in turn, create more incentive for builders to construct more homes, and will help unblock the market. There is no magic bullet, but continued home affordability, an increasing supply of both for-rent and for-sale homes and the potential for incomes to grow more quickly as the economy recovers will all help the market to realize this potential." The median income of adults in doubled-up households in the U.S. has risen over time, from a median of $24,000 in 2000 to $29,000 in 2012ii, but people in doubled-up households have incomes that, increasingly, lag behind median incomes overall. On average, doubled-up adults make 76 percent of the median income of people without roommates, which means it can take longer to save up for a down payment or deposit on a place of their own. About Zillow Zillow, Inc. (NASDAQ: Z) operates the largest home-related marketplaces on mobile and the Web, with a complementary portfolio of brands and products that help people find vital information about homes, and connect with the best local professionals. In addition, Zillow operates an industry-leading economics and analytics bureau led by Zillow's Chief Economist Dr. Stan Humphries. Dr. Humphries and his team of economists and data analysts produce extensive housing data and research covering more than 450 markets at Zillow Real Estate Research. Zillow also sponsors the quarterly Zillow Home Price Expectations Survey, which asks more than 100 leading economists, real estate experts and investment and market strategists to predict the path of the Zillow Home Value Index over the next five years. Zillow also sponsors the bi-annual Zillow Housing Confidence Index (ZHCI) which measures consumer confidence in local housing markets, both currently and over time. The Zillow, Inc. portfolio includes Zillow.com®, Zillow Mobile, Zillow Mortgages, Zillow Rentals, Zillow Digs®, Postlets®, Diverse Solutions®, Agentfolio®, Mortech®, HotPads™, StreetEasy® and Retsly™. The company is headquartered in Seattle.
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